Who won the 18:30 Kempton (AW) on 30 September 2026?
Hove Ranger (FR) won the 18:30 Kempton (AW) at SP 3.50. Ridden by Hector Crouch. Trained by Gary & Josh Moore.
18:30 Kempton (AW)
Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes
1m · Flat · Class 6 · Standard / Slow · 11 runners · £3,140 · Wednesday, 30 September 2026
Result
AI top pick was a non-runnerRace report
- 1stHove Ranger (FR)Hector Crouch·Gary & Josh Moore5/2F·3.50SP
- 2ndMr Fustic (IRE)Oisin Murphy·Andi Brown·beaten 1.5 lengths9/2·5.50SP
- 3rdMelodical (GB)Kieran Shoemark·Ed Walker·beaten 0.3 lengths20/1·21.00SP
Race time
1m 41.62s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Hove Ranger (FR))
“Raced behind the main group - nudged up and made progress over 2f out - challenging for second 1f out - went in front over 110yds out - kept on strongly to win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way46.1/100 rating
Mr Fustic
6.60Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Forca Timao
Forca Timao is our selection here, and he is only a pound behind Karakula Dancer on our figures, so there is little between them. He gets the nod for a progressive profile, and the clock backs his form, which suggests there could be more to come at this Class 6 level over a mile on the Kempton all-weather. Karakula Dancer is the top-rated runner and the obvious danger, while Mr Fustic and Melodical are both within a handful of pounds and could make it a tight finish in a competitive 12-runner field. Forca Timao is the pick, though this is a race with no standout.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Barbuda Bay
Dougie Costello · Roger Teal · 3yo
Top-rated of 13
score 51.4 · +4.4 clear of next best (46.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong27d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight78strongRoger Teal: 5/16 winners last 14d (31%)
- Ratings50% weight39below averageOR 59
- Form20% weight31weakLast 6: 8-6-0-5-3-5
MarketBest price 19.00 (Betfair Sportsbook) · 9th in the market of 13.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).
Low (1–5)
IV 1.05
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.17
High (11–14)
IV 0.80
Today: Squiffy (draw 7) and Melodical (draw 9) get the bias; Barbuda Bay (draw 13) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 12 3yo · G · b | 21531 | 56 | 46.9 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andi Brown · draw 11 8yo · G · btp | 314504 | 56 | 46.1 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 3 | 14 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 9 3yo · F · b | 35655 | 56 | 43.7 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Alice Bond(5) · T: Martin Dunne · draw 1 3yo · G · b | 253833 | 60 | 39.7 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Gina Mangan · T: Michael Attwater · draw 10 5yo · M · b | 16813 | 55 | 39.9 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Finley Marsh · T: Heather Main · draw 7 4yo · F · br | 4140 | 60 | 46.1 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 7 | 12 | J: George Bass · T: Jack Channon · draw 5 3yo · G · bv | 013565 | 57 | 39.4 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 8 | 9 | J: Alec Voikhansky · T: Laura Mongan · draw 8 4yo · G · bp | 297386 | 54 | 31.7 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 9 | 10 | J: Paddy Bradley · T: Pat Phelan · draw 3 4yo · F · b | 059941 | 54 | 36.8 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 10 | 3 | J: Charles Bishop · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 879 | 60 | 37.4 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 11 | 11 | J: Jonny Peate · T: Michael Keady · draw 6 3yo · F · bp | 30740 | 57 | 42.3 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Dougie Costello · T: Roger Teal · draw 13 3yo · F · bvFT V | 860535 | 59 | 51.4 | — |
| — | — | J: Kieren Fox · T: Mark Pattinson · draw 14 6yo · G · bh | 644538 | 59 | 36.6 | — |
| — | — | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Michael Keady · draw 2 3yo · F · g | 59998 | 60 | 42.8 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:30 Kempton (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Barbuda Bay) was a non-runner or unplaced.
What were the placings in the 18:30 Kempton (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Hove Ranger (FR) (3.50), 2. Mr Fustic (IRE) (5.50), 3. Melodical (GB) (21.00).
What was the winning time for the 18:30 Kempton (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 41.62s.
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