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RacingAlpha

Ebf Slip Anchor Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 4 runners · £5,940 · Thursday, 1 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Caelum (IRE)
    Kevin Stott·Kevin Ryan
    8/15F·1.53
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Crimson Blaze (GB)AI top pick · 47.1
    William Buick·Richard Hughes·beaten 1 length
    10/1·11.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Viking Barbie (IRE)
    Callum Rodriguez·Ollie Sangster·beaten 8 lengths
    2/1·3.00
    SP
Race time
1m 0.97s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Caelum (IRE))

“dropped out last and took strong hold early - made ground on the front pair 2f out - went to the front inside final furlong - kept on strongly to score comfortably”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 10.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Crimson Blaze

William Buick · Richard Hughes · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 47.1 · +2.1 clear of next best (45.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    18d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    43below average
    OR 64
  • Trainer20% weight
    43below average
    Richard Hughes: 5/30 winners last 14d (17%)
  • Form20% weight
    36below average
    Last 6: 5-6-8-6-4-3
MarketBest price 15.50 (Betfair Exchange) · 4th in the market of 5.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Nottingham 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.90
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.04
High (5–5)
IV 1.08

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 149 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 3
2yo · C · b
2
—32.6
8/15F·1.53
SP
22
J: William Buick · T: Richard Hughes · draw 4
2yo · F · b
568643
6447.1
10/1·11.00
SP
35
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 1
2yo · F · b
432435
6944.1
2/1·3.00
SP
44
J: Dale Swift · T: Brian Ellison · draw 2
2yo · F · ch
8
—15.5
125/1·126.00
SP
——
J: Callum Shepherd · T: Michael Bell · draw 5
2yo · F · b
526
7645.0—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 13:23 Nottingham on 1 October 2026?

Caelum (IRE) won the 13:23 Nottingham at SP 1.53. Ridden by Kevin Stott. Trained by Kevin Ryan.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:23 Nottingham?

No — the AI top pick (Crimson Blaze) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 13:23 Nottingham?

Top finishers: 1. Caelum (IRE) (1.53), 2. Crimson Blaze (GB) (11.00), 3. Viking Barbie (IRE) (3.00).

What was the winning time for the 13:23 Nottingham?

The winning time was 1m 0.97s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org