Who won the 16:43 Newton Abbot on 28 September 2026?
Bits Ballou (GB) won the 16:43 Newton Abbot at SP 7.00. Ridden by Mr Lucas Murphy. Trained by Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies.
16:43 Newton Abbot
Par Inn Bulpin Cup Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race
3m2½f · Hurdle · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners · £4,222 · Monday, 28 September 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 6/1·7.00Race report
- 1stBits Ballou (GB)AI top pick · 63.1Mr Lucas Murphy·Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies6/1·7.00SP
- 2ndFrench Diablo (FR)Miss Aimee Jones·Max Comley·beaten 0.1 lengths4/1·5.00SP
- 3rdPooroldmackley (IRE)Miss Eleanor Williams·Mrs C. Williams·beaten 1.25 lengths13/8F·2.62SP
Race time
6m 57.20s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Bits Ballou (GB))
“Settled midpack early - still close to the front group 3 out - pushed along and closed the gap before 2 out - found extra approaching the last and edged clear to score”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way63.1/100 rating
Bits Ballou
6.00Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Final Entry
Final Entry heads the ratings narrowly ahead of Glitz And Glamour and looks the one to be on over this extended trip at Newton Abbot, where the good ground should suit a staying type capable of holding the edge at this level. Glitz And Glamour is the most obvious threat just a pound in arrears, while Poet's Muse and Pooroldmackley merit respect further down the order, though both have ground to find on these figures to trouble the principals. The remainder look outclassed on these figures, and with confidence high in the selection's ability to see out this stiff twenty-six-furlong test, Final Entry is the call.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Bits Ballou
Mr Lucas Murphy(7) · Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies · 5yo
Top-rated of 7
score 63.1 · +1.1 clear of next best (62.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=9)Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies: 4/9 winners last 14d (44%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight65strong78d since last run (rusty)
- Form20% weight53averageLast 6: 8-6-4-2-3
- Ratings50% weight52averageOR 78
MarketBest price 6.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 4th in the market of 7.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Mr Lucas Murphy(7) · T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies · draw 0 5yo · M · b | 86423 | 78 | 63.1 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 2 | 7 | J: Miss Aimee Jones(7) · T: Max Comley · draw 0 4yo · G · bpFT P | P31P54 | 81 | 62.0 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Miss Eleanor Williams(5) · T: Mrs C. Williams · draw 0 7yo · G · ch | F7442 | 83 | 53.0 | 13/8F·2.62 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Mr Evan Lonergan(7) · T: Neil King · draw 0 5yo · M · b | 39P60 | 105 | 45.5 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Mr William Higgs(7) · T: Anthony Honeyball · draw 0 7yo · M · bt | 24636 | 81 | 41.6 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| UR | 2 | J: Mr James Shaw(7) · T: David Pipe · draw 0 5yo · G · btv | 43144 | 97 | 53.9 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| PU | 3 | J: Mr James King · T: I Chanin · draw 0 5yo · M · b | 64027 | 87 | 52.1 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:43 Newton Abbot?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Bits Ballou, won the race (AI score 63.1).
What were the placings in the 16:43 Newton Abbot?
Top finishers: 1. Bits Ballou (GB) (7.00), 2. French Diablo (FR) (5.00), 3. Pooroldmackley (IRE) (2.62).
What was the winning time for the 16:43 Newton Abbot?
The winning time was 6m 57.20s.
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