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15:22 Epsom

Betfred 'Nifty 50' Jump Jockeys Derby Handicap Stakes (For Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)

1m4f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 13 runners · £10,308 · Sunday, 27 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Zarakerjack (FR)
    Freddie Mitchell·Gary & Josh Moore
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Oneforthegutter (GB)
    Charlie Todd·Ian Williams·beaten 1.25 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Oasis Sunrise (IRE)
    Joe Anderson·Grace Harris·beaten 2 lengths
    40/1·41.00
    SP
Race time
2m 43.20s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Zarakerjack (FR))

“Settled in the pack early - moved up on the front group 3f out - shifted wide and gained ground 2f out - hit the front inside the final furlong - kept finding more to assert at the line”

AI top-rated Nibras Gold (score 57.1) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 10.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way57.1/100 rating
Nibras Gold
13.50Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Oneforthegutter

Oneforthegutter heads this thirteen-runner Class 4 contest over a mile and a half at Epsom on good ground, sitting narrowly ahead of Gordon Grey and Marnier, who are both closely matched at a pound behind, while Tiger represents a further danger just below that trio. The Epsom trip and conditions look to suit our selection, and that marginal edge over the field, though slim, is enough to tip the verdict his way, though the closeness of the ratings means this is far from a foregone conclusion. Gordon Grey and Marnier in particular cannot be dismissed lightly, and punters should be aware this is a genuinely competitive heat. Oneforthegutter is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Nibras Gold

Jonathan Burke · James Owen · 8yo

Top-rated of 13
score 57.1 · +1.8 clear of next best (55.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    87very strong
    Last 6: 5-2-1-2-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 79
  • Trainer20% weight
    18weak
    James Owen: 4/58 winners last 14d (7%)
MarketBest price 13.50 (Smarkets) · 5th in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Epsom 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.14).

Low (1–5)
IV 0.99
Mid (6–9)
IV 0.87
High (10–13)
IV 1.14

Today: Seeking Charles (draw 11) and Fox Avatar (draw 12) get the bias; Tiger (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 119 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
112
4yo · G · b
25434
7043.7
12/1·13.00
SP
24
J: Charlie Todd · T: Ian Williams · draw 6
7yo · G · bv
788757
8243.8
6/1·7.00
SP
313
J: Joe Anderson · T: Grace Harris · draw 13
4yo · F · br
433495
6839.7
40/1·41.00
SP
48
J: Kevin Brogan · T: Toby Lawes · draw 4
4yo · G · b
24350
7848.7
100/1·101.00
SP
56
J: Lee Edwards · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 2
4yo · G · bv
189037
7945.9
22/1·23.00
SP
67
J: Jonathan Burke · T: James Owen · draw 3
8yo · G · btp
52121
7957.1
10/1·11.00
SP
710
J: James Davies · T: Mark Usher · draw 11
5yo · G · ch
30321
7553.0
3/1F·4.00
SP
811
J: Taylor Fisher · T: Joe Tickle · draw 1
6yo · G · b
114464
7544.4
22/1·23.00
SP
99
J: Brian Hughes · T: Gihan Arnolda · draw 9
6yo · G · grv
611856
7743.6
9/1·10.00
SP
103
J: Tom Cannon · T: George Baker · draw 5
6yo · G · brtp
939064
8351.1
12/1·13.00
SP
111
J: Caoilin Quinn · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 10
4yo · G · b
263166
8650.9
8/1·9.00
SP
122
J: Harry Cobden · T: Ian Williams · draw 8
4yo · G · b
642128
8455.4
5/1·6.00
SP
135
J: Brendan Powell · T: Roger Varian · draw 12
5yo · G · b
16734
8152.7
6/1·7.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:22 Epsom on 27 September 2026?

Zarakerjack (FR) won the 15:22 Epsom at SP 13.00. Ridden by Freddie Mitchell. Trained by Gary & Josh Moore.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:22 Epsom?

No — the AI top pick (Nibras Gold) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 15:22 Epsom?

Top finishers: 1. Zarakerjack (FR) (13.00), 2. Oneforthegutter (GB) (7.00), 3. Oasis Sunrise (IRE) (41.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:22 Epsom?

The winning time was 2m 43.20s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org