14:40 Pontefract

Autism In Racing Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 14 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 5 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (14 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Great

No. 10 · score 52.1 · +2.0 clear of next best · best 10/1·11.00

Drawn 7, inside the favoured middle third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

Try Storm Cat

75·75.00 Matchbook · +16% vs fair (consensus 64.63)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way52.1/100 rating

Great

11.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Alpha MagicDiffers from our pick

Alpha Magic is our selection for this 14-runner Class 5 sprint at Pontefract, and he gets the nod on a progressive profile and a fitness edge that count for plenty in a competitive six-furlong dash on good ground. He is rated 76, just four pounds shy of the top-rated pair, so the gap to overcome is small and his upward curve can bridge it. Fortamour and Invincible Boy, both on 80, are the obvious dangers, with Veydari on 78 also firmly in the picture. Alpha Magic looks the one to take them on and is the pick.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Great

Shane Gray · Sam England · 4yo

Top-rated of 14

score 52.1 · +2.0 clear of next best (50.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
16d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
53average
Sam England: 4/19 winners last 14d (21%)
Form20% weight
46below average
Last 6: 5-3-1-7-6-3
Ratings50% weight
45below average
OR 67

MarketBest price 11.00 (Matchbook) · 4th in the market of 14.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
5Veydari 14Valentine Catcher
Prominent(6)
3Fortamour 4Fiscal Policy 8Emperor's Son 9Bloodsweatandtyres 12Try Storm Cat 13King's Crown
Mid-division(1)
10Great
Hold-up / closers(4)
2Invincible Boy 6Alpha Magic 7Mister Sox 11Fierce
Unknown(1)
1Cargin Bhui

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Pontefract 6f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–5)

IV 0.98

Mid (6–10)

IV 1.19

High (11–14)

