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Constant Security Services Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 14 runners · £3,402 · Monday, 5 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 9 · score 50.5 · +0.2 clear of next best · best 14/1·16.00

Drawn 10, inside the favoured middle third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus
32·32.00 Matchbook · +20% vs fair (consensus 26.79)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way50.3/100 rating
Beerwah
13.00SmarketsSBK

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Jojo RabbitDiffers from our pick

Jojo Rabbit heads our ratings at 73, two pounds ahead of Simba's Pride and Dragon Spin on 71, which makes him a narrow but genuine top-rated choice in a wide-open 14-runner Class 6 sprint at Pontefract. The 5f on good ground is the test, and he looks the one to beat on our figures. Simba's Pride and Dragon Spin are the chief dangers given how little separates them from our pick, while Knicks, three pounds further back on 68, is another who could sneak into the picture. Jojo Rabbit gets the vote.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Go Victor

Billy Garritty · Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay · 3yo

Top-rated of 14
score 50.5 · +0.2 clear of next best (50.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    13d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63small sample (n=4)
    Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    55average
    Last 6: 0-9-1-3-0-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    40below average
    OR 60
MarketBest price 16.00 (Matchbook) · 8th in the market of 14.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 4 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Pontefract 5f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–5)
IV 0.98
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.19
High (11–14)
IV 0.85

Today: Go Victor (draw 10) and Speeding Bullet (draw 6) get the bias; Invincible Crown (draw 14) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 147 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
9
3yo · G · bpCDGoing 1/2Only runner
091301
6050.514/1·14.7316·16.00
Matchbook · +9% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
2
J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 5
4yo · G · bbD
761822
6450.316/1·16.0712/1·13.00
SmarketsSBK · -19% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
7
J: Tom Eaves · T: Ruth Carr · draw 14
4yo · G · bDGoing 1/5Only pairing
440311
6149.916/1·17.4119.5·19.50
Matchbook · +12% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
12
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 11
4yo · G · bp
101472
5847.533/1·34.8240·40.00
Matchbook · +15% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
3
J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 1
8yo · G · bDGoing 1/4
404921
6046.93/1·4.023.8·3.80
Matchbook · -5% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
10
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4
3yo · G · brp
933562
5945.110/1·11.3810.5·10.50
Matchbook · -8% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
5
J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 6
5yo · G · b
077525
6242.59/1·10.048/1·9.00
Hollywood Bets · -10% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
6
J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 7
7yo · G · bbFT BGoing 1/3Only runner
405031
6141.710/1·11.3811·11.00
Matchbook · -3% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
1
3yo · F · bClass dropOn last winning markDGoing 1/3Only rideOnly runner
614053
6539.966/1·68.3175·75.00
Matchbook · +10% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
13
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Ben Haslam · draw 13
5yo · G · b
007565
5338.933/1·34.8234·34.00
Matchbook · -2% vs fair
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8
5yo · G · btClass dropOnly pairing
642730
6038.79/1·10.049/1·10.00
Hollywood Bets
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11
J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 2
4yo · F · btClass dropDGoing 1/2Only rideOnly runner
83192
5837.616/1·17.4114.5·14.50
Matchbook · -17% vs fair
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4
J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 9
3yo · G · chhFT HClass dropOn last winning markGoing 1/3
434740
6336.640/1·45.5442·42.00
Matchbook · -8% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
14
J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Tina Jackson · draw 8
4yo · F · bOnly runner
943306
5029.725/1·26.7932·32.00
Matchbook · +20% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 34% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Constant Security Services Handicap Stakes?

The Constant Security Services Handicap Stakes is off at 17:33 on 5 October 2026 at Pontefract (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:33 Pontefract?

5f, Class 6, Flat, 14 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:33 Pontefract?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:33 Pontefract?

The AI top-rated runner is Go Victor (score 50.5, best price 16.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:33 Pontefract?

The market favourite is Jojo Rabbit at a best price of 3.80. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Go Victor.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org