16:15 Gowran Park

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Captain Christy Rated Novice Steeplechase

3m · Chase · Good To Yielding · 6 runners · €12,000 · Saturday, 3 October 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 6-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Fou De Toi

No. 1 · score 76.3 · +11.3 clear of next best · best 13/8·2.62

Best value vs consensus

Killaney King

11.5·11.50 Betfair Exchange · +6% vs fair (consensus 10.81)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Fou De Toi

Paul Townend · W. P. Mullins · 5yo

Top-rated of 6

score 76.3 · +11.3 clear of next best (65.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
29d since last run (fresh)
Ratings50% weight
85very strong
OR 127 — highest combined rating in the field
Form20% weight
68strong
Last 6: P-2-7-2-1
Trainer20% weight
60average
W. P. Mullins: 14/59 winners last 14d (24%)

MarketBest price 2.62 (Smarkets) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(2)
2Ma Jacks Hill 3Quantum Quest
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(2)
1Fou De Toi 5Killaney King
Unknown(2)
4Blue Mosque 6No Time To Wait

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	Fou De ToiPick J: Paul Townend · T: W. P. Mullins · draw 0 · combo 16/63 (25%) 5yo · G · bp	P2721	11-07	127	—	—	76.3	7/4·2.71	2.62·2.62 Smarkets · -3% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Smarkets2.62·2.62Betfair Exchange2.6·2.60 SmarketsSBK6/4·2.50 LiveScore Bet11/8·2.38Virgin Bet11/8·2.38Bet36511/8·2.38 Midnite11/8·2.38 Betano11/8·2.38 10 Bet11/8·2.38Hollywood Bets69/50·2.38Betfred11/8·2.38 Bet Victor11/8·2.38 Boyle Sports11/8·2.38 Coral11/8·2.38 Paddy Power11/8·2.38 Ladbrokes11/8·2.38 SportingIndex11/8·2.38 Spreadex11/8·2.38 William Hill11/8·2.38 Star Sports11/8·2.38 Dragon Bet11/8·2.37 BetTom5/4·2.25 Unibet5/4·2.25 BetMGM5/4·2.25 BetWright5/4·2.25Betfair Sportsbook5/4·2.25Quinn Bet5/4·2.25
2	Ma Jacks Hill J: Kevin Healy(7) · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 0 · combo 0/8 (0%) 6yo · G · btbGoing 1/2Only ride	31852	11-07	124	—	—	65.0	16/1·17.07	16/1·17.00 Virgin Bet Compare 27 books ▾ Virgin Bet16/1·17.00Unibet16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.0010 Bet14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00Smarkets13.5·13.50Midnite12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Betfair Exchange13·13.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00
5	Killaney King J: Danny Gilligan · T: Ross O'Sullivan · draw 0 · combo 2/25 (8%) 8yo · G · brOnly pairing	38326	11-03	119	—	—	57.1	10/1·10.81	11.5·11.50 Betfair Exchange · +6% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Betfair Exchange11.5·11.50Smarkets11.5·11.50SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00Paddy Power9/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet17/2·9.50 BetTom17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 LiveScore Bet17/2·9.50 Star Sports17/2·9.50Virgin Bet17/2·9.50Midnite8/1·9.00Hollywood Bets8/1·9.0010 Bet8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00
6	No Time To Wait J: Darragh O'Keeffe · T: John McConnell · draw 0 8yo · G · btpOnly pairing	U04PP	11-03	121	—	—	48.6	40/1·38.70	33/1·34.00 BetTom · -12% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ BetTom33/1·34.00Hollywood Bets33/1·34.00Unibet33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00Smarkets34·34.00BetMGM33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00William Hill33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 Betfair Exchange32·32.00 SmarketsSBK30/1·31.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00
4	Blue Mosque J: Donagh Meyler · T: Noel Meade · draw 0 · combo 1/13 (8%) 6yo · M · b	00421	11-03	—	—	—	21.6	3/1·3.98	3.9·3.90 Betfair Exchange · -2% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Betfair Exchange3.9·3.90Smarkets3.85·3.85SmarketsSBK11/4·3.75 BetTom5/2·3.50Hollywood Bets5/2·3.50Quinn Bet5/2·3.50 SportingIndex5/2·3.50 Bet3655/2·3.50 Boyle Sports5/2·3.50 BetMGM5/2·3.50 Paddy Power5/2·3.50 Spreadex5/2·3.50 Bet Victor5/2·3.50 LiveScore Bet5/2·3.50Virgin Bet5/2·3.50Coral5/2·3.50 Ladbrokes5/2·3.50 10 Bet5/2·3.50 Betano5/2·3.50 Betfred5/2·3.50 Star Sports5/2·3.50 William Hill5/2·3.50 BetWright12/5·3.40 Dragon Bet12/5·3.40 Midnite9/4·3.25 Unibet9/4·3.25Betfair Sportsbook9/4·3.25
3	Quantum Quest J: J J Slevin · T: Henry de Bromhead · draw 0 6yo · G · bpDOnly pairing	15201	11-07	—	—	—	20.9	4/1·4.93	4.8·4.80 Smarkets · -3% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Smarkets4.8·4.80Betfair Exchange4.8·4.80 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet10/3·4.33 Unibet10/3·4.33 William Hill10/3·4.33Hollywood Bets10/3·4.33Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 Star Sports10/3·4.33 Bet36510/3·4.33 BetTom10/3·4.33 BetWright10/3·4.33 SportingIndex10/3·4.33 Spreadex10/3·4.33Betfair Sportsbook10/3·4.33Paddy Power10/3·4.33 LiveScore Bet10/3·4.33Virgin Bet10/3·4.33Betfred10/3·4.33 Boyle Sports10/3·4.33 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33 BetMGM10/3·4.33 Midnite3/1·4.00 10 Bet3/1·4.00 Coral3/1·4.00 Bet Victor3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27 bookmakers per horse with the 14% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Captain Christy Rated Novice Steeplechase?

The Irish Stallion Farms EBF Captain Christy Rated Novice Steeplechase is off at 16:15 on 3 October 2026 at Gowran Park (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:15 Gowran Park?

3m, Chase, 6 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:15 Gowran Park?

Going is reported as Good To Yielding on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:15 Gowran Park?

The AI top-rated runner is Fou De Toi (score 76.3, best price 2.62). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:15 Gowran Park?

The market favourite is Fou De Toi at a best price of 2.62.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org