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RacingAlpha

15:44 Down Royal

Ireland

Molson Coors Beverage Company Handicap

7f · Flat · Good To Yielding · 14 runners · €7,200 · Monday, 28 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 11th
  1. 1st
    Minaun View (GB)
    Patrick McGettigan·Adrian McGuinness
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Faoladh (IRE)
    Sam Coen·A. Slattery·beaten 2.5 lengths
    15/2·8.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Thru And Thru (IRE)
    Rory Mulligan·Rory Anthony Devine·beaten .5 lengths
    7/1·8.00
    SP
Race time
1m 30.68s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Minaun View (GB))

“Led from early stages - driven approaching 2f out - responded and stayed on strongly from inside final furlong to win”

AI top-rated Zheleznaya Dama (score 55.3) finished 11th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 10.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way55.3/100 rating
Zheleznaya Dama
9.80Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Barbapapa

Barbapapa heads this 14-runner field at Down Royal on good ground over seven furlongs, rated narrowly ahead of Greek Flower and a handful of points clear of Thru And Thru and Venetian Star, which gives a slender edge on paper though the gap to the dangers is modest enough to keep confidence measured. Greek Flower and Thru And Thru are the most likely threats, with Venetian Star also capable of making her presence felt in what looks a competitive sprint-distance heat. The case for Barbapapa rests on that rating advantage and the expectation that good ground over this trip suits, but with low confidence in the outcome the selection is taken on merit alone. Barbapapa is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Zheleznaya Dama

Rory Cleary · Brendan W Duke · 3yo

Top-rated of 16
score 55.3 · +11.7 clear of next best (43.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    39d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=3)
    Brendan W Duke: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    46below average
    Last 6: P-5-2-1-0
  • Ratings50% weight
    42below average
    OR 63
MarketBest price 9.80 (Smarkets) · 6th in the market of 16.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Down Royal 7f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–6)
IV 0.82
Mid (7–11)
IV 1.36
High (12–16)
IV 0.87

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 37 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
4yo · F · chtp
271556
6540.8
8/1·9.00
SP
22
J: Sam Coen(5) · T: A. Slattery · draw 9
4yo · G · b
001504
6841.7
15/2·8.50
SP
36
4yo · F · rnt
30600
6436.9
7/1·8.00
SP
45
J: Kian McNally · T: Miss Natalia Lupini · draw 11
4yo · F · b
026000
6530.7
50/1·51.00
SP
57
3yo · G · btb
020050
6735.3
17/2·9.50
SP
63
J: Jamie Powell · T: John James Feane · draw 15
7yo · M · b
36850
6635.3
15/2·8.50
SP
79
J: Nicola Burns(5) · T: John McConnell · draw 3
5yo · G · chv
562106
6037.9
11/1·12.00
SP
81
4yo · G · bht
249502
7037.7
5/1·6.00
SP
915
J: Adam Grant(7) · T: Henry de Bromhead · draw 2
7yo · G · chtb
13093
7440.4
9/2F·5.50
SP
1013
3yo · F · gp
021646
6243.6
12/1·13.00
SP
1112
J: Rory Cleary · T: Brendan W Duke · draw 16
3yo · F · ch
P5210
6355.3
10/1·11.00
SP
128
5yo · M · b
350675
6233.5
16/1·17.00
SP
1311
J: James Ryan · T: A Oliver · draw 4
3yo · G · b
556065
6336.1
33/1·34.00
SP
1414
J: Robert Whearty · T: A Oliver · draw 8
3yo · G · chh
070
6234.2
40/1·41.00
SP
——
J: · T: J S Bolger · draw 1
3yo · F · br
0600
4823.3—
——
4yo · G · b
903460
6031.4—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:44 Down Royal on 28 September 2026?

Minaun View (GB) won the 15:44 Down Royal at SP 9.00. Ridden by Patrick McGettigan. Trained by Adrian McGuinness.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:44 Down Royal?

No — the AI top pick (Zheleznaya Dama) finished 11.

What were the placings in the 15:44 Down Royal?

Top finishers: 1. Minaun View (GB) (9.00), 2. Faoladh (IRE) (8.50), 3. Thru And Thru (IRE) (8.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:44 Down Royal?

The winning time was 1m 30.68s.

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