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RacingAlpha

16:45 Newmarket

JRA Japan Cup Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 12 runners · £5,154 · Thursday, 24 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Berry Clever (GB)
    Silvestre De Sousa·Chris Dwyer
    13/2·7.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Media Legend (IRE)AI top pick · 54.7
    Oisin Murphy·Harry Charlton·beaten 0.3 lengths
    3/1F·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Eloquencia (GB)
    Harry Davies·James Owen·beaten 2 lengths
    40/1·41.00
    SP
Race time
1m 37.20s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Berry Clever (GB))

“Settled near the back of the field - began to make progress with a furlong to go but had to check for a gap - once through went on strongly - hit the front close home - edged it in a tight finish”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way54.7/100 rating
Media Legend
4.80Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Warning Symbol

Warning Symbol arrives at Newmarket rated a couple of pounds below the top-rated Signcastle City, but a progressive profile suggests there is more to come from this runner and that the bare figures may already be flattering the opposition. Signcastle City, Cancan In The Rain and A La Noche all carry strong claims and will need to be accounted for over this eight-furlong trip on good ground, so the task is far from straightforward. That said, a horse still moving in the right direction can outperform a static rating, and Warning Symbol is backed to do exactly that here. The selection is Warning Symbol.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Media Legend

Oisin Murphy · Harry Charlton · 3yo

Top-rated of 12
score 54.7 · +5.2 clear of next best (49.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    23d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    50average
    Last 6: 2-3-5-3-4
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    Harry Charlton: 3/15 winners last 14d (20%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 74
MarketBest price 4.80 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)
IV 1.08
Mid (6–9)
IV 0.87
High (10–13)
IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 193 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
19
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Chris Dwyer · draw 5
5yo · G · b
544444
6947.4
13/2·7.50
SP
28
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Harry Charlton · draw 6
3yo · G · bpFT P
23534
7454.7
3/1F·4.00
SP
311
J: Harry Davies · T: James Owen · draw 10
3yo · F · b
32214
7149.5
40/1·41.00
SP
43
J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · draw 3
6yo · G · gr
232543
7246.8
17/2·9.50
SP
57
J: Cieren Fallon · T: James Owen · draw 1
3yo · G · bp
5031P
7442.3
8/1·9.00
SP
61
J: George Wood · T: Gihan Arnolda · draw 12
6yo · G · bv
44830
7540.4
6/1·7.00
SP
76
3yo · F · b
76166
7543.1
33/1·34.00
SP
813
J: Alice Bond(5) · T: Martin Dunne · draw 8
5yo · G · bp
06217
6239.1
50/1·51.00
SP
95
J: Christian Howarth(3) · T: John Ryan · draw 13
3yo · G · b
653117
7546.9
40/1·41.00
SP
1012
5yo · M · b
024323
6641.2
10/1·11.00
SP
112
J: William Buick · T: Oliver Cole · draw 11
5yo · G · b
65691
7443.5
7/2·4.50
SP
124
J: Ray Dawson · T: T. J. Kent · draw 9
4yo · G · ch
676432
7143.7
9/1·10.00
SP
——
J: Callum Shepherd · T: Michael Bell · draw 4
3yo · G · b
364210
7247.0—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:45 Newmarket on 24 September 2026?

Berry Clever (GB) won the 16:45 Newmarket at SP 7.50. Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa. Trained by Chris Dwyer.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 Newmarket?

No — the AI top pick (Media Legend) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 16:45 Newmarket?

Top finishers: 1. Berry Clever (GB) (7.50), 2. Media Legend (IRE) (4.00), 3. Eloquencia (GB) (41.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:45 Newmarket?

The winning time was 1m 37.20s.

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