15:00 Newmarket

Feature

Tattersalls Middle Park Stakes (Group 1)

6f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £155,952 · Saturday, 26 September 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 7-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Inner City Blues

No. 4 · score 82.8 · +17.7 clear of next best · best 11/8·2.42

Best value vs consensus

Hell of A Spin

55·55.00 Betfair Exchange · +22% vs fair (consensus 45.07)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way65.2/100 rating

Orthodox

4.50Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Hell of A SpinDiffers from our pick

Hell of A Spin arrives here on a progressive profile that gives genuine reason to think the bare ratings do not yet tell the full story, and a fitness edge over some rivals makes a compelling case that he can overturn the narrow deficit to top-rated Confucius, who holds a two-pound advantage on paper but may not be as forward in his preparation. Orthodox and Force Noir, both narrowly behind on ratings, cannot be dismissed in what shapes as a tight, competitive six-furlong affair on good ground at Newmarket. Hell of A Spin is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Inner City Blues

William Buick · Charlie Appleby · 2yo

Top-rated of 7

score 82.8 · +17.7 clear of next best (65.2)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100very strong
Charlie Appleby: 14/23 winners last 14d (61%)
Form20% weight
100very strong
Last 6: 1-1
Ratings50% weight
73strong
OR 109
Freshness10% weight
65strong
79d since last run (rusty)

MarketBest price 2.42 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
1Confucius
Prominent(1)
3Hell of A Spin
Mid-division(1)
5Marco Polo
Hold-up / closers(1)
7Push The Boat Out
Unknown(3)
2Force Noir 4Inner City Blues 6Orthodox

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Newmarket 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.13).

Low (1–3)

IV 1.04

Mid (4–5)

IV 0.80

High (6–7)

IV 1.13

Today: Orthodox (draw 7) and Push The Boat Out (draw 6) get the bias; Inner City Blues (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 87 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
4	Inner City BluesPick J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 4 · combo 28/74 (38%) 2yo · C · bD	11	9-02	109	—	—	82.8	13/8·2.62	2.42·2.42 Betfair Exchange · -7% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange2.42·2.42Smarkets2.4·2.40Matchbook2.4·2.40BetMGM11/8·2.38 10 Bet11/8·2.38 Unibet11/8·2.38 Bet Victor11/8·2.38 BetTom11/8·2.38 Betano11/8·2.38 Boyle Sports11/8·2.38 Coral11/8·2.38Hollywood Bets69/50·2.38Ladbrokes11/8·2.38 LiveScore Bet11/8·2.38 Midnite11/8·2.38 Quinn Bet11/8·2.38 Star Sports11/8·2.38Virgin Bet11/8·2.38William Hill11/8·2.38 Bet3655/4·2.25 7Bet5/4·2.25 Betfred5/4·2.25 SmarketsSBK5/4·2.25 SportingIndex5/4·2.25Betfair Sportsbook5/4·2.25BetWright5/4·2.25 Spreadex5/4·2.25 Paddy Power5/4·2.25 Dragon Bet6/5·2.20
6	Orthodox J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 7 · combo 12/60 (20%) 2yo · C · b	116	9-02	110	—	—	65.2	3/1·4.12	4.5·4.50 Betfair Exchange · +9% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange4.5·4.50Smarkets4.5·4.50Matchbook4.5·4.50SmarketsSBK16/5·4.20 Paddy Power3/1·4.00 10 Bet11/4·3.75 Bet Victor11/4·3.75 Bet36511/4·3.75 BetTom11/4·3.75 BetWright11/4·3.75 Betano11/4·3.75 Boyle Sports11/4·3.75 Coral11/4·3.75 Dragon Bet11/4·3.75Hollywood Bets11/4·3.757Bet11/4·3.75 BetMGM11/4·3.75 Ladbrokes11/4·3.75 Quinn Bet11/4·3.75 SportingIndex11/4·3.75 Spreadex11/4·3.75 Star Sports11/4·3.75 William Hill11/4·3.75 Midnite11/4·3.75 Unibet11/4·3.75 LiveScore Bet11/4·3.75Virgin Bet11/4·3.75Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.75Betfred5/2·3.50
3	Hell of A Spin J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 2 · combo 11/84 (13%) 2yo · C · bOnly runner	2133	9-02	101	—	—	59.1	40/1·45.07	55·55.00 Betfair Exchange · +22% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange55·55.00Matchbook55·55.00Betfair Sportsbook50/1·51.00Paddy Power50/1·51.00Smarkets50·50.0010 Bet40/1·41.00 7Bet40/1·41.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00Hollywood Bets40/1·41.00Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 SmarketsSBK40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00
2	Force Noir J: David Egan · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 3 · combo 0/26 (0%) 2yo · C · bOnly runner	2101	9-02	95	—	—	57.2	66/1·73.65	80·80.00 Matchbook · +9% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook80·80.00Smarkets75·75.007Bet70/1·71.00 Betfair Exchange70·70.00 10 Bet66/1·67.00 Bet Victor66/1·67.00 BetTom66/1·67.00 Betano66/1·67.00 Betfred66/1·67.00 Boyle Sports66/1·67.00 Coral66/1·67.00 Dragon Bet66/1·67.00Hollywood Bets66/1·67.00Ladbrokes66/1·67.00 BetWright66/1·67.00 Midnite66/1·67.00 Quinn Bet66/1·67.00 Star Sports66/1·67.00 William Hill66/1·67.00 Paddy Power66/1·67.00Betfair Sportsbook66/1·67.00SportingIndex66/1·67.00 Spreadex66/1·67.00 SmarketsSBK55/1·56.00 Bet36550/1·51.00 BetMGM50/1·51.00 LiveScore Bet50/1·51.00 Unibet50/1·51.00Virgin Bet50/1·51.00
7	Push The Boat Out J: Shane Foley · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 6 2yo · C · gDOnly runner	11	9-02	—	—	—	34.0	11/2·6.60	6.4·6.40 Smarkets · -3% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Smarkets6.4·6.40Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20Matchbook6.2·6.2010 Bet5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00Paddy Power5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Bet3659/2·5.50 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50
5	Marco Polo J: Ryan Moore · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 5 · combo 35/119 (29%) 2yo · C · chD	281	9-02	—	—	—	28.8	6/1·7.15	7.4·7.40 Matchbook · +4% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook7.4·7.40Betfair Exchange7.2·7.20 BetMGM6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 William Hill6/1·7.00Smarkets7·7.0010 Bet11/2·6.50 7Bet11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50Hollywood Bets11/2·6.50BetWright11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50 Paddy Power11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50SportingIndex11/2·6.50 SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Coral5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00
1	Confucius J: Tom Marquand · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 1 2yo · C · brbFT BOnly pairing	21633	9-02	—	—	—	23.7	20/1·20.89	23·23.00 Matchbook · +10% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook23·23.00Betfair Exchange23·23.00Smarkets22·22.00BetMGM20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Paddy Power20/1·21.00 10 Bet18/1·19.00 7Bet18/1·19.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00Hollywood Bets18/1·19.00Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00William Hill18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 Unibet16/1·17.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 10% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Tattersalls Middle Park Stakes (Group 1)?

The Tattersalls Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) is off at 15:00 on 26 September 2026 at Newmarket (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:00 Newmarket?

6f, Class 1, Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:00 Newmarket?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:00 Newmarket?

The AI top-rated runner is Inner City Blues (score 82.8, best price 2.42). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:00 Newmarket?

The market favourite is Inner City Blues at a best price of 2.42.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org