Who won the 15:00 Ascot on 2 October 2026?
Drymee (GB) won the 15:00 Ascot at SP 6.00. Ridden by James Doyle. Trained by James Fanshawe.
15:00 Ascot
Colliers Business Rates Experts Classified Stakes
1m · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · £16,200 · Friday, 2 October 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stDrymee (GB)James Doyle·James Fanshawe5/1·6.00SP
- 2ndHenlein (AUS)Kevin Stott·Kevin Ryan·beaten 0.3 lengths11/1·12.00SP
- 3rdPrincling (GB)Tom Marquand·William Haggas·beaten .75 lengths9/4·3.25SP
Race time
1m 40.52s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Drymee (GB))
“Pulled hard early - settled at the back - asked for effort 2f out and threaded through gap to hit front entering final furlong - challenged late but kept finding to win”
AI top-rated The Liffey (score 69.0) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 25.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way67.7/100 rating
Drymee
8.80Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Henlein
Henlein heads our ratings on 98, five pounds better than Princling on 93, and that is a sizeable enough edge to build a case around in a competitive twelve-runner Class 3 over a mile on good ground. Princling is the chief danger, with The Liffey and The Angel King next on 91, and a bunch of runners on 90 means this is far from a penalty-free assignment, so the confidence is low. Even so, Henlein has the best figures on the page and is the one to be with. Henlein is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
The Liffey
Marco Ghiani · Hayley Burton · 5yo
Top-rated of 12
score 69.0 · +1.2 clear of next best (67.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=2)Hayley Burton: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight100very strong19d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight60averageOR 90 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight45below averageLast 6: 5-1-1-2-6-0
MarketBest price 32.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 10th in the market of 12.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ascot 1m
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.87
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.98
High (9–12)
IV 1.16
Today: A Major Payne (draw 11) and Suspicious Mindz (draw 12) get the bias; Drymee (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 130 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | J: James Doyle · T: James Fanshawe · draw 1 3yo · G · b | 71131 | 87 | 67.7 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 2 5yo · G · bp | 70080 | 90 | 48.2 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 3 | 11 | J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 9 3yo · G · b | 21456 | 90 | 54.4 | 9/4·3.25 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: Hayley Burton · draw 5 5yo · G · btb | 511260 | 90 | 69.0 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 5 | 10 | J: Sean Levey · T: Kevin Philippart de Foy · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 029356 | 89 | 54.7 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Charles Bishop · T: Ian Williams · draw 7 4yo · G · grt | 060202 | 90 | 53.3 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: William Buick · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 8 3yo · C · b | 413 | 90 | 62.7 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 8 | 12 | J: Dale Swift · T: Seb Spencer · draw 12 3yo · G · ch | 237112 | 90 | 55.3 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 9 | 5 | J: Colin Keane · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 6 4yo · G · cht | 101 | 88 | 57.2 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| — | 2 | J: George Wood · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 3 4yo · G · b | 306125 | 89 | 59.5 | — |
| — | — | J: Rossa Ryan · T: John Butler · draw 10 4yo · G · bt | 360224 | 82 | 50.5 | — |
| — | — | J: Hector Crouch · T: Michael Bell · draw 11 5yo · G · bp | 213131 | 89 | 61.4 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:00 Ascot?
No — the AI top pick (The Liffey) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 15:00 Ascot?
Top finishers: 1. Drymee (GB) (6.00), 2. Henlein (AUS) (12.00), 3. Princling (GB) (3.25).
What was the winning time for the 15:00 Ascot?
The winning time was 1m 40.52s.
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