Who won the 15:35 Ascot on 2 October 2026?
Infraad (IRE) won the 15:35 Ascot at SP 1.67. Ridden by Tom Marquand. Trained by William Haggas.
15:35 Ascot
BetMGM Noel Murless Stakes (Listed Race)
1m6f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £56,710 · Friday, 2 October 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 4/6F·1.67Race report
- 1stInfraad (IRE)AI top pick · 71.2Tom Marquand·William Haggas4/6F·1.67SP
- 2ndGaliyan (GB)James Doyle·Andrew Balding·beaten .5 lengths5/2·3.50SP
- 3rdGalilean Quality (IRE)Clifford Lee·K. R. Burke·beaten 2.25 lengths13/2·7.50SP
Race time
3m 6.08s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Infraad (IRE))
“Raced freely early - towards the back but not detached - urged along over 2f out - closed up to challenge at the furlong pole - stayed on to hit the front inside final 110yds and won”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.67 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Infraad
Infraad is our selection at Ascot, and his progressive profile is enough to prefer him to Galiyan, who is only two pounds better on our figures. Infraad sits narrowly behind that rival on rating but looks the one with more improvement to come over this 14 furlongs on good ground. Galiyan is the main danger and has to be respected, while Galilean Quality and Guildmaster, both on 99, are the other runners capable of making it competitive. Infraad gets the nod in a tight contest.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Infraad
Tom Marquand · William Haggas · 3yo
Top-rated of 6
score 71.2 · +4.8 clear of next best (66.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight89very strongLast 6: 3-1-3-1-1
- Freshness10% weight85very strong41d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight71strongOR 106 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight48below averageWilliam Haggas: 8/43 winners last 14d (19%)
MarketBest price 1.74 (Matchbook) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ascot 1m6f
full course data →Sample too small to call at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 1.18
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.05
High (5–6)
IV 0.77
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 35 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 4 3yo · C · b | 31311 | 106 | 71.2 | 4/6F·1.67 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: James Doyle · T: Andrew Balding · draw 2 3yo · C · ch | 416255 | 106 | 59.9 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 6 3yo · G · b | 316122 | 97 | 66.4 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: William Buick · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 1 3yo · G · btv | 13787 | 98 | 59.7 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3 3yo · G · b | 142611 | 91 | 61.1 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 5 3yo · F · ch | 22118 | 92 | 60.8 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:35 Ascot?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Infraad, won the race (AI score 71.2).
What were the placings in the 15:35 Ascot?
Top finishers: 1. Infraad (IRE) (1.67), 2. Galiyan (GB) (3.50), 3. Galilean Quality (IRE) (7.50).
What was the winning time for the 15:35 Ascot?
The winning time was 3m 6.08s.
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