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13:50 Yarmouth

Strawberry Fields Stud Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £6,480 · Monday, 5 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 1 · score 33.1 · +3.1 clear of next best · best 4/1·5.10
Best value vs consensus
20/1·21.00 Bet365 · +4% vs fair (consensus 20.30)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way33.1/100 rating
Awwjaan
5.10Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Awwjaan

Kieran Shoemark · Ed Walker · 2yo

Top-rated of 7
score 33.1 · +3.1 clear of next best (30.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    24d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2
  • Trainer20% weight
    38below average
    Ed Walker: 5/33 winners last 14d (15%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 5.10 (Smarkets) · 3rd in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Yarmouth 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.08
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.02
High (6–7)
IV 0.89

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 189 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
1
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 6
2yo · F · bClass drop
2
—33.14/1·5.175.1·5.10
Smarkets
Compare 28 books ▾
3
2yo · F · bClass drop
5
—30.05/4·2.282.22·2.22
Betfair Exchange · -3% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
4
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 7
2yo · F · chOnly runner
——29.54/1·5.174/1·5.00
Bet365 · -3% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
7
J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 1
2yo · F · bOnly runner
——24.520/1·20.3020/1·21.00
Bet365 · +4% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
5
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 3
2yo · F · ch
——24.09/1·10.159.2·9.20
Matchbook · -9% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
2
2yo · F · bhFT H
——21.566/1·60.8995·95.00
Matchbook · +56% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
6
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Philip McBride · draw 2
2yo · F · b
——15.0100/1·96.70130·130.00
Matchbook · +34% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 19% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Strawberry Fields Stud Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)?

The Strawberry Fields Stud Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) is off at 13:50 on 5 October 2026 at Yarmouth (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 13:50 Yarmouth?

1m, Class 3, Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the going for the 13:50 Yarmouth?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 13:50 Yarmouth?

The AI top-rated runner is Awwjaan (score 33.1, best price 5.10). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 13:50 Yarmouth?

The market favourite is Claudette at a best price of 2.22. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Awwjaan.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org