17:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Nursery Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners · £3,978 · Monday, 5 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (10 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Duty's Call

No. 5 · score 55.4 · +2.1 clear of next best · best 6/1·7.20

Best value vs consensus

Duty's Call (also top rated)

7.2·7.20 Smarkets · +11% vs fair (consensus 6.48)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way55.4/100 rating

Duty's Call

7.20Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Amber OceanDiffers from our pick

Amber Ocean is the standout on our figures, rated 89 and a full nine pounds clear of Dreams Galore on 80, which is a meaningful gap in a Class 5 sprint like this. That superiority gives her the cleanest path to victory over the minimum trip at Wolverhampton, where a 10-runner field should at least see her tested but not necessarily beaten. Dreams Galore is the main danger, with Ard As A Rock and Sultan Darius close enough to pounce if she fails to fire, though we are only lukewarm in confidence. Amber Ocean is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Duty's Call

Liam Wright(3) · George Scott · 2yo

Top-rated of 10

score 55.4 · +2.1 clear of next best (53.3)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
19d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
60average
George Scott: 4/17 winners last 14d (24%)
Form20% weight
50average
Last 6: 8-2-4
Ratings50% weight
47below average
OR 70

MarketBest price 7.20 (Smarkets) · 4th in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 5 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(5)
3Bellatina 4Sultan Darius 6Sue's Last Chance 7Birkacre Brow 8Ard As A Rock
Prominent(2)
9Penny Capri 10Defiant Dream
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(2)
1Amber Ocean 2Dreams Galore
Unknown(1)
5Duty's Call

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Wolverhampton (AW) 5f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–4)

IV 1.24

Mid (5–7)

IV 0.91

High (8–10)

IV 0.83

Today: Bellatina (draw 2) and Dreams Galore (draw 3) get the bias; Amber Ocean (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 624 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
5	Duty's CallPick J: Liam Wright(3) · T: George Scott · draw 6 · combo 4/22 (18%) 2yo · F · grClass dropOnly ride	824	9-06	70	—	—	55.4	11/2·6.48	7.2·7.20 Smarkets · +11% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets7.2·7.20Betfair Exchange7·7.00 SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00Matchbook6.4·6.40Bet3659/2·5.50 7Bet4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00William Hill4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00Hollywood Bets4/1·5.00
1	Amber Ocean J: Gina Mangan · T: Dr Richard Newland · draw 8 2yo · F · chD	2138	9-09	73	—	—	53.3	9/1·10.37	8·8.00 Betfair Exchange · -23% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange8·8.00 7Bet7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00William Hill7/1·8.00 Bet3657/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00Matchbook7.6·7.60Smarkets7.6·7.60Bet Victor13/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50Hollywood Bets13/2·7.50Spreadex13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50
7	Birkacre Brow J: David Probert · T: James Tate · draw 10 2yo · F · bDGoing 1/2	40217	9-05	69	—	—	50.5	11/1·12.32	9/1·10.00 Bet365 · -19% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet3659/1·10.00 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00Smarkets10·10.00Matchbook10·10.00Betfred17/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50Hollywood Bets17/2·9.50Paddy Power17/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50 William Hill17/2·9.50 BetTom17/2·9.50 Midnite17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50 Star Sports17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 Betfair Exchange9·9.00 7Bet8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00Bet Victor8/1·9.00 Betano8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 BetMGM15/2·8.50
3	Bellatina J: Callum Shepherd · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 2 · combo 2/46 (4%) 2yo · F · bD	722618	9-07	71	—	—	48.6	22/1·22.04	18/1·19.00 Hollywood Bets · -14% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Hollywood Bets18/1·19.00Matchbook18·18.00Smarkets17.5·17.50SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 7Bet16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Paddy Power16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20
2	Dreams Galore J: Billy Loughnane · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 3 · combo 3/18 (17%) 2yo · F · chtFT TDOnly pairing	747113	9-07	71	—	—	48.6	3/1·3.89	3.6·3.60 Smarkets · -7% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets3.6·3.60Betfair Exchange3.3·3.30Matchbook3.3·3.30Betfair Sportsbook9/4·3.25Paddy Power9/4·3.25 SmarketsSBK9/4·3.25 7Bet2/1·3.00 BetTom2/1·3.00 BetWright2/1·3.00 Betfred2/1·3.00 Boyle Sports2/1·3.00 Coral2/1·3.00 Dragon Bet2/1·3.00 LiveScore Bet2/1·3.00 Midnite2/1·3.00 Quinn Bet2/1·3.00 SportingIndex2/1·3.00 Spreadex2/1·3.00 Star Sports2/1·3.00 Unibet2/1·3.00Virgin Bet2/1·3.00William Hill2/1·3.00 Ladbrokes2/1·3.00Hollywood Bets2/1·3.00Bet3652/1·3.00 Bet Victor15/8·2.88 BetMGM15/8·2.88 Betano15/8·2.88
4	Sultan Darius J: Darragh Keenan · T: Marco Botti · draw 1 2yo · C · btDGoing 1/2Only pairing	48416	9-06	70	—	—	45.7	6/1·7.13	7·7.00 Betfair Exchange · -2% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange7·7.00Matchbook6.6·6.60Smarkets6.6·6.60SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 Bet3655/1·6.00Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00Betfred9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 Paddy Power9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 7Bet4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00BetMGM4/1·5.00
8	Ard As A Rock J: Rob Hornby · T: David Evans · draw 4 · combo 1/5 (20%) 2yo · C · bvFT VOnly runner	5944	9-03	67	—	—	40.5	7/1·7.78	7·7.00 Betfair Exchange · -10% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange7·7.00 Bet36511/2·6.50Smarkets6.4·6.40Matchbook6·6.007Bet5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00Spreadex5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 Paddy Power5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50
9	Penny Capri J: Jack Doughty · T: David Loughnane · draw 7 2yo · F · bhtD	66519	9-02	66	—	—	39.7	28/1·29.82	25/1·26.00 Betfair Sportsbook · -13% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00Matchbook24·24.00Bet36522/1·23.00 BetTom22/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00William Hill22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00Hollywood Bets22/1·23.00Smarkets22·22.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange21·21.00
6	Sue's Last Chance J: Barry McHugh · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 9 · combo 2/35 (6%) 2yo · G · chvFT VClass drop	65800	9-05	69	—	—	39.5	25/1·27.23	20/1·21.00 BetTom · -23% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ BetTom20/1·21.00 William Hill20/1·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Paddy Power20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00Hollywood Bets18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00Smarkets19·19.00Bet Victor18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00Matchbook18.5·18.50Betfair Exchange18·18.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00
10	Defiant Dream J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Mark Usher · draw 5 2yo · F · bpOnly pairing	926504	8-03	53	—	—	35.0	40/1·37.60	33/1·34.00 Betfair Sportsbook · -10% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 7Bet30/1·31.00Smarkets30·30.00Bet36528/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00 Unibet28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00William Hill28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00Matchbook29·29.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.00Betfair Exchange28·28.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 30% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Nursery Handicap Stakes?

The Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Nursery Handicap Stakes is off at 17:00 on 5 October 2026 at Wolverhampton (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:00 Wolverhampton (AW)?

5f, Class 5, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:00 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:00 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Duty's Call (score 55.4, best price 7.20). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:00 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The market favourite is Dreams Galore at a best price of 3.60. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Duty's Call.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org