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15:35 Yarmouth

Price Bailey LLP Norwich Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

1m · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £5,400 · Monday, 5 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 2 · score 30.5 · +3.0 clear of next best · best EVS·1.96
Best value vs consensus
200/1·201.00 Betfred · +14% vs fair (consensus 176.87)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 21 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way27.5/100 rating
Moontune
5.20Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Endless Quest

Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden · 3yo

Top-rated of 7
score 30.5 · +3.0 clear of next best (27.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    78strong
    John & Thady Gosden: 10/32 winners last 14d (31%)
  • Form20% weight
    50average
    Last 6: first run
  • Freshness10% weight
    50average
    no recent-run data
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 1.96 (Smarkets) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Yarmouth 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.08
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.02
High (6–7)
IV 0.89

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 189 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
2
3yo · F · b
——30.55/4·2.241.96·1.96
Smarkets · -12% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
6
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Stuart Williams · draw 4
3yo · F · bClass dropOnly runner
44
—27.59/2·5.275.2·5.20
Matchbook
Compare 28 books ▾
4
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 2
3yo · F · bbFT BClass drop
38
—22.811/4·3.813.6·3.60
Matchbook · -5% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
5
J: Luke Morris · T: James Owen · draw 6
3yo · F · bOnly pairing
——21.014/1·15.2316/1·17.00
Paddy Power · +12% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
—
3yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner
03
—18.0200/1·176.87200/1·201.00
Betfred · +14% vs fair
Compare 21 books ▾
—
J: Laura Pearson · T: Gihan Arnolda · draw 5
3yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner
——15.050/1·48.0250/1·51.00
Paddy Power · +6% vs fair
Compare 21 books ▾
7
3yo · F · bOnly runner
6
—14.0100/1·118.30180·180.00
Matchbook · +52% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 21–28 bookmakers per horse with the 17% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Price Bailey LLP Norwich Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)?

The Price Bailey LLP Norwich Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) is off at 15:35 on 5 October 2026 at Yarmouth (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:35 Yarmouth?

1m, Class 4, Flat, 5 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:35 Yarmouth?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:35 Yarmouth?

The AI top-rated runner is Endless Quest (score 30.5, best price 1.96). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:35 Yarmouth?

The market favourite is Endless Quest at a best price of 1.96.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org