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Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)

1m · Flat · Class 5 · Standard To Slow · 10 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 5 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 6 · score 60.6 · +10.1 clear of next best · best 9/2·5.70
Best value vs consensus
70·70.00 Matchbook · +9% vs fair (consensus 64.09)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way60.6/100 rating
Footstepinthewoods
5.70Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Magic BoxDiffers from our pick

Magic Box heads our ratings on 80, a clear six pounds better than Piscean Star and Unionville on 74, and that gap looks significant in a Class 5 contest over a mile on the Kempton all-weather. Those two are the obvious dangers, with Bofa Beach a further couple of pounds back on 72 and still capable of getting involved if the pace sets up for him. With a ten-runner field there is traffic to negotiate, but Magic Box has the strongest profile of the group and should prove hard to hold. Magic Box is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Footstepinthewoods

Jason Watson · Emma Lavelle · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 60.6 · +10.1 clear of next best (50.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=6)
    Emma Lavelle: 2/6 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    60average
    Last 6: 0-5-6-1-5-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    44below average
    OR 66
MarketBest price 5.70 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.05
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.17
High (8–10)
IV 0.80

Today: Berkshire Boom (draw 7) and Magic Box (draw 6) get the bias; Footstepinthewoods (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
6
J: Jason Watson · T: Emma Lavelle · draw 8
3yo · G · bDOnly runner
056151
6660.69/2·5.655.7·5.70
Betfair Exchange
Compare 28 books ▾
10
J: George Bass · T: Denis Coakley · draw 10 · combo 1/26 (4%)
3yo · G · bOnly runner
68233
5950.514/1·15.0814·14.00
Matchbook · -7% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
9
J: James Doyle · T: Andrew Balding · draw 7 · combo 4/16 (25%)
3yo · G · b
325032
6448.111/2·6.285.7·5.70
Matchbook · -9% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
1
J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 6 · combo 26/124 (21%)
3yo · F · b
25487
7047.514/1·14.4514.5·14.50
Matchbook
Compare 28 books ▾
4
J: Kieren Fox · T: Michael Attwater · draw 4 · combo 1/45 (2%)
3yo · G · bC
883413
6944.912/1·12.5711.5·11.50
Betfair Exchange · -8% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
2
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 1
3yo · G · bOnly runner
24656
7042.312/1·12.5711/1·12.00
Paddy Power · -4% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
3
J: David Egan · T: John Butler · draw 2 · combo 6/32 (19%)
3yo · F · g
39302
7041.910/3·4.404·4.00
Matchbook · -9% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
7
3yo · G · chpC&DOnly runner
72701
6641.512/1·12.5712·12.00
Matchbook · -4% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
8
J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: Simon Dow · draw 5
3yo · G · bDOnly runner
111567
6540.320/1·21.3622/1·23.00
Hollywood Bets · +8% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
5
J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 9 · combo 19/181 (10%)
3yo · G · btFT T
664009
6739.566/1·64.0970·70.00
Matchbook · +9% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 26% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)?

The Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) is off at 16:45 on 5 October 2026 at Kempton (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:45 Kempton (AW)?

1m, Class 5, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:45 Kempton (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard To Slow on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:45 Kempton (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Footstepinthewoods (score 60.6, best price 5.70). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:45 Kempton (AW)?

The market favourite is Bofa Beach at a best price of 4.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Footstepinthewoods.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org