Who won the 14:09 Bellewstown on 30 September 2026?
Borora Aura (IRE) won the 14:09 Bellewstown at SP 5.00. Ridden by Terry Casey. Trained by Michael Mulvany.
14:09 Bellewstown
IrelandGilna's Of Laytown Optional Claiming Maiden
1m · Flat · Soft To Heavy · 10 runners · €7,200 · Wednesday, 30 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stBorora Aura (IRE)Terry Casey·Michael Mulvany4/1·5.00SP
- 2ndStorzando (IRE)Wesley Joyce·Michael Mulvany·beaten 1.25 lengths7/1·8.00SP
- 3rdSenna's Girl (IRE)Sam Coen·Diego Dias·beaten 3.75 lengths7/2·4.50SP
Race time
1m 45.78s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Borora Aura (IRE))
“Led from the start - shoved along 2f out - kept finding for driving in final furlong to win”
AI top-rated Elusive Path (score 51.5) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.73 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way38.2/100 rating
Senna's Girl
6.50Virgin Bet
Place portion settles at 2.10 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Why the model rates this top
Elusive Path
Colin Keane · G. M. Lyons · 3yo
Top-rated of 10
score 51.5 · +1.1 clear of next best (50.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong28d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight52averageLast 6: 3-2-3-5
- Ratings50% weight49below averageOR 74 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight33weakG. M. Lyons: 2/16 winners last 14d (13%)
MarketBest price 1.91 (Hollywood Bets) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Bellewstown 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 1.08
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.98
High (8–10)
IV 0.93
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 58 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | J: Terry Casey(7) · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 2 3yo · F · bt | 966073 | 47 | 30.8 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 2 | 7 | J: Wesley Joyce · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 9 3yo · G · ch | 637084 | 66 | 33.8 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Sam Coen(5) · T: Diego Dias · draw 10 4yo · F · chp | 043057 | 70 | 38.2 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: J M Sheridan · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 6 4yo · G · b | 4576 | 67 | 43.4 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Colin Keane · T: G. M. Lyons · draw 1 3yo · G · bpFT P | 3235 | 74 | 51.5 | 8/11F·1.73 SP |
| 6 | 9 | J: Patrick McGettigan(5) · T: W R Crawford · draw 7 3yo · G · b | 008 | — | 9.5 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: Jared Huggan(10) · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 3 4yo · G · bt | 304597 | 64 | 42.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 8 | 4 | J: G. F. Carroll · T: J A Nash · draw 5 3yo · C · b | 00 | — | 8.5 | 200/1·201.00 SP |
| — | 3 | J: Reese Holohan(5) · T: C W J Farrell · draw 8 3yo · F · b | 7620 | 72 | 36.3 | — |
| — | 6 | J: W. J. Lee · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 4 3yo · F · b | 233234 | 73 | 50.3 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:09 Bellewstown?
No — the AI top pick (Elusive Path) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 14:09 Bellewstown?
Top finishers: 1. Borora Aura (IRE) (5.00), 2. Storzando (IRE) (8.00), 3. Senna's Girl (IRE) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 14:09 Bellewstown?
The winning time was 1m 45.78s.
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