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Next · 1h 21m14:30Gowran Park

Ebfstallions.com Conditions Stakes (gbb Race)

6f · Flat · Class 2 · Standard / Slow · 6 runners · £13,400 · Wednesday, 30 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Kind Of Blue (GB)
    James Doyle·James Fanshawe
    4/5F·1.80
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Mitbaahy (IRE)
    Tom Marquand·Charles Hills·beaten .75 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Montassib (GB)
    Cieren Fallon·William Haggas·beaten 0.3 lengths
    17/2·9.50
    SP
Race time
1m 12.28s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Kind Of Blue (GB))

“Pressed the pace in second - pushed along then hit the front over 1f out - kept up to work final 110yds - held on to win comfortably”

AI top-rated Wise Approach (score 72.7) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Kind of Blue

Kind of Blue heads our figures on 120, four pounds better than Montassib on 116, and that edge is enough to make him the pick in a tightly packed Class 2 sprint at Kempton. Montassib is the chief danger, with Spy Chief only a pound further back on 115, while Wise Approach is a little further adrift on 108 but cannot be ignored in a six-runner field. The gap is a narrow one and the leading trio are closely matched, so this is no formality, but Kind of Blue has the best figures on the day. Kind of Blue is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Wise Approach

William Buick · Charlie Appleby · 3yo

Top-rated of 6
score 72.7 · +9.1 clear of next best (63.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    Charlie Appleby: 10/21 winners last 14d (48%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    18d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    75strong
    OR 112 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    27weak
    Last 6: 5-4-0-7-4
MarketBest price 3.05 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.33).

Low (1–2)
IV 1.33
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.89
High (5–6)
IV 0.74

Today: Kind of Blue (draw 1) and Montassib (draw 2) get the bias; Wise Approach (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 251 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: James Doyle · T: James Fanshawe · draw 1
5yo · H · b
20205
11163.7
4/5F·1.80
SP
23
J: Tom Marquand · T: Charles Hills · draw 4
7yo · G · bt
05239
10653.9
9/1·10.00
SP
34
J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 2
8yo · G · ch
37545
10557.3
17/2·9.50
SP
46
J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 6
3yo · C · bp
54074
11272.7
3/1·4.00
SP
55
4yo · G · bh
38206
10758.7
17/2·9.50
SP
61
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 5
5yo · G · b
124704
10257.9
40/1·41.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:30 Kempton (AW) on 30 September 2026?

Kind Of Blue (GB) won the 19:30 Kempton (AW) at SP 1.80. Ridden by James Doyle. Trained by James Fanshawe.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:30 Kempton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Wise Approach) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 19:30 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Kind Of Blue (GB) (1.80), 2. Mitbaahy (IRE) (10.00), 3. Montassib (GB) (9.50).

What was the winning time for the 19:30 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 12.28s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org