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Industry Leading In-play Markets At Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)

1m · Flat · Class 4 · Standard / Slow · 13 runners · £6,281 · Wednesday, 30 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Elan D'or (GB)
    Kieran Shoemark·Stuart Williams
    20/1·21.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Loblolly (IRE)
    Cieren Fallon·S. P. C. Woods·beaten .75 lengths
    10/1·11.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Venetian Lion (GB)AI top pick · 60.0
    Tom Marquand·William Haggas·beaten .5 lengths
    6/5F·2.20
    SP
Race time
1m 40.29s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Elan D'or (GB))

“Prominent wide early - in front after 3f - nudged 2f out and drew clear - kept on resolutely to win unextended”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.20 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way55.9/100 rating
Le Samourai
7.50Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.30 · 1/5 odds · 4 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Elan d'Or

Elan d'Or heads our ratings at 91 in a tightly packed 14-runner Class 4 over a mile on the Kempton all-weather, and that top billing is enough to make him the one to be on. He is only level with Chalk Mountain, so there is nothing between them on our figures, while Gilet is a pound back and Zoffandia just two pounds adrift, which makes this a competitive heat rather than a one-horse contest. Those three are the chief dangers, but Elan d'Or's peak rating puts him at the head of a well-matched group, and the rest of the field sits a few pounds below that level. Elan d'Or is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Venetian Lion

Tom Marquand · William Haggas · 3yo

Top-rated of 14
score 60.0 · +1.8 clear of next best (58.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    85very strong
    Last 6: 9-6-2-1-1-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    13d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    54average
    OR 81
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    William Haggas: 10/55 winners last 14d (18%)
MarketBest price 1.97 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.05
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.17
High (11–14)
IV 0.80

Today: Silent City (draw 6) and Shimmy Jimmy (draw 10) get the bias; Elan d'Or (draw 13) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Stuart Williams · draw 13
3yo · C · b
503351
8555.3
20/1·21.00
SP
29
J: Cieren Fallon · T: S. P. C. Woods · draw 5
3yo · G · bp
334716
8146.5
10/1·11.00
SP
310
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 2
3yo · G · cht
962111
8160.0
6/5F·2.20
SP
45
J: Rob Hornby · T: Zoe Hawkins · draw 1
6yo · G · grt
727463
8041.8
7/1·8.00
SP
52
J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 6
4yo · F · b
31236
8254.5
13/2·7.50
SP
64
J: Sean Levey · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 12
4yo · G · b
02436
8050.6
12/1·13.00
SP
713
6yo · G · brt
16478
7643.0
50/1·51.00
SP
81
J: Hector Crouch · T: Edward Bethell · draw 10
4yo · C · grp
6224
8447.8
25/1·26.00
SP
914
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Alan King · draw 4
3yo · G · b
70338
8058.1
14/1·15.00
SP
1012
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 8
4yo · G · grp
233150
7744.5
40/1·41.00
SP
1111
J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Harry Eustace · draw 7
3yo · C · ch
5136
8143.3
9/1·10.00
SP
127
J: Josephine Gordon · T: Keiran Burke · draw 11
5yo · G · chtv
157270
7954.5
22/1·23.00
SP
138
J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 14
4yo · G · b
419626
7851.1
14/1·15.00
SP
——
J: James Doyle · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 3
3yo · G · cht
0120
8355.9—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:00 Kempton (AW) on 30 September 2026?

Elan D'or (GB) won the 19:00 Kempton (AW) at SP 21.00. Ridden by Kieran Shoemark. Trained by Stuart Williams.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:00 Kempton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Venetian Lion) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 19:00 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Elan D'or (GB) (21.00), 2. Loblolly (IRE) (11.00), 3. Venetian Lion (GB) (2.20).

What was the winning time for the 19:00 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 40.29s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org