Who won the 15:30 Kelso on 4 October 2026?
Breaking Cover (IRE) won the 15:30 Kelso at SP 3.25. Ridden by Chad Bament. Trained by Anthony Honeyball.
15:30 Kelso
Nspcc School Service Handicap Steeple Chase (Registered As The Simply Ned) (GBB Race)
2m1f · Chase · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 4 runners · £20,812 · Sunday, 4 October 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 9/4J·3.25Race report
- 1stBreaking Cover (IRE)AI top pick · 86.6Chad Bament·Anthony Honeyball9/4J·3.25SP
- 2ndPrimoz (IRE)Derek Fox·Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore·beaten .5 lengths13/2·7.50SP
- 3rdAeros Luck (IRE)Mr Lucas Murphy·Sandy Thomson·beaten 3.25 lengths9/4J·3.25SP
Race time
4m 7.40s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Breaking Cover (IRE))
“Settled in third off the gallop - sluggish jumping at the 5th - made ground after - second after the 8th - upsides at the last - went in front on the run-in and kept going to win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Tommy's Oscar
Tommy's Oscar is the standout on our figures, with a rating of 150 that puts him 9 lb clear of Traprain Law on 141, a sizeable edge in a six-runner Class 2 over 17 furlongs on good ground. Traprain Law is the main danger, with Breaking Cover only 3 lb further back on 138 and Primoz on 132 also needing to be respected. Nothing else in the line-up gets close to our selection on ability, so he looks the right one to side with despite the lack of strong confidence. Tommy's Oscar is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Breaking Cover
Chad Bament(5) · Anthony Honeyball · 8yo
Top-rated of 6
score 86.6 · +13.3 clear of next best (73.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Ratings50% weight93very strongOR 139 — above field median
- Freshness10% weight85very strong29d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight83small sample (n=3)Anthony Honeyball: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight76strongLast 6: 6-4-4-1-1
MarketBest price 4.00 (BetWright) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Chad Bament(5) · T: Anthony Honeyball · draw 0 8yo · G · bt | 64411 | 139 | 86.6 | 9/4J·3.25 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Derek Fox · T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore · draw 0 8yo · G · bt | 5631B | 131 | 64.3 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Mr Lucas Murphy(7) · T: Sandy Thomson · draw 0 7yo · G · btFirst after wind op | 62233 | 123 | 60.2 | 9/4J·3.25 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Danny McMenamin · T: Ann Hamilton · draw 0 11yo · G · bp | 42142 | 144 | 68.8 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Charlie Todd · T: Dan Skelton · draw 0 4yo · G · gt | 11221 | 127 | 73.3 | — |
| — | — | J: Patrick Wadge · T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore · draw 0 8yo · G · grt | 42133 | 133 | 70.2 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:30 Kelso?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Breaking Cover, won the race (AI score 86.6).
What were the placings in the 15:30 Kelso?
Top finishers: 1. Breaking Cover (IRE) (3.25), 2. Primoz (IRE) (7.50), 3. Aeros Luck (IRE) (3.25).
What was the winning time for the 15:30 Kelso?
The winning time was 4m 7.40s.
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