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Next · 1h 20m14:30Gowran Park

14:12 Epsom

Betfred Derby 'Wild Card' EBF Conditions Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m½f · Flat · Class 2 · Good · 5 runners · £10,308 · Sunday, 27 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Quite Cheeky (IRE)
    Cieren Fallon·William Haggas
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Sword Salute (USA)
    Rowan Scott·Charlie Johnston·beaten 1.75 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Al Wathba (FR)AI top pick · 73.9
    Billy Loughnane·Charlie Appleby·beaten 1.5 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
Race time
1m 47.00s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Quite Cheeky (IRE))

“Settled in third early - moved into second with 3f left - shifted right to press the pace 2f out - hit the front inside the final furlong and stayed on strongly to score”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Sword Salute

Sword Salute heads this five-runner Class 2 contest at Epsom on a performance rating that leaves him narrowly ahead of Rose Moon and a shade further clear of Al Wathba, and if he reproduces that level on good ground over the mile he ought to have enough in hand to prevail. Rose Moon is the most obvious threat and should not be underestimated, with Al Wathba and the improving Bincimbal also capable of making life uncomfortable if Sword Salute fails to fire. The selection is taken on balance, though this is far from a straightforward call, and the nod goes to Sword Salute.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Al Wathba

Billy Loughnane · Charlie Appleby · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 73.9 · +11.4 clear of next best (62.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    Charlie Appleby: 11/22 winners last 14d (50%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    17d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    71strong
    Last 6: 2-2-1-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    59average
    OR 89
MarketBest price 34.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 4th in the market of 5.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Epsom 1m½f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.14).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.99
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.87
High (5–5)
IV 1.14

Today: Rose Moon (draw 5) gets the bias; Al Wathba (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 119 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 1
2yo · C · b
1
—39.5
7/2·4.50
SP
21
J: Rowan Scott · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 2
2yo · C · ch
31017
9155.6
11/1·12.00
SP
32
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 4
2yo · C · b
2214
8973.9
7/2·4.50
SP
45
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 5
2yo · C · b
1
—36.0
5/6F·1.83
SP
53
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Harry Charlton · draw 3
2yo · C · br
3411
8162.5
18/1·19.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:12 Epsom on 27 September 2026?

Quite Cheeky (IRE) won the 14:12 Epsom at SP 4.50. Ridden by Cieren Fallon. Trained by William Haggas.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:12 Epsom?

No — the AI top pick (Al Wathba) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 14:12 Epsom?

Top finishers: 1. Quite Cheeky (IRE) (4.50), 2. Sword Salute (USA) (12.00), 3. Al Wathba (FR) (4.50).

What was the winning time for the 14:12 Epsom?

The winning time was 1m 47.00s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org