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13:22 Newmarket

British Stallion Studs EBF 'Jersey Lily' Fillies' Nursery Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · £25,770 · Saturday, 26 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Al Samsama (IRE)
    Billy Loughnane·Richard Hughes
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Polyxena (IRE)
    Marco Ghiani·Stuart Williams·beaten 3.5 lengths
    17/2·9.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Marsala (IRE)
    Rossa Ryan·Ralph Beckett·beaten 1.25 lengths
    13/2·7.50
    SP
Race time
1m 23.75s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Al Samsama (IRE))

“Held up in the pack early - began strong advance approaching 2f out - closing on the front two travelling strongly - asked for effort and hit the front - sprinted away inside the closing furlong to win comfortably”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way60.8/100 rating
Sierra Belle
5.90Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Bymiddaytomorrow

Bymiddaytomorrow heads this eleven-runner Newmarket Class 2 over seven furlongs on good ground, narrowly ahead of the Al Samsama and Zephyra, who share the same rating and represent the most credible threats to the selection's claims. Polyxena, a further four pounds adrift, also warrants respect in a competitive field, though the gap to the remainder of the runners looks significant enough to keep the race between these four. On the balance of form and merit, Bymiddaytomorrow is taken to come out on top.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Sierra Belle

Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett · 2yo

Top-rated of 11
score 60.8 · +0.4 clear of next best (60.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    24d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    89very strong
    Last 6: 2-2-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    54average
    OR 81
  • Trainer20% weight
    30weak
    Ralph Beckett: 4/34 winners last 14d (12%)
MarketBest price 5.90 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 1.08
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.87
High (9–11)
IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 193 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Richard Hughes · draw 2
2yo · F · b
12
8560.4
9/2·5.50
SP
22
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Stuart Williams · draw 1
2yo · F · b
11
8259.8
17/2·9.50
SP
310
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 6
2yo · F · b
473
7449.2
13/2·7.50
SP
48
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 3
2yo · F · b
317
7653.0
9/1·10.00
SP
511
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Marco Botti · draw 8
2yo · F · b
222152
7052.5
100/30F·4.33
SP
69
J: Robert Havlin · T: James Owen · draw 7
2yo · F · b
671
7449.3
12/1·13.00
SP
73
J: Clifford Lee · T: Ed Walker · draw 9
2yo · F · b
581173
8254.6
13/2·7.50
SP
86
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Marco Botti · draw 4
2yo · F · b
222
7754.8
6/1·7.00
SP
95
J: Josephine Gordon · T: William Stone · draw 10
2yo · F · b
3610
8044.7
33/1·34.00
SP
107
J: David Egan · T: Brian Meehan · draw 5
2yo · F · b
0324
7654.5
16/1·17.00
SP
——
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 11
2yo · F · b
221
8160.8—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 13:22 Newmarket on 26 September 2026?

Al Samsama (IRE) won the 13:22 Newmarket at SP 5.50. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by Richard Hughes.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:22 Newmarket?

No — the AI top pick (Sierra Belle) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 13:22 Newmarket?

Top finishers: 1. Al Samsama (IRE) (5.50), 2. Polyxena (IRE) (9.50), 3. Marsala (IRE) (7.50).

What was the winning time for the 13:22 Newmarket?

The winning time was 1m 23.75s.

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