16:05 Yarmouth

Haven Seashore Holiday Park Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

1m2f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · £5,653 · Monday, 5 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (10 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Leonardo Blu

No. 8 · score 63.9 · +6.5 clear of next best · best 10/1·11.00

Drawn 1, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

Beach Point

11.5·11.50 Smarkets · +7% vs fair (consensus 10.79)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way63.9/100 rating

Leonardo Blu

11.00Paddy Power

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Warrior ModeDiffers from our pick

Warrior Mode is our selection here, and his progressive profile gives him the edge over Box To Box, who sits just two pounds better on our ratings at 93 to 91. A horse on an upward curve is the one to side with in a ten-runner Class 4 contest over ten furlongs on good to firm, and Warrior Mode's own rating of 91 leaves him five pounds clear of the chasing group, with the next best at 86. Box To Box is the chief danger on the figures, while Lucky Hero and Vincenzo Peruggia, rated 86 and 85, would need to improve to get involved. Warrior Mode can confirm his progress and get the job done.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Leonardo Blu

Robert Havlin · Tom Clover · 3yo

Top-rated of 10

score 63.9 · +6.5 clear of next best (57.4)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=9)
Tom Clover: 4/9 winners last 14d (44%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Freshness10% weight
85very strong
32d since last run (fresh)
Ratings50% weight
53average
OR 79
Form20% weight
45below average
Last 6: 2-1-4-8-4

MarketBest price 11.00 (Paddy Power) · 8th in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
1Box To Box 3Cuff It
Prominent(3)
4Lucky Hero 8Leonardo Blu 9Accademia
Mid-division(2)
2Warrior Mode 7Mythical Guest
Hold-up / closers(1)
5Vincenzo Peruggia
Unknown(2)
6Beach Point 10Warning Symbol

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Yarmouth 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.18).

Low (1–4)

IV 1.18

Mid (5–7)

IV 1.09

High (8–10)

IV 0.72

Today: Leonardo Blu (draw 1) and Lucky Hero (draw 3) get the bias; Warrior Mode (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 100 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
8	Leonardo BluPick J: Robert Havlin · T: Tom Clover · draw 1 3yo · G · bOnly runner	21484	9-04	79	—	—	63.9	12/1·12.70	10/1·11.00 Paddy Power · -13% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Paddy Power10/1·11.00Matchbook11·11.00Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50Smarkets10.5·10.50BetWright9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 7Bet9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00Hollywood Bets9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00Unibet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00Betfred9/1·10.00 Bet Victor17/2·9.50 Bet36517/2·9.50 Betano17/2·9.50 BetMGM8/1·9.00
4	Lucky Hero J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: David O'Meara · draw 3 3yo · G · chDGoing 2/2Only rideOnly runner	043113	9-10	85	—	—	57.4	9/2·5.71	5.8·5.80 Betfair Exchange · +2% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.8·5.80Smarkets5.8·5.80SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50Matchbook5.4·5.40SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 William Hill7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50Hollywood Bets7/2·4.50LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 7Bet7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 Betano10/3·4.33 BetMGM10/3·4.33 Bet Victor10/3·4.33
9	Accademia J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 6 3yo · F · bGoing 2/4	45115	9-03	78	—	—	54.7	9/1·10.16	8.6·8.60 Betfair Exchange · -15% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange8.6·8.60Smarkets8.6·8.60Ladbrokes15/2·8.50Matchbook8.4·8.40Betfred7/1·8.00 Bet3657/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Paddy Power7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00Hollywood Bets13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.507Bet13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50 Betano6/1·7.00 BetMGM6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00
2	Warrior Mode J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 10 4yo · G · bClass drop	80318	10-00	85	—	—	51.9	13/2·7.62	7.6·7.60 Betfair Exchange Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange7.6·7.60Smarkets7.4·7.40Matchbook7.4·7.40SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Paddy Power11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 BetMGM5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00BetWright5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00Betfred9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50
1	Box To Box J: Tom Marquand · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 2 7yo · G · bvClass dropOnly pairing	02265	10-02	87	—	—	50.3	9/1·10.16	8.8·8.80 Betfair Exchange · -13% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange8.8·8.80Smarkets8.8·8.80Matchbook8.8·8.80BetTom15/2·8.50 Bet36515/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50Paddy Power15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 SmarketsSBK15/2·8.50 7Bet7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00Hollywood Bets7/1·8.00BetWright13/2·7.50 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50Midnite13/2·7.50
6	Beach Point J: Neil Callan · T: William Knight · draw 8 5yo · G · brpGoing 1/3Only rideOnly runner	484412	9-05	76	—	—	48.2	10/1·10.79	11.5·11.50 Smarkets · +7% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets11.5·11.50Matchbook11·11.00Betfair Exchange11·11.00 Paddy Power8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50Betfred15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50 7Bet15/2·8.50 Bet36515/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50Hollywood Bets15/2·8.50Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00BetMGM13/2·7.50
5	Vincenzo Peruggia J: Rossa Ryan · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 5 3yo · G · chpFT POnly runner	700446	9-07	82	—	—	47.5	10/1·10.79	17/2·9.50 Hollywood Bets · -12% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Hollywood Bets17/2·9.50Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00 Paddy Power8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00Smarkets8.8·8.80Matchbook8.8·8.80Betfred15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50 BetTom15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50SmarketsSBK15/2·8.50 Bet36515/2·8.50 Betfair Exchange8.2·8.20 BetWright7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 7Bet7/1·8.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00Bet Victor13/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50
10	Warning Symbol J: Harry Davies · T: James Owen · draw 9 3yo · G · b	031P5	8-13	74	—	—	45.3	18/1·19.04	18.5·18.50 Matchbook · -3% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook18.5·18.50Smarkets18·18.00SportingIndex16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Betfair Exchange16.5·16.50 BetWright14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00William Hill14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.007Bet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00
3	Cuff It J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 4 3yo · G · bClass dropD	5140	9-10	85	—	—	44.1	10/1·10.79	9·9.00 Matchbook · -17% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook9·9.00Star Sports8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Paddy Power8/1·9.00 7Bet15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 Bet36515/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50William Hill15/2·8.50Hollywood Bets15/2·8.50Smarkets8.4·8.40Betfair Exchange8.4·8.40 BetMGM7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00
7	Mythical Guest J: Jack Callan · T: George Margarson · draw 7 6yo · G · bClass drop	343033	9-05	76	—	—	41.8	10/1·11.43	10.5·10.50 Matchbook · -8% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook10.5·10.50Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50Smarkets9.8·9.80Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50 BetTom8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00 Paddy Power8/1·9.00 Bet3658/1·9.00 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00 7Bet15/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50William Hill15/2·8.50Hollywood Bets15/2·8.50BetMGM7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 27% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Haven Seashore Holiday Park Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)?

The Haven Seashore Holiday Park Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) is off at 16:05 on 5 October 2026 at Yarmouth (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:05 Yarmouth?

1m2f, Class 4, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:05 Yarmouth?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:05 Yarmouth?

The AI top-rated runner is Leonardo Blu (score 63.9, best price 11.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:05 Yarmouth?

The market favourite is Lucky Hero at a best price of 5.80. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Leonardo Blu.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org