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16:35 Stratford

Join Racing TV Now Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

2m½f · NH Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £4,084 · Monday, 5 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 7 · score 27.5 · +2.5 clear of next best · best 150/1·150.00
Best value vs consensus
12.5·12.50 Matchbook · +8% vs fair (consensus 11.62)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way25.0/100 rating
Secret Jet Away
7.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: TurbogeistDiffers from our pick

Turbogeist is the one to be with at Stratford, rated 110 on our figures and 10 points clear of Secret Jet Away on 100 in a Class 4 over two miles on good to firm. Secret Jet Away is the main danger and the only other runner we can put a figure on, so the rest of the field is hard to weigh up, which keeps our confidence modest. Even so, Turbogeist has the strongest credentials on what we have, and he gets the nod.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Lizziemouth

James Best · Sarah-Jayne Davies · 4yo

Top-rated of 8
score 27.5 · +2.5 clear of next best (25.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    63small sample (n=4)
    Sarah-Jayne Davies: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    50average
    Last 6: first run
  • Freshness10% weight
    50average
    no recent-run data
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 150.00 (Matchbook) · 7th in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
7
J: James Best · T: Sarah-Jayne Davies · draw 0 · combo 1/25 (4%)
4yo · F · b
——27.566/1·62.36150·150.00
Matchbook · +141% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
3
J: Brendan Powell · T: Henrietta C Knight · draw 0 · combo 4/10 (40%)
4yo · G · b
——25.014/1·14.6714.5·14.50
Matchbook
Compare 27 books ▾
4
J: Freddie Keighley(5) · T: Martin Keighley · draw 0 · combo 6/36 (17%)
4yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
4
—25.013/2·7.347·7.00
Matchbook · -5% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
5
J: Sean Bowen · T: Mickey Bowen · draw 0 · combo 9/42 (21%)
4yo · G · br
24
—23.29/4·3.222.76·2.76
Smarkets · -14% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
2
J: Gavin Sheehan · T: Jamie Snowden · draw 0 · combo 11/47 (23%)
4yo · G · ch
2F
—18.72/1·3.0613/8·2.63
BetTom · -14% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
6
J: Kielan Woods · T: David Killahena & Graeme McPherson · draw 0 · combo 2/7 (29%)
4yo · F · blOnly rideOnly runner
——15.011/1·11.6212.5·12.50
Matchbook · +8% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
8
J: Conor O'Farrell · T: Tom Gretton · draw 0 · combo 0/6 (0%)
4yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner
——15.022/1·23.2350·50.00
Matchbook · +115% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
1
J: Kevin Brogan · T: Michael Mullineaux · draw 0
4yo · G · bOnly ride
0
—6.580/1·81.92190·190.00
Smarkets · +132% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27 bookmakers per horse with the 22% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Join Racing TV Now Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)?

The Join Racing TV Now Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race) is off at 16:35 on 5 October 2026 at Stratford (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:35 Stratford?

2m½f, Class 4, NH Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:35 Stratford?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:35 Stratford?

The AI top-rated runner is Lizziemouth (score 27.5, best price 150.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:35 Stratford?

The market favourite is Mon Missel at a best price of 2.63. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Lizziemouth.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org