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Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners · £3,245 · Tuesday, 29 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Dark Mandate (GB)
    Billy Loughnane·Eve Johnson Houghton
    11/10F·2.10
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Distillation (FR)AI top pick · 44.2
    Rose Dawes·Mark Usher·beaten 0.3 lengths
    6/4·2.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Deadline (FR)
    Sean Levey·Warren Greatrex·beaten 3.25 lengths
    15/2·8.50
    SP
Race time
1m 27.15s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Dark Mandate (GB))

“Sat just behind the front pair - shaken up into third 2f out - stayed on well 1f out - closed on the front runner inside the last 110yds - edged ahead near the line to win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way44.2/100 rating
Distillation
5.00LiveScore Bet

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Distillation

Distillation arrives here on a progressive profile that gives cause for optimism despite sitting narrowly below the top-rated Venetian Romance, who holds a six-point edge on our figures and must be respected as the chief threat, with Sup of Red and Roccobear also capable of making this competitive at this level. The selection's upward trajectory suggests the rating gap may not fully reflect current ability, and a clear run over this seven-furlong Wolverhampton trip could see the improvement continue. Distillation is the pick, though this is not a race to get carried away with.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Distillation

Rose Dawes(3) · Mark Usher · 3yo

Top-rated of 11
score 44.2 · +2.9 clear of next best (41.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    8d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    67strong
    Last 6: 4-1-5-6-2-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    39below average
    OR 58
  • Trainer20% weight
    23weak
    Mark Usher: 1/11 winners last 14d (9%)
MarketBest price 5.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 2nd in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Wolverhampton (AW) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 1.05
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.09
High (9–11)
IV 0.86

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 403 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
3yo · G · b
06342
5841.4
11/10F·2.10
SP
21
J: Rose Dawes(3) · T: Mark Usher · draw 6
3yo · G · b
415621
5844.2
6/4·2.50
SP
33
J: Sean Levey · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 7
3yo · G · ch
66545
6034.9
15/2·8.50
SP
42
J: Clifford Lee · T: J. R. Jenkins · draw 8
3yo · G · b
825635
6034.3
10/1·11.00
SP
57
J: Hector Crouch · T: Clive Cox · draw 3
3yo · F · b
8495
5439.3
28/1·29.00
SP
68
J: Luke Morris · T: Lisa Williamson · draw 11
3yo · F · b
868619
5431.6
40/1·41.00
SP
710
J: Harry Davies · T: George Margarson · draw 9
3yo · F · ch
452850
4736.2
66/1·67.00
SP
811
J: James Sullivan · T: Lisa Williamson · draw 4
3yo · F · grhpFT HP
004709
4223.2
200/1·201.00
SP
96
J: Darragh Keenan · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 1
3yo · F · b
252756
5834.5
25/1·26.00
SP
109
J: Cieren Fallon · T: Micky Fenton · draw 5
3yo · F · b
754150
5032.4
40/1·41.00
SP
——
J: Kieren Fox · T: Michael Attwater · draw 10
3yo · F · chp
946269
6035.8—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:00 Wolverhampton (AW) on 29 September 2026?

Dark Mandate (GB) won the 18:00 Wolverhampton (AW) at SP 2.10. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by Eve Johnson Houghton.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Distillation) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Dark Mandate (GB) (2.10), 2. Distillation (FR) (2.50), 3. Deadline (FR) (8.50).

What was the winning time for the 18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 27.15s.

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