15:50 Pontefract

Leslie Burton (Fisher) Handicap Stakes (Div II)

6f · Flat · Class 3 · Good · 10 runners · £7,851 · Monday, 5 October 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (12 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Classy Clarets

score 63.6 · +7.1 clear of next best · best 6/1·6.80

Best value vs consensus

Artagnan

21·21.00 Smarkets · +4% vs fair (consensus 20.21)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way63.6/100 rating

Classy Clarets

6.80Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Stormy ImpactDiffers from our pick

Stormy Impact heads our ratings on 99, three pounds ahead of Sovereign Spell, and that narrow edge is enough to make her the one to beat in this 12-runner six-furlong contest on good ground at Pontefract. He looks the most complete package on our figures, with a sensible gap back to the pack behind the top two. Sovereign Spell is the chief danger on 96, while Sergeant Wilko and Cape Ashizuri, both on 92, are firmly in the mix if the principal pair underperform. Stormy Impact gets the nod, though the margin is slim rather than commanding.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Classy Clarets

Jack Nicholls(3) · Iain Jardine · 5yo

Top-rated of 12

score 63.6 · +7.1 clear of next best (56.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
95very strong
Last 6: 1-1-1-1-2-1
Freshness10% weight
85very strong
35d since last run (fresh)
Trainer20% weight
53average
Iain Jardine: 6/29 winners last 14d (21%)
Ratings50% weight
51average
OR 77

MarketBest price 6.80 (Matchbook) · 3rd in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 5 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(5)
5Sergeant Wilko 8Bell Shot 9Physique 11Brighton Boy Classy Clarets
Prominent(3)
4Artagnan 6Novello Lad 10Kosometsuke
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(2)
3Stormy Impact 7Alpha Capture
Unknown(2)
1Cape Ashizuri Sovereign Spell

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Pontefract 6f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–4)

IV 0.98

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.19

High (9–12)

IV 0.85

Today: Bell Shot (draw 8) and Stormy Impact (draw 6) get the bias; Classy Clarets (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 147 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
—	Classy ClaretsPick J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 10 5yo · G · bhtDGoing 1/4Only rideOnly runner	111121	8-13	77	—	—	63.6	15/2·8.55	6.8·6.80 Matchbook · -20% vs fair Compare 10 books ▾ Matchbook6.8·6.807Bet9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Paddy Power9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 BetMGM4/1·5.00
1	Cape Ashizuri J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 9 3yo · G · b	52104	9-11	90	—	—	56.5	11/1·11.66	9.4·9.40 Matchbook · -19% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook9.4·9.40Smarkets8.6·8.60Betfair Exchange8.4·8.40 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 Paddy Power13/2·7.50 7Bet13/2·7.50 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 Bet36513/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50Hollywood Bets6/1·7.00LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00
8	Bell Shot J: Clifford Lee · T: Michael Appleby · draw 8 7yo · G · bpOnly runner	834202	9-04	82	—	—	55.8	17/2·9.33	8·8.00 Matchbook · -14% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook8·8.00Betfair Exchange7.8·7.80Smarkets7.4·7.40SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00William Hill5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Paddy Power5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00
5	Sergeant Wilko J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 4 5yo · G · bp	468289	9-07	85	—	—	51.2	11/1·12.44	8/1·9.00 Hollywood Bets · -28% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Hollywood Bets8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50BetWright7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00 Bet3657/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 7Bet7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 BetTom13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50Matchbook7.2·7.20Smarkets7.2·7.20Betfair Exchange7.2·7.20 SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00
—	Sovereign Spell J: Rowan Scott · T: Kevin Philippart de Foy · draw 12 3yo · G · bClass dropOnly runner	31170	9-10	89	—	—	50.9	16/1·17.10	13.5·13.50 Betfair Exchange · -21% vs fair Compare 19 books ▾ Betfair Exchange13.5·13.50Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00Hollywood Bets7/1·8.00Matchbook5.1·5.10
3	Stormy Impact J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 6 4yo · F · b	045002	9-09	87	—	—	50.2	6/1·6.99	6·6.00 Matchbook · -14% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook6·6.00Betfair Exchange5.4·5.40Smarkets4.9·4.90Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 7Bet7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 Paddy Power7/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50Hollywood Bets7/2·4.50Betfred7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50Bet Victor7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50Virgin Bet10/3·4.35LiveScore Bet10/3·4.35 Unibet10/3·4.33
11	Brighton Boy J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7 4yo · G · grClass drop	060350	9-03	81	—	—	50.1	9/1·10.10	6/1·7.00 Betfair Sportsbook · -31% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Hollywood Bets6/1·7.00Matchbook6.8·6.80Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60 Paddy Power11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 7Bet11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50Smarkets6.4·6.40SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 William Hill9/2·5.50
4	Artagnan J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Ian Williams · draw 11 4yo · G · bt	32403	9-07	85	—	—	50.0	20/1·20.21	21·21.00 Smarkets · +4% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets21·21.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00Matchbook18.5·18.50Betfair Exchange18.5·18.50Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Bet Victor14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00BetTom12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00Hollywood Bets9/1·10.00
6	Novello Lad J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 2 5yo · G · b1lb below win markD	118000	9-06	84	—	—	45.6	18/1·18.65	18/1·19.00 Hollywood Bets · +2% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Hollywood Bets18/1·19.00Smarkets14.5·14.50Matchbook14.5·14.50Betfair Exchange14.5·14.50 SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00
7	Alpha Capture J: Joanna Mason · T: Roger Fell · draw 3 6yo · G · btGoing 1/4Only pairing	202209	9-04	82	—	—	44.6	15/2·8.55	11/2·6.50 Hollywood Bets · -24% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Hollywood Bets11/2·6.50Bet3655/1·6.00Smarkets5.8·5.80Matchbook5.8·5.80Betfair Exchange5.7·5.70 Coral9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50 7Bet9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50BetMGM9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 Paddy Power4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00
10	Kosometsuke J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 5 4yo · G · bFirst after wind op	15849	9-03	81	—	—	40.8	33/1·32.64	22/1·23.00 Betfair Sportsbook · -29% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00Paddy Power22/1·23.00 Bet36522/1·23.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Midnite20/1·21.00Hollywood Bets20/1·21.007Bet20/1·21.00 William Hill20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00BetWright20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange20·20.00Smarkets20·20.00SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00Matchbook19·19.00
9	Physique J: Grace McEntee · T: Micky Fenton · draw 1 6yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner	210740	9-04	82	—	—	39.7	16/1·17.10	12/1·13.00 Hollywood Bets · -24% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00Bet36511/1·12.00 Betfair Exchange11.5·11.50Matchbook11.5·11.50Smarkets11·11.00SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Paddy Power10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00SportingIndex9/1·10.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 10–28 bookmakers per horse with the 55% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Leslie Burton (Fisher) Handicap Stakes (Div II)?

The Leslie Burton (Fisher) Handicap Stakes (Div II) is off at 15:50 on 5 October 2026 at Pontefract (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:50 Pontefract?

6f, Class 3, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:50 Pontefract?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:50 Pontefract?

The AI top-rated runner is Classy Clarets (score 63.6, best price 6.80). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:50 Pontefract?

The market favourite is Stormy Impact at a best price of 6.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Classy Clarets.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org