17:45 Kempton (AW)

Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap Stakes

1m3f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard To Slow · 9 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 5 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (9 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Sea Brave

No. 1 · score 57.3 · +0.1 clear of next best · best 5/2·3.40

Drawn 5, inside the favoured middle third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

Impossible Mission

18.5·18.50 Matchbook · +13% vs fair (consensus 16.40)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way57.2/100 rating

Sax Avoidance

6.50Bet Victor

Place portion settles at 2.10 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: ExtraterrestrialDiffers from our pick

Extraterrestrial is our selection, and his progressive profile makes him the one to side with in this nine-runner Class 5 over 11f at Kempton. He is rated just a pound behind Lucky Luna on our figures, so there is next to nothing between them, and an improving type is the sort to prefer when the ratings are this tight. Lucky Luna is the chief danger as the top-rated runner, with Impossible Mission and St Hilda also well capable of making this a close contest. Extraterrestrial looks the right one to be with, and he is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Sea Brave

Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes · 3yo

Top-rated of 9

score 57.3 · +0.1 clear of next best (57.2)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
26d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
62average
Last 6: 2-2-4
Ratings50% weight
50average
OR 75 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
50average
Richard Hughes: 5/25 winners last 14d (20%)

MarketBest price 3.40 (Smarkets) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 4 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(4)
1Sea Brave 2Sax Avoidance 5Lucky Luna 7St Hilda
Prominent(1)
8Enamorus
Mid-division(1)
3Impossible Mission
Hold-up / closers(3)
4Fahidi 6Extraterrestrial 9Katalyst

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m3f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).

Low (1–3)

IV 0.99

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.21

High (7–9)

IV 0.83

Today: Sea Brave (draw 5) and Lucky Luna (draw 4) get the bias; Sax Avoidance (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 242 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	Sea BravePick J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 5 · combo 11/139 (8%) 3yo · G · bClass dropOnly runner	224	9-09	75	—	—	57.3	11/4·3.63	3.4·3.40 Smarkets · -6% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets3.4·3.40SmarketsSBK12/5·3.40 Betfair Exchange3.3·3.30Matchbook3.25·3.25Ladbrokes2/1·3.00 Star Sports2/1·3.00 Paddy Power2/1·3.00 Bet3652/1·3.00 Coral2/1·3.00 7Bet19/10·2.90Betfair Sportsbook15/8·2.88Bet Victor15/8·2.88 BetTom15/8·2.88 BetWright15/8·2.88 Betano15/8·2.88 Dragon Bet15/8·2.88 BetMGM15/8·2.88 Midnite15/8·2.88 Quinn Bet15/8·2.88 SportingIndex15/8·2.88 Spreadex15/8·2.88Hollywood Bets15/8·2.88Unibet7/4·2.75 LiveScore Bet7/4·2.75 Boyle Sports7/4·2.75Virgin Bet7/4·2.75Betfred7/4·2.75 William Hill13/8·2.62
2	Sax Avoidance J: Kieren Fox · T: Charlie Pike · draw 7 · combo 6/21 (29%) 3yo · F · chC&DOnly pairing	54311	9-08	74	—	—	57.2	13/2·7.57	11/2·6.50 Bet Victor · -14% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Paddy Power5/1·6.00Smarkets6·6.007Bet5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00Betfred5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00Matchbook6·6.00Betfair Exchange5.9·5.90 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50William Hill9/2·5.50
6	Extraterrestrial J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 2 · combo 3/14 (21%) 3yo · G · chOnly runner	320522	9-05	71	—	—	50.0	9/2·5.46	4.4·4.40 Matchbook · -19% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook4.4·4.40Betfair Exchange4.4·4.40 Bet36510/3·4.33 BetTom10/3·4.33 BetWright10/3·4.33 Star Sports10/3·4.33 Boyle Sports10/3·4.33 Coral10/3·4.33 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33 Quinn Bet10/3·4.33 William Hill10/3·4.33Betfair Sportsbook10/3·4.33Paddy Power10/3·4.33 7Bet10/3·4.33 Bet Victor10/3·4.33 Betano10/3·4.33 Betfred10/3·4.33Smarkets4.3·4.30SmarketsSBK16/5·4.20 Unibet3/1·4.00 LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00Hollywood Bets3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.00BetMGM3/1·4.00
5	Lucky Luna J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 4 · combo 13/112 (12%) 3yo · F · grClass dropOnly runner	461625	9-07	73	—	—	48.7	18/1·18.92	17.5·17.50 Smarkets · -7% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets17.5·17.50Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00Matchbook17·17.00Betfair Exchange15.5·15.50 BetMGM14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00Unibet14/1·15.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Quinn Bet12/1·13.00
3	Impossible Mission J: David Egan · T: John Butler · draw 3 · combo 6/32 (19%) 3yo · C · ch	734314	9-07	73	—	—	48.0	16/1·16.40	18.5·18.50 Matchbook · +13% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook18.5·18.50Betfair Exchange17.5·17.50Smarkets17.5·17.50SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Bet Victor12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00BetMGM11/1·12.00
7	St Hilda J: Jason Watson · T: Marcus Tregoning · draw 9 3yo · F · bOnly runner	22634	9-03	69	—	—	45.6	16/1·16.40	16/1·17.00 Hollywood Bets · +4% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00Matchbook16.5·16.50Smarkets16.5·16.50SmarketsSBK15/1·16.00 Betfair Exchange15.5·15.50 BetTom14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00William Hill10/1·11.00
9	Katalyst J: Olivia Tubb(5) · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 6 3yo · F · bbC&DOnly runner	024791	8-07	59	—	—	43.5	18/1·18.92	29·29.00 Matchbook · +53% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook29·29.00Smarkets24·24.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange19.5·19.50 Paddy Power18/1·19.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Betfred14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00Hollywood Bets17/2·9.50
4	Fahidi J: James Doyle · T: Andrew Balding · draw 1 · combo 4/16 (25%) 3yo · G · b	6340	9-07	73	—	—	42.8	11/2·6.31	6.2·6.20 Betfair Exchange · -2% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20Matchbook6.2·6.20Smarkets6·6.00SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Paddy Power5/1·6.00 Bet3659/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 7Bet4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00Hollywood Bets4/1·5.00William Hill4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00Midnite4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Unibet7/2·4.50
8	Enamorus J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 8 3yo · F · chvFT VClass dropOnly rideOnly runner	59385	9-01	67	—	—	40.8	40/1·42.89	48·48.00 Matchbook · +12% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook48·48.00Coral40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Paddy Power40/1·41.00 Bet36540/1·41.00Smarkets36·36.007Bet35/1·36.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00BetMGM33/1·34.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 Unibet28/1·29.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Betfair Exchange27·27.00Hollywood Bets25/1·26.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 26% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap Stakes?

The Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap Stakes is off at 17:45 on 5 October 2026 at Kempton (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:45 Kempton (AW)?

1m3f, Class 5, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:45 Kempton (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard To Slow on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:45 Kempton (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Sea Brave (score 57.3, best price 3.40). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:45 Kempton (AW)?

The market favourite is Sea Brave at a best price of 3.40.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org