18:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners · £3,245 · Monday, 5 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (13 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

My Mate Kev

No. 4 · score 54.3 · +1.8 clear of next best · best 8/1·9.00

Drawn 2, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way54.3/100 rating

My Mate Kev

9.00SmarketsSBK

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Apex StarDiffers from our pick

Apex Star looks the right one to side with in this 13-runner Class 6 sprint at Wolverhampton, and his progressive profile is the reason we prefer him to Ezra Cee, who is the top-rated runner on our figures at 71. Apex Star sits only four points behind that rival on 67, so he is within easy reach, and an improving type is the one to trust over six furlongs on the all-weather. Ezra Cee is the chief danger as the highest-rated runner, with Torbados (66) and Love Alive (63) also in the mix, but it is Apex Star's progressive profile that tips the balance. Apex Star is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

My Mate Kev

Daniel Muscutt · Chris Dwyer · 4yo

Top-rated of 13

score 54.3 · +1.8 clear of next best (52.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=7)
Chris Dwyer: 3/7 winners last 14d (43%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Freshness10% weight
100very strong
25d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
37below average
OR 56
Form20% weight
28weak
Last 6: 5-6-7-2-7-7

MarketBest price 9.00 (SmarketsSBK) · 3rd in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(3)
6Apex Star 8Ezra Cee 11Dr Ali
Prominent(5)
1Preferred 2Glowchester 3Torbados 5Geemann 9A Lott of Kane
Mid-division(1)
4My Mate Kev
Hold-up / closers(3)
7Love Alive 10Ten Cuidado 13Sisters In The Sky
Unknown(1)
12Piddie's Pearl

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Wolverhampton (AW) 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–5)

IV 1.24

Mid (6–9)

IV 0.91

High (10–13)

