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16:35 Southwell

Old Stag 70th Birthday Handicap Hurdle Race

2m · Hurdle · Class 4 · Good · 8 runners · £4,066 · Thursday, 1 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Wild Goose (IRE)
    Aamilah Aswat·Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Bluegrass (IRE)
    Charlie Hammond·Stuart Edmunds·beaten 1 length
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    King Ulanda (IRE)
    Jack Tudor·Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero·beaten 6 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
Race time
3m 41.92s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Wild Goose (IRE))

“prominent early - pushed along and moved right approaching 2 out - kept on well on the run-in to hit front late and win”

AI top-rated Granny Hawkins (score 70.2) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way70.2/100 rating
Bluegrass
6.50Hollywood Bets
Place portion settles at 2.10 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Duke of Luckley

Duke of Luckley is our selection at Southwell, and he looks the right one to side with despite Last Kingdom holding the higher figure on our ratings. At 125 he sits only five pounds behind that rival, a gap his progressive profile and fitness edge should be enough to close over the 16 furlongs. Last Kingdom is the chief danger as the top-rated runner, while Bluegrass and Wild Goose, rated 120 and 119, are the others most likely to make it a race. Duke of Luckley is the pick, with his improving profile the deciding factor.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Granny Hawkins

Tom Cannon · Alan King · 7yo

Top-rated of 9
score 70.2 · +0.0 clear of next best (70.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    85very strong
    Last 6: 2-1-1-1-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    73strong
    OR 110
  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    88d since last run (rusty)
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    Alan King: 2/10 winners last 14d (20%)
MarketBest price 67.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 5th in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
6yo · G · bt
14215
12159.8
11/2·6.50
SP
25
J: Charlie Hammond · T: Stuart Edmunds · draw 0
7yo · G · btb
34487
11570.2
9/2·5.50
SP
36
6yo · G · btp
61413
11462.1
9/1·10.00
SP
43
9yo · G · bv
1311
12068.4
100/30F·4.33
SP
58
J: Tom Cannon · T: Alan King · draw 0
7yo · M · b
21113
11070.2
11/2·6.50
SP
61
J: Richie McLernon · T: Faye Bramley · draw 0
5yo · G · b
PP709
12158.8
22/1·23.00
SP
79
J: Callum Pritchard · T: Ben Pauling · draw 0
7yo · G · b
02904
10956.7
4/1·5.00
SP
PU7
J: Brian Hughes · T: Ollie Pears · draw 0
6yo · M · b
3U442
11257.5
15/2·8.50
SP
——
6yo · G · chp
1P2P4
11766.5—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:35 Southwell on 1 October 2026?

Wild Goose (IRE) won the 16:35 Southwell at SP 6.50. Ridden by Aamilah Aswat. Trained by Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:35 Southwell?

No — the AI top pick (Granny Hawkins) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 16:35 Southwell?

Top finishers: 1. Wild Goose (IRE) (6.50), 2. Bluegrass (IRE) (5.50), 3. King Ulanda (IRE) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:35 Southwell?

The winning time was 3m 41.92s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org