15:40 Gowran Park

Off in 1h 52mIreland

Like A Butterfly Novice Steeplechase (Grade 3)

2m4f · Chase · Class 1 · Good To Yielding · 5 runners · €25,199 · Saturday, 3 October 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 6-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Kilbarry Saint

score 72.3 · +2.2 clear of next best · best 20/1·21.00

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Kilbarry Saint

Darragh O'Keeffe · C O'Keeffe · 7yo

Top-rated of 6

score 72.3 · +2.2 clear of next best (70.2)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Ratings50% weight
83very strong
OR 125
Form20% weight
71strong
Last 6: 5-3-1-2-3
Freshness10% weight
65strong
157d since last run (rusty)
Trainer20% weight
50no sample
C O'Keeffe — no runners last 14 days — too few recent runs to judge the yard

MarketBest price 21.00 (Paddy Power) · 5th in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(3)
1Shadow Paddy 2Bowensonfire 5Vicar Street
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(1)
4Frankie John
Unknown(2)
3D Art D Art Kilbarry Saint

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
—	Kilbarry SaintPick J: Darragh O'Keeffe · T: C O'Keeffe · draw 0 7yo · M · brtOnly runner	53123	10-06	125	—	—	72.3	22/1·22.27	20/1·21.00 Paddy Power · -6% vs fair Compare 19 books ▾ Paddy Power20/1·21.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00Hollywood Bets18/1·19.00Unibet18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 10 Bet18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange17.5·17.50Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Midnite16/1·17.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00
1	Shadow Paddy J: Simon Torrens · T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy · draw 0 · combo 0/5 (0%) 6yo · G · btDGoing 3/3Only runner	1P111	11-06	139	—	—	70.2	7/2·4.69	4.6·4.60 Betfair Exchange · -2% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Betfair Exchange4.6·4.60Smarkets4.5·4.50SmarketsSBK10/3·4.33 LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00 Coral3/1·4.00 BetTom3/1·4.00 BetMGM3/1·4.00 Paddy Power3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00 Unibet3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet3/1·4.00 Ladbrokes3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.00BetWright3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 Bet Victor3/1·4.00 Bet3653/1·4.00Hollywood Bets3/1·4.0010 Bet3/1·4.00 William Hill3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 Star Sports3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.75
5	Vicar Street J: Harry Cobden · T: W. P. Mullins · draw 0 · combo 3/6 (50%) 7yo · G · bt	1231	10-13	—	—	—	35.2	5/2·3.52	3.2·3.20 Betfair Exchange · -9% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Betfair Exchange3.2·3.20Smarkets3.2·3.20Betfred2/1·3.00 Dragon Bet2/1·3.00 William Hill2/1·3.00 Betano2/1·3.00Virgin Bet2/1·3.00SmarketsSBK2/1·3.00Hollywood Bets2/1·3.00Spreadex2/1·3.00 BetTom2/1·3.00 Unibet2/1·3.00 Bet3652/1·3.00 BetWright2/1·3.00 10 Bet2/1·3.00 Bet Victor2/1·3.00 Boyle Sports2/1·3.00 Coral2/1·3.00 Ladbrokes2/1·3.00 Star Sports2/1·3.00 SportingIndex2/1·3.00Betfair Sportsbook2/1·3.00Paddy Power2/1·3.00 Quinn Bet2/1·3.00 LiveScore Bet2/1·3.00 BetMGM15/8·2.88 Midnite15/8·2.88
3	D Art D Art J: Ricky Doyle · T: Thomas Cooper · draw 0 7yo · G · chOnly runner	P901	10-13	—	—	—	31.2	25/1·24.62	20/1·21.00 Betano · -15% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Betano20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange21·21.00 10 Bet20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 Paddy Power20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00William Hill20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00Smarkets21·21.00Hollywood Bets18/1·19.00Spreadex18/1·19.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00
4	Frankie John J: Daniel King · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 0 · combo 5/29 (17%) 6yo · G · gOnly runner	55481	10-13	—	—	—	23.7	9/4·3.22	3·3.00 Betfair Exchange · -7% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Betfair Exchange3·3.00Smarkets2.98·2.98SmarketsSBK15/8·2.88 BetMGM7/4·2.75 BetTom7/4·2.75 Betfred7/4·2.75 William Hill7/4·2.75Betfair Sportsbook7/4·2.75Paddy Power7/4·2.75 Dragon Bet7/4·2.75 Coral7/4·2.75Hollywood Bets7/4·2.75Ladbrokes7/4·2.75 Betano7/4·2.75 10 Bet7/4·2.75 Boyle Sports7/4·2.75 Spreadex7/4·2.75 Unibet7/4·2.75Virgin Bet7/4·2.75Star Sports7/4·2.75 LiveScore Bet7/4·2.75 Quinn Bet7/4·2.75 Bet3657/4·2.75 Bet Victor7/4·2.75 BetWright7/4·2.75 SportingIndex7/4·2.75 Midnite13/8·2.63
2	Bowensonfire J: Jack Kennedy · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 0 · combo 16/105 (15%) 6yo · G · bh	07423	10-13	—	—	—	23.4	17/2·9.38	9.2·9.20 Smarkets · -2% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Smarkets9.2·9.20Betfair Exchange9.2·9.20 Bet36515/2·8.50 SmarketsSBK15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00Bet Victor7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00Hollywood Bets7/1·8.00Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 Midnite13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.5010 Bet13/2·7.50 Unibet6/1·7.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 19–27 bookmakers per horse with the 17% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Like A Butterfly Novice Steeplechase (Grade 3)?

The Like A Butterfly Novice Steeplechase (Grade 3) is off at 15:40 on 3 October 2026 at Gowran Park (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:40 Gowran Park?

2m4f, Class 1, Chase, 5 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:40 Gowran Park?

Going is reported as Good To Yielding on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:40 Gowran Park?

The AI top-rated runner is Kilbarry Saint (score 72.3, best price 21.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:40 Gowran Park?

The market favourite is Frankie John at a best price of 3.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Kilbarry Saint.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org