Who won the 15:02 Bath on 29 September 2026?
Chilly Breeze (GB) won the 15:02 Bath at SP 9.50. Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa. Trained by Ian Williams.
15:02 Bath
Ael Solutions Handicap Stakes
1m · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 12 runners · £3,454 · Tuesday, 29 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 11thRace report
- 1stChilly Breeze (GB)Silvestre De Sousa·Ian Williams17/2·9.50SP
- 2ndRating (IRE)Rossa Ryan·Grace Harris·beaten .75 lengths4/1·5.00SP
- 3rdAmarachi (IRE)Jack Mitchell·Joseph Parr·beaten 1.75 lengths3/1·4.00SP
Race time
1m 38.52s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Chilly Breeze (GB))
“Handy throughout - went to the front over 2f out and pushed along over 1f out - pulled away inside final furlong and stayed on well to win”
AI top-rated Denby's Dream (score 50.2) finished 11th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 20.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way47.2/100 rating
Rating
6.40Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Exotic Baby
Exotic Baby heads this fourteen-runner Bath mile on good-to-firm ground with a clear edge over her rivals on our assessments, sitting six pounds clear of Mayberry Moon and nine ahead of Rating, though in a Class 6 contest confidence in the formbook can be fragile and the selection's advantage, while genuine, comes with the caveat that the danger trio of Mayberry Moon, Rating and Dappled Light are all capable of running well if matching their best efforts. Mayberry Moon and Rating represent the most credible threats, and Dappled Light cannot be entirely dismissed either, but on the merits Exotic Baby has enough in hand to justify selection. The pick is Exotic Baby.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Denby's Dream
Nicola Currie · Charlie Pike · 3yo
Top-rated of 14
score 50.2 · +2.8 clear of next best (47.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong16d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight73small sample (n=7)Charlie Pike: 2/7 winners last 14d (29%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Ratings50% weight39below averageOR 59
- Form20% weight30weakLast 6: 0-7-1-6-6-6
MarketBest price 67.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 7th in the market of 14.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Bath 1m
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.18).
Low (1–5)
IV 1.18
Mid (6–10)
IV 0.97
High (11–14)
IV 0.82
Today: Denby's Dream (draw 5) and Thiscouldbefun (draw 3) get the bias; Buckland Belle (draw 13) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 106 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Ian Williams · draw 9 4yo · G · ch | 976220 | 65 | 41.3 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Grace Harris · draw 2 5yo · M · chp | 535183 | 65 | 47.2 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Joseph Parr · draw 6 4yo · F · bp | 629612 | 62 | 42.5 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 4 | 10 | J: Joe Leavy · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 14 8yo · G · b | 812127 | 59 | 42.3 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Taylor Fisher · T: J. S. Moore · draw 3 4yo · F · bp | 030146 | 65 | 47.4 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 6 | 14 | J: Jack Dace(5) · T: George Baker · draw 10 3yo · G · b | 505043 | 58 | 43.5 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 13 3yo · F · b | 213212 | 63 | 46.5 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 8 | 12 | J: Donagh Murphy(5) · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 8 4yo · G · ch | 264138 | 56 | 38.3 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 9 | 4 | J: Finley Marsh · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 12 6yo · G · bp | 112247 | 64 | 42.4 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 10 | 6 | J: Ben Ffrench Davis(5) · T: Dominic Ffrench Davis · draw 4 4yo · G · ch | 7570 | 62 | 29.6 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 11 | 13 | J: Nicola Currie · T: Charlie Pike · draw 5 3yo · F · grh | 071666 | 59 | 50.2 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 12 | 11 | J: Charlie Tucker(7) · T: Kathy Turner · draw 11 8yo · G · grp | 9898 | 59 | 43.9 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Charles Bishop · T: Thomas Faulkner · draw 1 4yo · G · bh | 90457 | 63 | 34.0 | — |
| — | — | J: David Probert · T: Ian Williams · draw 7 3yo · G · b | 045709 | 65 | 36.3 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:02 Bath?
No — the AI top pick (Denby's Dream) finished 11.
What were the placings in the 15:02 Bath?
Top finishers: 1. Chilly Breeze (GB) (9.50), 2. Rating (IRE) (5.00), 3. Amarachi (IRE) (4.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:02 Bath?
The winning time was 1m 38.52s.
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