19:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Stakes (Div II)

1m1½f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners · £3,978 · Monday, 5 October 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (10 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Dovecote

No. 3 · score 60.0 · +7.2 clear of next best · best 4/1·5.20

Best value vs consensus

Pulsar Star

21·21.00 Matchbook · +23% vs fair (consensus 17.12)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way60.0/100 rating

Dovecote

5.20Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: HamadhanDiffers from our pick

Hamadhan heads our ratings on 84, four pounds clear of Dovecote on 80, and that is the key reason to side with him in a tight-looking ten-runner Class 5 over ten furlongs at Wolverhampton. The gap to Dovecote is a modest but genuine edge, and he looks the one to beat on figures. Dovecote is the chief danger, with Pulsar Star (79) and Hauteluce (78) also close enough to make this competitive, and the confidence here is low given how tightly bunched the field is. Hamadhan still gets the nod as the best-rated runner.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Dovecote

Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett · 3yo

Top-rated of 10

score 60.0 · +7.2 clear of next best (52.8)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
24d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
70strong
Last 6: 0-2-2-2
Trainer20% weight
55average
Ralph Beckett: 11/50 winners last 14d (22%)
Ratings50% weight
50average
OR 75 — highest combined rating in the field

MarketBest price 5.20 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(3)
3Dovecote 9Showcasing Star 10Sant Alessio
Prominent(4)
1Kaaranah 2Hamadhan 4Hauteluce 5Pulsar Star
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(0)—
Unknown(3)
6Eastern Veil 7Tortured Soul 8Reveur

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Wolverhampton (AW) 1m1½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 0.96

Mid (5–7)

IV 1.12

High (8–10)

IV 0.94

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 771 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
3	DovecotePick J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 1 · combo 21/121 (17%) 3yo · G · brbFT BClass drop	0222	9-09	75	—	—	60.0	9/2·5.27	5.2·5.20 Matchbook Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook5.2·5.20Betfair Exchange5·5.00Smarkets4.9·4.90SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 Bet36510/3·4.33 Coral3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00 Star Sports3/1·4.00 Bet Victor3/1·4.00Hollywood Bets3/1·4.007Bet3/1·4.00 BetMGM3/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00 BetTom3/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00 Ladbrokes3/1·4.00 LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 Unibet3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.00Betano3/1·4.00Betfair Sportsbook3/1·4.00William Hill3/1·4.00 Paddy Power3/1·4.00
4	Hauteluce J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Ed Walker · draw 4 · combo 15/74 (20%) 3yo · F · bC&DGoing 2/2	51316	9-08	74	—	—	52.8	15/8·2.93	5/4·2.25 Quinn Bet · -23% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Quinn Bet5/4·2.25 Betfred5/4·2.25 Ladbrokes5/4·2.25 LiveScore Bet5/4·2.25 BetTom5/4·2.25 Bet3655/4·2.25 Midnite5/4·2.25 Coral5/4·2.25Betfair Sportsbook5/4·2.25Paddy Power5/4·2.25 Unibet5/4·2.25 William Hill5/4·2.25Virgin Bet5/4·2.25Star Sports5/4·2.25 BetWright6/5·2.20 Dragon Bet6/5·2.20 BetMGM6/5·2.20 7Bet6/5·2.20 Boyle Sports6/5·2.20Hollywood Bets6/5·2.20Bet Victor6/5·2.20 Betano6/5·2.20Matchbook2.18·2.18Betfair Exchange2.16·2.16Smarkets2.12·2.12SportingIndex11/10·2.10 Spreadex11/10·2.10 SmarketsSBK11/10·2.10
2	Hamadhan J: Darragh Keenan · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 6 · combo 1/18 (6%) 4yo · G · bpFT PClass dropOnly runner	37530	9-11	73	—	—	51.4	33/1·34.23	25/1·26.00 Star Sports · -24% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Star Sports25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 William Hill25/1·26.00 7Bet25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00Hollywood Bets25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00Smarkets25·25.00Matchbook25·25.00Betfair Exchange24·24.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 Bet36522/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00 LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00
1	Kaaranah J: M. P. Sheehy · T: John Butler · draw 3 · combo 2/11 (18%) 8yo · G · bC&DGoing 2/3	165113	9-12	74	—	—	50.4	7/1·7.90	12.5·12.50 Matchbook · +58% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook12.5·12.50Smarkets12·12.00SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 Betfair Exchange9.6·9.60 Bet36511/2·6.50 Spreadex5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Paddy Power5/1·6.00Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00Star Sports5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00Virgin Bet9/2·5.50BetMGM9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50
10	Sant Alessio J: Taylor Fisher · T: Joe Tickle · draw 5 · combo 8/50 (16%) 5yo · G · b	10748	9-04	66	—	—	49.5	33/1·34.23	29·29.00 Smarkets · -15% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets29·29.00Bet36528/1·29.00Matchbook28·28.007Bet25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00Star Sports25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 William Hill25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00Hollywood Bets25/1·26.00Betfair Exchange24·24.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00
6	Eastern Veil J: David Probert · T: Andrew Balding · draw 7 · combo 2/27 (7%) 3yo · F · bOnly runner	61359	9-07	73	—	—	48.2	16/1·17.12	28·28.00 Matchbook · +64% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook28·28.00Betfair Exchange22·22.00Smarkets22·22.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00Betfred12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Betano11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00BetMGM10/1·11.00
7	Tortured Soul J: Molly Gunn(5) · T: Tony Carroll · draw 8 · combo 1/14 (7%) 6yo · G · bClass dropOnly rideOnly runner	232409	9-07	69	—	—	46.2	33/1·34.23	75·75.00 Matchbook · +119% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook75·75.00Smarkets44·44.00SmarketsSBK40/1·41.00 Bet36528/1·29.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00Hollywood Bets25/1·26.00Midnite25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 William Hill25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00 7Bet25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00 LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00BetMGM20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange20·20.00
5	Pulsar Star J: Rob Hornby · T: Thomas Faulkner · draw 10 4yo · G · bOnly runner	229668	9-07	69	—	—	44.2	16/1·17.12	21·21.00 Matchbook · +23% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook21·21.00Betfair Exchange18.5·18.50Smarkets17.5·17.50SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00William Hill12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Betano11/1·12.00
9	Showcasing Star J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 2 · combo 2/15 (13%) 3yo · G · chpFT P	270539	9-05	71	—	—	44.0	33/1·34.23	55·55.00 Matchbook · +61% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook55·55.00Smarkets34·34.00SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Bet36528/1·29.00 Betfair Exchange27·27.00 7Bet25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 William Hill25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00Hollywood Bets25/1·26.00Bet Victor22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00
8	Reveur J: Billy Loughnane · T: David O'Meara · draw 9 3yo · G · bClass dropOnly pairing	10470	9-07	73	—	—	42.8	8/1·9.22	7.8·7.80 Matchbook · -15% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook7.8·7.80Smarkets7.4·7.40Betfair Exchange7.4·7.40 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 7Bet6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Betfred6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00Hollywood Bets6/1·7.00Star Sports6/1·7.00 SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Paddy Power6/1·7.00 William Hill6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 BetTom11/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Betano5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 32% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Stakes (Div II)?

The attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Stakes (Div II) is off at 19:30 on 5 October 2026 at Wolverhampton (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:30 Wolverhampton (AW)?

1m1½f, Class 5, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:30 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:30 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Dovecote (score 60.0, best price 5.20). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:30 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The market favourite is Hauteluce at a best price of 2.25. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Dovecote.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org