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RacingAlpha

16:02 Bath

Sw Hire Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners · £5,339 · Tuesday, 29 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Forager (GB)
    Jack Mitchell·Simon Pearce
    18/1·19.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    South Shore (GB)AI top pick · 56.0
    Tom Marquand·Robert Cowell·beaten 2 lengths
    7/2J·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Toolatetonegotiate (GB)
    Millie Wonnacott·Daisy Hitchins·beaten 1.25 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
Race time
58.97s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Forager (GB))

“Handy early - went to the front 2f out - pulled away inside the final furlong and kept on strongly to win easily”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way56.0/100 rating
South Shore
7.00LiveScore Bet
Place portion settles at 2.20 · 1/5 odds · 4 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Brave Nation

Brave Nation heads this twelve-runner Class 4 sprint at Bath on good-to-firm ground, sitting narrowly ahead of Jax Edge and Forager, who share the same rating and represent the most credible threats to his chance over the five furlongs. Alondra, a pound or two further back, cannot be entirely dismissed in what is a competitive little heat. The confidence is modest, but Brave Nation's edge at the head of the ratings makes him the logical call, and he is selected to justify that standing with a performance to match.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

South Shore

Tom Marquand · Robert Cowell · 5yo

Top-rated of 12
score 56.0 · +5.2 clear of next best (50.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    87very strong
    Last 6: 1-1-2-2-2-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    32d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    50average
    OR 75
  • Trainer20% weight
    25weak
    Robert Cowell: 1/10 winners last 14d (10%)
MarketBest price 7.00 (LiveScore Bet) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Bath 5f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.12).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.12
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.06
High (9–12)
IV 0.81

Today: South Shore (draw 2) and Jax Edge (draw 3) get the bias; Aces Wild (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 187 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Jack Mitchell · T: Simon Pearce · draw 7
4yo · F · b
16974
7741.6
18/1·19.00
SP
27
J: Tom Marquand · T: Robert Cowell · draw 2
5yo · G · b
112221
7556.0
7/2J·4.50
SP
31
4yo · F · grp
321082
7946.2
6/1·7.00
SP
410
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Tony Carroll · draw 1
4yo · G · bp
631267
6744.3
20/1·21.00
SP
56
J: William Carson · T: Michael Attwater · draw 5
6yo · G · b
74316
7644.3
16/1·17.00
SP
63
J: Gina Mangan · T: Christopher Mason · draw 3
6yo · M · b
617823
7745.7
9/2·5.50
SP
72
J: Taryn Langley(5) · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 12
7yo · G · b
611310
7948.3
18/1·19.00
SP
88
J: David Probert · T: Ian Williams · draw 8
6yo · G · ch
618221
7250.8
7/2J·4.50
SP
99
3yo · G · bt
374104
7342.9
11/1·12.00
SP
1011
J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: J. S. Moore · draw 9
3yo · F · b
522464
6747.6
25/1·26.00
SP
1112
J: Olivia Haines(7) · T: J. S. Moore · draw 11
3yo · G · b
52518
5946.9
40/1·41.00
SP
125
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon · draw 6
4yo · F · b
335841
7642.6
7/1·8.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:02 Bath on 29 September 2026?

Forager (GB) won the 16:02 Bath at SP 19.00. Ridden by Jack Mitchell. Trained by Simon Pearce.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:02 Bath?

No — the AI top pick (South Shore) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 16:02 Bath?

Top finishers: 1. Forager (GB) (19.00), 2. South Shore (GB) (4.50), 3. Toolatetonegotiate (GB) (7.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:02 Bath?

The winning time was 58.97s.

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