18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

14:34 Down Royal

Ireland

Irish EBF Auction Series Fillies Maiden

7f · Flat · Good To Yielding · 9 runners · €15,000 · Monday, 28 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th
  1. 1st
    Leap Of Light (IRE)
    Keithen Kennedy·Mrs J. Harrington
    6/1·7.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Ladrona (IRE)
    W. J. Lee·P. Twomey·beaten 0.2 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Essence Of Time (GB)
    W. M. Lordan·A Oliver·beaten 2.25 lengths
    6/5F·2.20
    SP
Race time
1m 30.95s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Leap Of Light (IRE))

“Held up towards the back of the pack - into third with 2f left then urged into second inside the final furlong - hit the front close home - stayed on strongly to score”

AI top-rated Hip Hop Chrissy (score 52.5) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way52.5/100 rating
Hip Hop Chrissy
11.00Spreadex
Place portion settles at 3.00 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Hip Hop Chrissy

Gavin Ryan · Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · 2yo

Top-rated of 10
score 52.5 · +2.1 clear of next best (50.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    44d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    55average
    Last 6: 3-4-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    52average
    OR 78
  • Trainer20% weight
    35below average
    Donnacha Aidan O'Brien: 2/14 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketBest price 11.00 (Spreadex) · 5th in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Down Royal 7f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.82
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.36
High (8–10)
IV 0.87

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 37 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
2yo · F · b
8
—15.0
6/1·7.00
SP
23
J: W. J. Lee · T: P. Twomey · draw 9
2yo · F · ch
——30.5
3/1·4.00
SP
39
J: W. M. Lordan · T: A Oliver · draw 3
2yo · F · b
72
—25.4
6/5F·2.20
SP
48
J: Rory Cleary · T: C W J Farrell · draw 2
2yo · F · b
——15.0
66/1·67.00
SP
54
J: G. F. Carroll · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 7
2yo · F · b
——16.0
18/1·19.00
SP
66
J: Jimmy Dalton(7) · T: A. Slattery · draw 1
2yo · F · b
——20.5
33/1·34.00
SP
71
2yo · F · bt
343
7852.5
11/2·6.50
SP
82
J: Andrew Slattery · T: A. Slattery · draw 5
2yo · F · b
9
—13.2
9/1·10.00
SP
—5
J: Chris Hayes · T: Noel Meade · draw 4
2yo · F · ch
6252
8550.4—
——
J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: A Oliver · draw 10
2yo · F · b
7
—14.0—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:34 Down Royal on 28 September 2026?

Leap Of Light (IRE) won the 14:34 Down Royal at SP 7.00. Ridden by Keithen Kennedy. Trained by Mrs J. Harrington.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:34 Down Royal?

No — the AI top pick (Hip Hop Chrissy) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 14:34 Down Royal?

Top finishers: 1. Leap Of Light (IRE) (7.00), 2. Ladrona (IRE) (4.00), 3. Essence Of Time (GB) (2.20).

What was the winning time for the 14:34 Down Royal?

The winning time was 1m 30.95s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org