IV 0.83

Today: My Mate Kev (draw 2) and Torbados (draw 1) get the bias; A Lott of Kane (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 624 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
4	My Mate KevPick J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Chris Dwyer · draw 2 4yo · G · bOnly runner	567277	9-06	56	—	—	54.3	17/2·9.52	8/1·9.00 SmarketsSBK · -5% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00Smarkets9·9.00Matchbook8.6·8.60Betfair Exchange8.4·8.40 Bet36513/2·7.50 BetTom6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 Paddy Power6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Hollywood Bets6/1·7.00SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 William Hill6/1·7.00 7Bet6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Betano11/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50
9	A Lott of Kane J: Joey Haynes · T: Chelsea Banham · draw 12 · combo 7/41 (17%) 3yo · G · chOn last winning markCDGoing 2/4Only rideOnly runner	145114	9-05	56	—	—	52.5	9/1·10.20	8/1·9.00 SmarketsSBK · -12% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00Smarkets9·9.00Betfair Exchange9·9.00Matchbook8.2·8.20SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 Bet3657/1·8.00 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50 Paddy Power13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.507Bet13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50William Hill13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 BetMGM6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00Hollywood Bets6/1·7.00Bet Victor11/2·6.50
5	Geemann J: Taylor Fisher · T: Joe Tickle · draw 10 · combo 8/50 (16%) 3yo · G · grClass dropD	533418	9-06	57	—	—	51.7	12/1·12.92	11.5·11.50 Smarkets · -11% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets11.5·11.50SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00Matchbook11·11.00Bet3659/1·10.00 Betfair Exchange10·10.00 BetTom17/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 Paddy Power17/2·9.50Hollywood Bets17/2·9.50Midnite17/2·9.50 William Hill17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50 Star Sports17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50 7Bet8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00BetMGM15/2·8.50 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50
1	Preferred J: David Probert · T: James Tate · draw 8 3yo · F · bh	4345	9-09	60	—	—	45.9	17/2·9.52	9.2·9.20 Betfair Exchange · -3% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange9.2·9.20Smarkets8.6·8.60SmarketsSBK15/2·8.50Matchbook7.4·7.40Midnite6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 Bet3656/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 7Bet6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00Hollywood Bets6/1·7.00Paddy Power6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00William Hill6/1·7.00 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50BetMGM5/1·6.00
2	Glowchester J: Billy Loughnane · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 11 5yo · M · bOnly pairing	32225	9-08	58	—	—	44.0	16/1·17.68	17.5·17.50 Matchbook Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook17.5·17.50SmarketsSBK15/1·16.00Smarkets16·16.00Betfair Exchange15.5·15.50 BetWright12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00Betano11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00BetMGM11/1·12.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00
3	Torbados J: Rob Hornby · T: Charles Hills · draw 1 · combo 2/17 (12%) 3yo · G · bb	546242	9-07	58	—	—	42.1	17/2·9.52	8.2·8.20 Betfair Exchange · -14% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange8.2·8.20Matchbook8.2·8.20Smarkets8·8.00SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 Bet3656/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 7Bet6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 Paddy Power6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 William Hill6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50Hollywood Bets11/2·6.50BetMGM5/1·6.00
6	Apex Star J: Marco Ghiani · T: William Knight · draw 3 · combo 6/35 (17%) 3yo · G · bOnly runner	720332	9-06	57	—	—	40.2	11/4·3.74	15/8·2.88 Bet365 · -23% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet36515/8·2.88Hollywood Bets15/8·2.88Matchbook2.86·2.86Smarkets2.82·2.82Betfair Exchange2.82·2.82 SmarketsSBK9/5·2.80 BetTom7/4·2.75 BetWright7/4·2.75 Betfred7/4·2.75 Boyle Sports7/4·2.75 Coral7/4·2.75 Dragon Bet7/4·2.75 Unibet7/4·2.75Virgin Bet7/4·2.75Paddy Power7/4·2.75Betfair Sportsbook7/4·2.75William Hill7/4·2.75 LiveScore Bet7/4·2.75 Quinn Bet7/4·2.75 Star Sports7/4·2.75 Ladbrokes7/4·2.75 Midnite7/4·2.75 SportingIndex7/4·2.75 Spreadex7/4·2.75 7Bet7/4·2.75 BetMGM13/8·2.63 Bet Victor13/8·2.63 Betano13/8·2.63
13	Sisters In The Sky J: Ben Ffrench Davis(5) · T: Grace Harris · draw 4 · combo 3/11 (27%) 7yo · G · chpClass dropOnly runner	923447	8-09	44	—	—	40.1	28/1·28.57	22/1·23.00 Bet365 · -19% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Bet36522/1·23.00Matchbook22·22.00Smarkets22·22.007Bet20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 William Hill20/1·21.00 Paddy Power20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Hollywood Bets20/1·21.00Betfair Exchange21·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00Betano18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00
10	Ten Cuidado J: Rose Dawes(3) · T: Mark Usher · draw 9 · combo 5/23 (22%) 3yo · G · bp	00630	8-12	49	—	—	34.8	50/1·46.25	40/1·41.00 Bet365 · -11% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet36540/1·41.00Matchbook36·36.007Bet35/1·36.00Smarkets36·36.00Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 Paddy Power33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00BetTom33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00Hollywood Bets33/1·34.00SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00BetMGM25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange18·18.00
7	Love Alive J: M. P. Sheehy · T: John Butler · draw 13 · combo 2/11 (18%) 3yo · F · bh	303597	9-06	57	—	—	33.6	50/1·55.77	40/1·41.00 BetTom · -26% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ BetTom40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 7Bet40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00Hollywood Bets40/1·41.00Paddy Power40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00William Hill40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00Matchbook40·40.00Smarkets36·36.00Betano33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Bet Victor33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Betfair Exchange30·30.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00
11	Dr Ali J: Jonny Peate · T: J. R. Jenkins · draw 5 · combo 0/32 (0%) 4yo · G · bvOnly runner	166572	8-12	48	—	—	32.7	16/1·16.32	14/1·15.00 Paddy Power · -8% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Paddy Power14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.007Bet12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Unibet11/1·12.00Smarkets11.5·11.50Matchbook11.5·11.50Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 Betfair Exchange5.3·5.30
12	Piddie's Pearl J: Jack Doughty · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 7 4yo · F · chhOnly runner	80806	8-09	45	—	—	30.4	28/1·31.29	25/1·26.00 Bet365 · -17% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet36525/1·26.00Matchbook25·25.00Smarkets25·25.00BetTom22/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00 Paddy Power22/1·23.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 William Hill22/1·23.00Hollywood Bets22/1·23.00BetMGM20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00Betfair Exchange21·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Betano18/1·19.00
8	Ezra Cee J: Darragh Keenan · T: Derek Shaw · draw 6 · combo 0/6 (0%) 5yo · G · grvClass dropOnly runner	56700	9-05	55	—	—	29.9	50/1·55.77	40/1·41.00 BetTom · -26% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ BetTom40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00 Paddy Power40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 7Bet40/1·41.00Hollywood Bets40/1·41.00Matchbook38·38.00Smarkets38·38.00Betano33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Bet Victor33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange7.2·7.20

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27–28 bookmakers per horse with the 36% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes?

The Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes is off at 18:30 on 5 October 2026 at Wolverhampton (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:30 Wolverhampton (AW)?

6f, Class 6, Flat, 13 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:30 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:30 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is My Mate Kev (score 54.3, best price 9.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:30 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The market favourite is Apex Star at a best price of 2.88. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — My Mate Kev.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org