Who won the 14:10 Bellewstown on 1 October 2026?
Big Bill (FR) won the 14:10 Bellewstown at SP 5.00. Ridden by Reese Holohan. Trained by Aidan Melia.
14:10 Bellewstown
IrelandBluegrass Horse Feed Handicap
1m · Flat · Soft To Heavy · 9 runners · €6,000 · Thursday, 1 October 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 6thRace report
- 1stBig Bill (FR)Reese Holohan·Aidan Melia4/1·5.00SP
- 2ndArizona Star (IRE)Wesley Joyce·Michael Mulvany·beaten .5 lengths7/2J·4.50SP
- 3rdGlasarmi (IRE)Rory Mulligan·Rory Anthony Devine·beaten 1.75 lengths13/2·7.50SP
Race time
1m 43.10s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Big Bill (FR))
“Prominent early and 3rd halfway - went 2nd over 2f out and moved smoothly into front 1 1/2f out - pushed 2 lengths ahead 150 yards out - margin shrank near the line but held on to win”
AI top-rated Nephin Mountain (score 44.3) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way38.1/100 rating
Glasarmi
9.60Smarkets
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Nephin Mountain
Nephin Mountain looks the right one to side with at Bellewstown, where a progressive profile and a clock that backs up the form give him a sound platform on the soft ground over a mile. Glasarmi is the top-rated runner on our figures at 66, four pounds ahead of ours at 62, so she is the chief danger, but the upward curve and the time evidence favour Nephin Mountain. Big Bill is on level terms with our selection on rating, and Glen Breeze, six pounds further back, completes the dangers in a race that looks open enough. Nephin Mountain is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Nephin Mountain
G. F. Carroll · Michael Mulvany · 3yo
Top-rated of 9
score 44.3 · +3.3 clear of next best (41.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong16d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight57averageLast 6: 1-6-5-1-3-4
- Ratings50% weight39below averageOR 58 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight18weakMichael Mulvany: 1/15 winners last 14d (7%)
MarketBest price 101.00 (Virgin Bet) · 8th in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Bellewstown 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.08
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.98
High (7–9)
IV 0.93
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 58 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Reese Holohan(5) · T: Aidan Melia · draw 3 3yo · G · bpFT P | 07605 | 56 | 28.9 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 2 | 9 | J: Wesley Joyce · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 5 3yo · F · br | 063850 | 40 | 30.7 | 7/2J·4.50 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: Rory Anthony Devine · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 54506 | 57 | 38.1 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: W. J. Lee · T: W. McCreery · draw 4 3yo · G · ch | 400 | 52 | 32.3 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Robert Whearty · T: F G Hand · draw 1 3yo · F · cht | 00027 | 48 | 31.2 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: G. F. Carroll · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 8 3yo · G · ch | 165134 | 58 | 44.3 | 7/2J·4.50 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: Ben Coen · T: Patrick Magee · draw 9 3yo · G · btp | 165905 | 49 | 41.0 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: Patrick McGettigan(5) · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 7 3yo · G · b | 00090 | 42 | 25.3 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 9 | 7 | J: Nicola Burns(5) · T: Paul Traynor · draw 2 3yo · F · b | 96930 | 45 | 25.6 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:10 Bellewstown?
No — the AI top pick (Nephin Mountain) finished 6.
What were the placings in the 14:10 Bellewstown?
Top finishers: 1. Big Bill (FR) (5.00), 2. Arizona Star (IRE) (4.50), 3. Glasarmi (IRE) (7.50).
What was the winning time for the 14:10 Bellewstown?
The winning time was 1m 43.10s.
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