IV 0.85

Today: Great (draw 7) and Fierce (draw 9) get the bias; Valentine Catcher (draw 14) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 147 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
10	GreatPick J: Shane Gray · T: Sam England · draw 7 4yo · G · bCDOnly runner	531763	9-04	67	—	—	52.1	12/1·12.79	11·11.00 Matchbook · -14% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook11·11.00Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50Smarkets10.5·10.50Bet3659/1·10.00 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Coral17/2·9.50 Dragon Bet17/2·9.50 7Bet17/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 Betano17/2·9.50 Bet Victor17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50Hollywood Bets17/2·9.50Midnite17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50 Star Sports17/2·9.50 BetMGM8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00William Hill8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00Paddy Power8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00
4	Fiscal Policy J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 1 7yo · G · chClass dropC&DGoing 2/5	063514	9-09	72	—	—	50.1	7/2·4.71	4·4.00 Smarkets · -15% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets4·4.00SmarketsSBK3/1·4.00Matchbook3.9·3.90Betfair Exchange3.8·3.80 Coral11/4·3.75 SportingIndex11/4·3.75Hollywood Bets11/4·3.757Bet11/4·3.75 Bet Victor11/4·3.75 Betano11/4·3.75 Bet36511/4·3.75 Spreadex11/4·3.75 Dragon Bet5/2·3.50 Ladbrokes5/2·3.50 LiveScore Bet5/2·3.50 Quinn Bet5/2·3.50Betfair Sportsbook5/2·3.50Paddy Power5/2·3.50 BetWright5/2·3.50 Betfred5/2·3.50 Boyle Sports5/2·3.50 William Hill5/2·3.50 Midnite5/2·3.50 BetMGM5/2·3.50 BetTom5/2·3.50 Star Sports5/2·3.50 Unibet5/2·3.50Virgin Bet5/2·3.50
11	Fierce J: Jason Hart · T: Paul Midgley · draw 9 6yo · G · bClass dropOnly pairing	323626	9-04	67	—	—	46.2	14/1·14.81	13.5·13.50 Matchbook · -9% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook13.5·13.50Betfair Exchange12.5·12.50 Bet36511/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Paddy Power10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00Hollywood Bets10/1·11.00Star Sports10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00Smarkets10.5·10.50LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00
5	Veydari J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 8 4yo · G · bOnly ride	84723	9-08	71	—	—	45.8	16/1·16.16	15·15.00 Matchbook · -7% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook15·15.00Betfair Exchange14.5·14.50Smarkets13.5·13.50SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00Paddy Power11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00William Hill10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00
14	Valentine Catcher J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 14 5yo · G · bp	972335	8-11	60	—	—	45.4	16/1·16.16	14·14.00 Matchbook · -13% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook14·14.00Smarkets13.5·13.50SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00 Betfair Exchange12.5·12.50 Midnite11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Paddy Power11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00William Hill10/1·11.00
7	Mister Sox J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 10 6yo · G · chpClass drop	005536	9-07	70	—	—	45.3	11/2·6.73	6.2·6.20 Smarkets · -8% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets6.2·6.20Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20Matchbook6.2·6.20SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 7Bet4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00Hollywood Bets4/1·5.00Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 BetMGM7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50BetTom10/3·4.33 Unibet10/3·4.33 William Hill10/3·4.33
2	Invincible Boy J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 6 3yo · C · bvFT VClass drop	31875	9-11	75	—	—	45.2	25/1·25.58	26·26.00 Matchbook · +2% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook26·26.00Smarkets23·23.00BetMGM20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00Hollywood Bets20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Paddy Power20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange19.5·19.50 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 7Bet18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00
3	Fortamour J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Ben Haslam · draw 4 10yo · G · bClass dropOnly pairing	600270	9-09	72	—	—	41.4	33/1·35.01	55·55.00 Matchbook · +57% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook55·55.00Smarkets55·55.00SmarketsSBK50/1·51.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00 Bet36525/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00BetTom22/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 William Hill22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 Betfair Exchange21·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00Hollywood Bets18/1·19.00
1	Cargin Bhui J: William Pyle · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 11 5yo · G · bClass dropOnly pairing	112550	9-12	75	—	—	41.2	80/1·90.21	130·130.00 Matchbook · +44% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook130·130.00Midnite80/1·81.00 Betano80/1·81.00 Boyle Sports80/1·81.00 Betfred80/1·81.00 Dragon Bet80/1·81.00 Star Sports80/1·81.00 Ladbrokes80/1·81.00 Quinn Bet80/1·81.00 Bet Victor80/1·81.00Betfair Sportsbook80/1·81.00Paddy Power80/1·81.00 7Bet70/1·71.00 LiveScore Bet66/1·67.00 Coral66/1·67.00 SportingIndex66/1·67.00 Spreadex66/1·67.00 Unibet66/1·67.00Virgin Bet66/1·67.00William Hill66/1·67.00 Bet36566/1·67.00 BetMGM66/1·67.00 BetTom66/1·67.00 BetWright66/1·67.00Hollywood Bets66/1·67.00Smarkets50·50.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20
6	Alpha Magic J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 2 4yo · G · b	480002	9-08	71	—	—	40.7	5/1·5.83	5.7·5.70 Matchbook · -2% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook5.7·5.70Smarkets5.4·5.40Betfair Exchange5.3·5.30 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 Midnite10/3·4.33 SportingIndex10/3·4.33 Spreadex10/3·4.33 7Bet10/3·4.33 BetMGM10/3·4.33 BetTom10/3·4.33 Quinn Bet10/3·4.33Betfair Sportsbook10/3·4.33Paddy Power10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 Star Sports10/3·4.33 Bet36510/3·4.33 Bet Victor10/3·4.33 BetWright10/3·4.33 Betano10/3·4.33 Betfred10/3·4.33 Boyle Sports10/3·4.33 Coral10/3·4.33 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33 LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00 William Hill3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.00Unibet3/1·4.00Hollywood Bets3/1·4.00
12	Try Storm Cat J: George Wood · T: Jessica Macey · draw 13 3yo · G · bOnly runner	260804	9-03	67	—	—	37.9	66/1·64.63	75·75.00 Matchbook · +16% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook75·75.00Bet Victor50/1·51.00 Bet36550/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00 Betfred50/1·51.00 Dragon Bet50/1·51.00 Ladbrokes50/1·51.00 Quinn Bet50/1·51.00 Paddy Power50/1·51.00 SportingIndex50/1·51.00 Spreadex50/1·51.00 Star Sports50/1·51.00Betfair Sportsbook50/1·51.00Smarkets50·50.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 7Bet40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00William Hill40/1·41.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Betfair Exchange32·32.00Hollywood Bets25/1·26.00
9	Bloodsweatandtyres J: Harry Russell · T: Brian Ellison · draw 5 4yo · G · bvFT VOnly ride	005066	9-05	68	—	—	37.6	22/1·22.89	19.5·19.50 Matchbook · -15% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook19.5·19.50Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange18.5·18.50 BetMGM16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00 7Bet16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00Betano16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00Betfred16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00Smarkets16.5·16.50SmarketsSBK15/1·16.00 Bet36514/1·15.00
8	Emperor's Son J: Joanna Mason · T: Samantha & Jacqueline Coward · draw 12 5yo · G · bDOnly runner	410982	9-06	69	—	—	37.5	25/1·25.58	27·27.00 Matchbook · +6% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook27·27.00Betfair Exchange24·24.00 Paddy Power22/1·23.00Smarkets23·23.00SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.007Bet20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00Star Sports18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 Bet36516/1·17.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00
13	King's Crown J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Michael Dods · draw 3 6yo · G · btOnly ride	534050	9-03	66	—	—	36.1	50/1·47.12	44·44.00 Matchbook · -7% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook44·44.00Betfred40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Paddy Power40/1·41.00Smarkets38·38.007Bet35/1·36.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00William Hill33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00Hollywood Bets33/1·34.00Betfair Exchange28·28.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 35% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Autism In Racing Handicap Stakes?

The Autism In Racing Handicap Stakes is off at 14:40 on 5 October 2026 at Pontefract (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:40 Pontefract?

6f, Class 5, Flat, 14 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:40 Pontefract?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:40 Pontefract?

The AI top-rated runner is Great (score 52.1, best price 11.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:40 Pontefract?

The market favourite is Fiscal Policy at a best price of 4.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Great.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org