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16:05 Kelso

Scottish Racing Academy Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

3m2f · Chase · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 3 runners · £5,281 · Sunday, 4 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 5/4F·2.25
  1. 1st
    Upfordebate (IRE)AI top pick · 74.8
    Brian Hughes·Patrick Neville
    5/4F·2.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Sir Carnegie (IRE)
    Shane Fenelon·Mickey Bowen·beaten 0.05 lengths
    15/8·2.88
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Inis Oirr (IRE)
    Gregor Walkingshaw·Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore·beaten 8 lengths
    11/4·3.75
    SP
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Inis Oirr

Inis Oirr is our selection here, and the case rests on fitness: he looks the sharper of the pair at the head of our figures, and that edge counts over a stamina-sapping 26 furlongs on good ground at Kelso. He is only two pounds behind Golden Point on our ratings, so that gap is easily bridged by being the fitter horse on the day. Golden Point is the principal danger as the top-rated runner, while Upfordebate is a further five pounds back and Sir Carnegie, at 105, looks to have most to find. Inis Oirr is the pick in what should be a tight four-runner contest.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Upfordebate

Brian Hughes · Patrick Neville · 7yo

Top-rated of 5
score 74.8 · +3.8 clear of next best (71.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=8)
    Patrick Neville: 4/8 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    74strong
    OR 111
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    10d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    54average
    Last 6: 5-5-3-8-1
MarketBest price 2.42 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Brian Hughes · T: Patrick Neville · draw 0
7yo · G · btp
55381
11174.8
5/4F·2.25
SP
25
J: Shane Fenelon(5) · T: Mickey Bowen · draw 0
6yo · G · bb
116513
10461.9
15/8·2.88
SP
34
9yo · G · bp
12234
10660.6
11/4·3.75
SP
——
7yo · M · b
511P
11759.6—
——
J: Charlie Todd · T: Mickey Bowen · draw 0
6yo · G · b
01U121
11571.0—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:05 Kelso on 4 October 2026?

Upfordebate (IRE) won the 16:05 Kelso at SP 2.25. Ridden by Brian Hughes. Trained by Patrick Neville.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:05 Kelso?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Upfordebate, won the race (AI score 74.8).

What were the placings in the 16:05 Kelso?

Top finishers: 1. Upfordebate (IRE) (2.25), 2. Sir Carnegie (IRE) (2.88), 3. Inis Oirr (IRE) (3.75).

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org