Who won the 15:15 Brighton on 28 September 2026?
Hamda's Joy (IRE) won the 15:15 Brighton at SP 8.00. Ridden by Jack Callan. Trained by Tom Clover.
15:15 Brighton
The Bet £20 Get £40 In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap Stakes
1m · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 28 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stHamda's Joy (IRE)Jack Callan·Tom Clover7/1·8.00SP
- 2ndDarvel (IRE)David Probert·Patrick Chamings·beaten 1.5 lengths12/1·13.00SP
- 3rdDanehill Star (IRE)Rossa Ryan·Tony Carroll·beaten 0.3 lengths15/2·8.50SP
Race time
1m 33.85s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Hamda's Joy (IRE))
“Settled in the pack early - pushed along to move through field over 2f out - upped alongside the front-runner soon after - went in front inside the final furlong - kept finding more to score comfortably”
AI top-rated On The Inlet (score 53.8) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way53.8/100 rating
On The Inlet
10.00Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Newfangled
Newfangled is preferred here on the strength of a progressive profile that suggests he is still improving, making her a compelling alternative to the top-rated On The Inlet despite sitting a pound beneath him on our figures. On The Inlet heads the ratings and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Pints In Peace and Marsh Benham are also dangers capable of making this competitive across Brighton's eight furlongs. The verdict is offered with modest confidence, but a horse still travelling in the right direction on good-to-firm ground can outperform a bare rating, and Newfangled is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
On The Inlet
Kieran Shoemark · Dr Richard Newland · 3yo
Top-rated of 10
score 53.8 · +0.7 clear of next best (53.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong17d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight63small sample (n=8)Dr Richard Newland: 2/8 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Ratings50% weight49below averageOR 73
- Form20% weight35weakLast 6: 1-0-5-3-3-0
MarketBest price 10.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 4th in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Brighton 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.97
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.93
High (8–10)
IV 1.09
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 152 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | J: Jack Callan · T: Tom Clover · draw 7 3yo · F · b | 32342 | 71 | 53.0 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 2 | 9 | J: David Probert · T: Patrick Chamings · draw 9 8yo · G · bb | 002345 | 67 | 39.2 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Tony Carroll · draw 4 5yo · G · bb | 323511 | 70 | 51.7 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Dr Richard Newland · draw 1 3yo · G · b | 105330 | 73 | 53.8 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Pat Cosgrave · T: George Baker · draw 6 7yo · G · ch | 216417 | 75 | 52.5 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Tom Queally · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 5 5yo · G · bp | 561416 | 69 | 48.1 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 8 5yo · G · chp | 364643 | 72 | 45.1 | 6/4F·2.50 SP |
| 8 | 3 | J: Darragh Keenan · T: Michael Wigham · draw 10 7yo · G · bp | 138294 | 71 | 41.9 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 9 | 10 | J: Finley Marsh · T: Jim & Suzi Best · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 107656 | 67 | 37.0 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 10 | 7 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 3 3yo · F · b | 53316 | 72 | 46.6 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:15 Brighton?
No — the AI top pick (On The Inlet) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 15:15 Brighton?
Top finishers: 1. Hamda's Joy (IRE) (8.00), 2. Darvel (IRE) (13.00), 3. Danehill Star (IRE) (8.50).
What was the winning time for the 15:15 Brighton?
The winning time was 1m 33.85s.
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