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13:15 Yarmouth

White Swan Fish & Seafood Apprentice Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £3,768 · Monday, 5 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 4 · score 51.0 · +4.5 clear of next best · best 17/2·9.40
Best value vs consensus
6.2·6.20 Smarkets · +11% vs fair (consensus 5.57)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way51.0/100 rating
Two And Two
9.40Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: EightthreeoneDiffers from our pick

Eightthreeone is our pick at Yarmouth, and the case rests on a progressive profile and a fitness edge that should count for plenty in a competitive Class 6 sprint on good to firm. He is rated 68, just five pounds behind the top-rated Two And Two on 73, and that gap looks bridgeable for a horse still on an upward curve. Two And Two is the obvious danger, while Arnaz (69) and Koffee And Kale (66) sit close enough to make this a tight contest, though neither has the improvement in their profile that Eightthreeone offers. Eightthreeone is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Two And Two

Charlie Tucker(7) · Simon Hodgson · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 51.0 · +4.5 clear of next best (46.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    53d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=3)
    Simon Hodgson: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    42below average
    OR 63
  • Form20% weight
    25weak
    Last 6: 1-5-0-4-0-5
MarketBest price 9.40 (Matchbook) · 5th in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Yarmouth 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.37).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.37
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.88
High (7–9)
IV 0.70

Today: Iconic Dawn (draw 3) and Eightthreeone (draw 2) get the bias; Two And Two (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 146 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
4
J: Charlie Tucker(7) · T: Simon Hodgson · draw 9 · combo 0/5 (0%)
3yo · F · bhClass dropOnly rideOnly runner
150405
6351.010/1·10.539.4·9.40
Matchbook · -11% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
8
J: Toby Moore(5) · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 3
3yo · F · bbDOnly rideOnly runner
074413
5746.59/2·5.576.2·6.20
Smarkets · +11% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
3
J: Oliver Carmichael(5) · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 2 · combo 4/38 (11%)
3yo · G · chpFT PClass dropOnly pairing
265443
6445.69/2·5.365.1·5.10
Matchbook · -5% vs fair
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5
J: Joe Bradnam(7) · T: Michael Bell · draw 7 · combo 1/8 (13%)
3yo · G · bvOnly rideOnly runner
746427
6144.76/1·6.816.6·6.60
Matchbook · -3% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
1
J: Hope Regan(7) · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 1 · combo 1/28 (4%)
5yo · G · bClass dropDGoing 2/5Only ride
781165
6340.79/2·5.579/2·5.50
Hollywood Bets
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7
J: Jack Dace · T: Oliver Cole · draw 5
3yo · F · chtFT TDOnly rideOnly runner
943146
6039.718/1·18.5816/1·17.00
Coral · -8% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
2
J: Jack Callan · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 4 · combo 0/11 (0%)
3yo · F · bClass dropOnly pairing
22259
6436.120/1·21.0620·20.00
Matchbook · -5% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
6
J: Donagh Murphy(5) · T: John Ryan · draw 6
4yo · F · bFirst after wind op
0235
5935.325/1·26.0224·24.00
Matchbook · -8% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
9
J: Taryn Langley(3) · T: Adam Kirby · draw 8 · combo 1/6 (17%)
6yo · G · bOnly runner
49668
5635.012/1·13.6311/1·12.00
Ladbrokes · -12% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 24% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the White Swan Fish & Seafood Apprentice Handicap Stakes?

The White Swan Fish & Seafood Apprentice Handicap Stakes is off at 13:15 on 5 October 2026 at Yarmouth (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 13:15 Yarmouth?

6f, Class 6, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 13:15 Yarmouth?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 13:15 Yarmouth?

The AI top-rated runner is Two And Two (score 51.0, best price 9.40). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 13:15 Yarmouth?

The market favourite is Eightthreeone at a best price of 5.10. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Two And Two.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org