Who won the 14:32 Bath on 29 September 2026?
Hebridean Nomad (GB) won the 14:32 Bath at SP 7.00. Ridden by Charlie Tucker. Trained by Andrew Balding.
14:32 Bath
Mj Church Handicap Stakes
1m5f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 13 runners · £4,187 · Tuesday, 29 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stHebridean Nomad (GB)Charlie Tucker·Andrew Balding6/1·7.00SP
- 2ndVirtue Diligence (GB)Rob Hornby·Amanda Perrett·beaten 1.25 lengths33/1·34.00SP
- 3rdPercy Jones (GB)Taylor Fisher·Mark Loughnane·beaten 0.3 lengths15/2·8.50SP
Race time
2m 49.99s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Hebridean Nomad (GB))
“Settled in rear division within striking range - improved 3f out and hit front over 1f out - pushed along and stayed on strongly inside final furlong to win”
AI top-rated Moab (score 61.9) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way51.6/100 rating
Hebridean Nomad
9.50Spreadex
Place portion settles at 2.70 · 1/5 odds · 4 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Cosmo Brown
Cosmo Brown heads this 14-runner Bath mile-and-five-eighths contest on good-to-firm ground, sitting narrowly ahead of Percy Jones and Virtue Diligence, who share the same rating a pound behind, with Zarco a further two back and representing the chief dangers in what looks a competitive Class 5 heat. He tops our ratings on 73, and with the selection holding a clear edge in quality over the bottom half of the field, there is every reason to expect him to translate that advantage into a winning performance. Percy Jones and Virtue Diligence will push him hardest, and Zarco cannot be entirely dismissed at the weights, but Cosmo Brown's marginal superiority across a wide field gives his connections plenty of reason for confidence. The selection is Cosmo Brown.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Moab
Tom Marquand · Henrietta C Knight · 6yo
Top-rated of 14
score 61.9 · +9.4 clear of next best (52.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=4)Henrietta C Knight: 2/4 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight100very strong23d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight56averageLast 6: 4-1-6-3-3
- Ratings50% weight41below averageOR 62
MarketBest price 67.00 (Bet Victor) · 6th in the market of 14.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Bath 1m5f
full course data →Strong: middle favoured (IV 1.36).
Low (1–5)
IV 0.88
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.36
High (11–14)
IV 0.83
Today: Moab (draw 6) and Belle of Kt (draw 8) get the bias; Chambers (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 43 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Charlie Tucker(7) · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5 5yo · G · b | 31224 | 67 | 51.6 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 2 | 14 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Amanda Perrett · draw 12 3yo · G · bp | 83464 | 65 | 37.8 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Taylor Fisher · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 10 7yo · G · b | 364423 | 70 | 44.4 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 13 3yo · G · b | 883632 | 69 | 41.6 | 4/1J·5.00 SP |
| 5 | 9 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Henrietta C Knight · draw 6 6yo · G · b | 41633 | 62 | 61.9 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 6 | 10 | J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Harry Eustace · draw 14 3yo · G · b | 54642 | 67 | 42.3 | 4/1J·5.00 SP |
| 7 | 12 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ed de Giles · draw 7 6yo · G · ch | 142429 | 59 | 39.5 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 8 | 2 | J: Millie Wonnacott(5) · T: J. S. Moore · draw 8 5yo · M · ch | 111130 | 68 | 52.5 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 9 | 11 | J: Charles Bishop · T: Sheena West · draw 3 6yo · G · b | 22118 | 60 | 39.6 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 10 | 5 | J: Finley Marsh · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 4 7yo · M · b | 354169 | 63 | 38.5 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 11 | 13 | J: David Probert · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 9 9yo · G · ch | 04524 | 58 | 46.4 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 12 | 8 | J: William Carson · T: Robert Stephens · draw 2 5yo · G · bp | 24766 | 62 | 34.4 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 13 | 6 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 1 3yo · F · b | 80313 | 70 | 52.2 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| — | — | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Faye Bramley · draw 11 4yo · G · b | 45714 | 64 | 50.2 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:32 Bath?
No — the AI top pick (Moab) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 14:32 Bath?
Top finishers: 1. Hebridean Nomad (GB) (7.00), 2. Virtue Diligence (GB) (34.00), 3. Percy Jones (GB) (8.50).
What was the winning time for the 14:32 Bath?
The winning time was 2m 49.99s.
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