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14:39 Salisbury

'pyledriver' British Ebf Novice Stakes (Div II) (gbb Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Soft · 12 runners · £7,020 · Thursday, 1 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 11/4F·3.75
  1. 1st
    Kamaal (IRE)AI top pick · 61.5
    Colin Keane·Jack Jones
    11/4F·3.75
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Moon Rock (FR)
    Tom Marquand·Ed Walker·beaten 1.25 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Showmaster (GB)
    Joe Leavy·Clive Cox·beaten 1.25 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
1m 29.71s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Kamaal (IRE))

“Raced just behind the front pair - moved up sharply over 3f out - went to the front over 1f out - challenged to the line and jostled inside the final furlong - gained the upper hand near the finish to win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way23.0/100 rating
Moon Rock
4.90Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Kamaal

Colin Keane · Jack Jones · 2yo

Top-rated of 12
score 61.5 · +35.5 clear of next best (26.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    28d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83very strong
    Jack Jones: 4/12 winners last 14d (33%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    58average
    OR 87 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    30weak
    Last 6: 5-0-8-3
MarketBest price 4.33 (Hollywood Bets) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Salisbury 7f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.89
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.16
High (9–12)
IV 0.98

Today: Vulcanist (draw 6) and Close Circle (draw 5) get the bias; Showmaster (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 90 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Colin Keane · T: Jack Jones · draw 11
2yo · C · b
5083
8761.5
11/4F·3.75
SP
25
J: Tom Marquand · T: Ed Walker · draw 2
2yo · C · b
6
—23.0
3/1·4.00
SP
37
J: Joe Leavy · T: Clive Cox · draw 3
2yo · C · br
——25.5
4/1·5.00
SP
43
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Harry Charlton · draw 10
2yo · C · b
——23.0
11/1·12.00
SP
510
J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 6
2yo · C · b
——26.0
9/2·5.50
SP
69
J: David Egan · T: Brian Meehan · draw 7
2yo · C · b
——20.5
5/1·6.00
SP
76
J: Tyler Heard · T: Marcus Tregoning · draw 12
2yo · C · b
56
—19.2
50/1·51.00
SP
811
J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Jim Boyle · draw 8
2yo · F · b
0
—20.0
500/1·501.00
SP
92
2yo · G · b
——24.0
40/1·41.00
SP
101
J: Nicola Currie · T: Henry Candy · draw 4
2yo · C · b
9
—9.7
80/1·81.00
SP
118
J: Pat Dobbs · T: Amanda Perrett · draw 1
2yo · C · b
0
—10.0
40/1·41.00
SP
1212
J: George Downing · T: Seamus Mullins · draw 9
2yo · F · ch
0
—18.5
500/1·501.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:39 Salisbury on 1 October 2026?

Kamaal (IRE) won the 14:39 Salisbury at SP 3.75. Ridden by Colin Keane. Trained by Jack Jones.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:39 Salisbury?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Kamaal, won the race (AI score 61.5).

What were the placings in the 14:39 Salisbury?

Top finishers: 1. Kamaal (IRE) (3.75), 2. Moon Rock (FR) (4.00), 3. Showmaster (GB) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:39 Salisbury?

The winning time was 1m 29.71s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org