Who won the 16:35 Southwell on 1 October 2026?
Wild Goose (IRE) won the 16:35 Southwell at SP 6.50. Ridden by Aamilah Aswat. Trained by Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls.
Old Stag 70th Birthday Handicap Hurdle Race
2m · Hurdle · Class 4 · Good · 8 runners · £4,066 · Thursday, 1 October 2026
Race time recorded.
“prominent early - pushed along and moved right approaching 2 out - kept on well on the run-in to hit front late and win”
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Duke of Luckley is our selection at Southwell, and he looks the right one to side with despite Last Kingdom holding the higher figure on our ratings. At 125 he sits only five pounds behind that rival, a gap his progressive profile and fitness edge should be enough to close over the 16 furlongs. Last Kingdom is the chief danger as the top-rated runner, while Bluegrass and Wild Goose, rated 120 and 119, are the others most likely to make it a race. Duke of Luckley is the pick, with his improving profile the deciding factor.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Tom Cannon · Alan King · 7yo
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Aamilah Aswat(10) · T: Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls · draw 0 6yo · G · bt | 14215 | 121 | 59.8 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Charlie Hammond · T: Stuart Edmunds · draw 0 7yo · G · btb | 34487 | 115 | 70.2 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Jack Tudor · T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero · draw 0 6yo · G · btp | 61413 | 114 | 62.1 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: Freddie Keighley(5) · T: Martin Keighley · draw 0 9yo · G · bv | 1311 | 120 | 68.4 | 100/30F·4.33 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Tom Cannon · T: Alan King · draw 0 7yo · M · b | 21113 | 110 | 70.2 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Richie McLernon · T: Faye Bramley · draw 0 5yo · G · b | PP709 | 121 | 58.8 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: Callum Pritchard · T: Ben Pauling · draw 0 7yo · G · b | 02904 | 109 | 56.7 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| PU | 7 | J: Brian Hughes · T: Ollie Pears · draw 0 6yo · M · b | 3U442 | 112 | 57.5 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| — | — | J: Beau Morgan(5) · T: Charles & Adam Pogson · draw 0 6yo · G · chp | 1P2P4 | 117 | 66.5 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Wild Goose (IRE) won the 16:35 Southwell at SP 6.50. Ridden by Aamilah Aswat. Trained by Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls.
No — the AI top pick (Granny Hawkins) finished 5.
Top finishers: 1. Wild Goose (IRE) (6.50), 2. Bluegrass (IRE) (5.50), 3. King Ulanda (IRE) (10.00).
The winning time was 3m 41.92s.
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