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RacingAlpha

15:10 Curragh

Ireland

Celebrating County Kildare And Lexington Twinning Maiden

6f · Flat · Heavy · 11 runners · €12,000 · Sunday, 27 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th
  1. 1st
    Valentino Eclipse (IRE)
    Seamie Heffernan·J A Stack
    2/5F·1.40
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Port Arthur (IRE)
    Robbie Colgan·M C Grassick·beaten 3.75 lengths
    25/1·26.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    A Good Yarn (IRE)
    W. M. Lordan·Aidan Anthony Howard·beaten 2 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
Race time
1m 14.62s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Valentino Eclipse (IRE))

“Shared front spot early - hit the front two out - asked for effort inside final furlong and edged away - stayed on strongly to score”

AI top-rated Saga Lucia (score 41.9) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 18.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way41.9/100 rating
Lilli's Angel
9.50Coral
Place portion settles at 2.70 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Saga Lucia

Reese Holohan(7) · M D O'Callaghan · 3yo

Top-rated of 14
score 41.9 · +0.1 clear of next best (41.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    37d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 73
  • Trainer20% weight
    30weak
    M D O'Callaghan: 3/26 winners last 14d (12%)
  • Form20% weight
    15weak
    Last 6: 5-6-6-9
MarketBest price 25.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 6th in the market of 14.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Curragh 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.12).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.03
Mid (6–10)
IV 0.84
High (11–14)
IV 1.12

Today: The Hidden Garden (draw 13) and Valentino Eclipse (draw 11) get the bias; Saga Lucia (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 182 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J A Stack · draw 11
3yo · C · b
24
—17.7
2/5F·1.40
SP
23
J: Robbie Colgan · T: M C Grassick · draw 7
3yo · G · brbFT B
34350
7437.7
25/1·26.00
SP
32
3yo · G · b
6
—10.5
7/2·4.50
SP
47
J: N G McCullagh · T: Thomas Mullins · draw 2
3yo · F · b
47500
5729.7
20/1·21.00
SP
54
3yo · G · baybrown
0
—10.0
150/1·151.00
SP
614
J: Chris Hayes · T: G. O'Leary · draw 4
3yo · F · b
0
—10.0
66/1·67.00
SP
711
3yo · F · cht
5669
7341.9
18/1·19.00
SP
813
J: Gavin Ryan · T: J A Stack · draw 12
3yo · F · b
36
—16.7
9/1·10.00
SP
912
3yo · F · ch
——31.5
22/1·23.00
SP
108
J: Wesley Joyce · T: Sean Byrne · draw 10
3yo · F · b
07
—12.0
125/1·126.00
SP
111
J: James Ryan · T: Edward Lynam · draw 14
5yo · G · btFT T
0
—10.0
200/1·201.00
SP
——
J: W. J. Lee · T: P. Twomey · draw 5
3yo · F · btFT T
53
—35.5—
——
J: Ben Coen · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 9
3yo · F · ch
984
6641.9—
——
5yo · M · brhFT H
0
—2.5—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:10 Curragh on 27 September 2026?

Valentino Eclipse (IRE) won the 15:10 Curragh at SP 1.40. Ridden by Seamie Heffernan. Trained by J A Stack.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:10 Curragh?

No — the AI top pick (Saga Lucia) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 15:10 Curragh?

Top finishers: 1. Valentino Eclipse (IRE) (1.40), 2. Port Arthur (IRE) (26.00), 3. A Good Yarn (IRE) (4.50).

What was the winning time for the 15:10 Curragh?

The winning time was 1m 14.62s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org