Who won the 14:00 Curragh on 26 September 2026?
Invincible Will (IRE) won the 14:00 Curragh at SP 5.00. Ridden by G. F. Carroll. Trained by Gavin Cromwell.
14:00 Curragh
IrelandKwiff More Bang For Your Bet Rated Race
7f · Flat · Yielding · 9 runners · €21,000 · Saturday, 26 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 6thRace report
- 1stInvincible Will (IRE)G. F. Carroll·Gavin Cromwell4/1·5.00SP
- 2ndUnauthorized (IRE)Reese Holohan·Aidan Melia·beaten 0.3 lengths14/1·15.00SP
- 3rdOro Blanco (IRE)Keithen Kennedy·Mrs J. Harrington·beaten 2 lengths6/4F·2.50SP
Race time
1m 27.91s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Invincible Will (IRE))
“Slow to break - settled at the back - made headway with 2f left - into 4th and finishing well over 1f out - drove past the front-runner in the final strides to score”
AI top-rated Chapel Lane (score 65.4) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way52.7/100 rating
Lewis Carroll
6.60Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Mumhan
Mumhan matches the top-rated Killashee Warrior on ratings but is preferred on the strength of a progressive profile that suggests there is more to come, making this a compelling case for continued improvement over seven furlongs on good ground at the Curragh. Killashee Warrior represents the most obvious threat and will need to be headed off, while Invincible Will and Oro Blanco are also capable of making their presence felt in what looks a competitive nine-runner affair. The selection is Mumhan.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Chapel Lane
W. J. Lee · W. McCreery · 3yo
Top-rated of 9
score 65.4 · +0.9 clear of next best (64.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong24d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight73strongW. McCreery: 4/14 winners last 14d (29%)
- Form20% weight69strongLast 6: 6-7-3-2-1
- Ratings50% weight54averageOR 81
MarketBest price 29.00 (Virgin Bet) · 5th in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Curragh 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.96
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.99
High (7–9)
IV 1.04
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 211 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: G. F. Carroll · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 5 3yo · G · bht | 281825 | 87 | 45.6 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 2 | 9 | J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: Aidan Melia · draw 1 3yo · C · bhFT H | 51718 | 83 | 43.8 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 3 | 8 | J: Keithen Kennedy(5) · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 7 3yo · G · g | 531184 | 84 | 56.6 | 6/4F·2.50 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: W. M. Lordan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 3 3yo · C · b | 91 | 87 | 52.7 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Scott McCullagh · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 2 3yo · F · ch | 1466 | 87 | 49.6 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: W. J. Lee · T: W. McCreery · draw 6 3yo · G · chv | 67321 | 81 | 65.4 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 7 | 1 | J: Chris Hayes · T: Eddie & Patrick Harty · draw 8 3yo · F · g | 14783 | 91 | 64.5 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 8 | 5 | J: Declan McDonogh · T: J S Bolger · draw 4 3yo · C · b | 1504 | 86 | 42.5 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 9 | 7 | J: N G McCullagh · T: M C Grassick · draw 9 3yo · C · b | 248180 | 78 | 39.2 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:00 Curragh?
No — the AI top pick (Chapel Lane) finished 6.
What were the placings in the 14:00 Curragh?
Top finishers: 1. Invincible Will (IRE) (5.00), 2. Unauthorized (IRE) (15.00), 3. Oro Blanco (IRE) (2.50).
What was the winning time for the 14:00 Curragh?
The winning time was 1m 27.91s.
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