14:30 Fairyhouse

Ireland

2m · Hurdle · Good · 12 runners · €9,000 · Monday, 5 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (12 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Crystal Mariner

No. 1 · score 55.3 · +10.7 clear of next best · best 40/1·46.00

Best value vs consensus

Farney Bridge

9.6·9.60 Matchbook · +21% vs fair (consensus 7.92)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way26.0/100 rating

Abando

13.00Virgin Bet

Place portion settles at 3.40 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Crystal Mariner

Harry Sexton(7) · John Joseph Hanlon · 6yo

Top-rated of 12

score 55.3 · +10.7 clear of next best (44.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
16d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
72strong
OR 108 — highest combined rating in the field
Form20% weight
47below average
Last 6: 2-2-7
Trainer20% weight
0weak
John Joseph Hanlon: 0/14 winners last 14d (0%)

MarketBest price 46.00 (Matchbook) · 6th in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
8Abando
Prominent(3)
1Crystal Mariner 3Grey Fable 6Midtown Manhattan
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(6)
2Farney Bridge 4State Pension 5Geashill Poet 7Unfortunatecharlie 10Je Suis Celebre 11Little An Often
Unknown(2)
9El Bilo 12Paidi's Pet

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	Crystal MarinerPick J: Harry Sexton(7) · T: John Joseph Hanlon · draw 0 · combo 1/43 (2%) 6yo · G · chh	227	11-12	108	—	—	55.3	22/1·22.44	46·46.00 Matchbook · +105% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook46·46.00Smarkets34·34.00SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00William Hill16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Betfair Exchange15·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00
3	Grey Fable J: Ben Harvey · T: Karl Thornton · draw 0 · combo 2/9 (22%) 6yo · G · gtOnly rideOnly runner	5789	11-12	106	—	—	44.6	40/1·44.88	95·95.00 Matchbook · +112% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook95·95.00Smarkets90·90.00SmarketsSBK80/1·81.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00Hollywood Bets33/1·34.00Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00Star Sports28/1·29.00 Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60
4	State Pension J: Cian Quirke · T: David Harry Kelly · draw 0 · combo 2/17 (12%) 6yo · G · b	21353	11-12	—	—	—	30.2	11/10·2.14	4/6·1.67 BetTom · -22% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ BetTom4/6·1.67 Boyle Sports4/6·1.67 Coral4/6·1.67 Betfred4/6·1.67 Ladbrokes4/6·1.67Hollywood Bets67/100·1.67Quinn Bet4/6·1.67 SportingIndex4/6·1.67 Spreadex4/6·1.67 William Hill4/6·1.67Betfair Sportsbook4/6·1.67Paddy Power4/6·1.67 Bet3658/13·1.62 Betano8/13·1.62Matchbook1.62·1.62BetMGM8/13·1.62 Bet Victor8/13·1.62 LiveScore Bet8/13·1.62 Star Sports8/13·1.62 Unibet8/13·1.62Virgin Bet8/13·1.62BetWright8/13·1.61 Dragon Bet8/13·1.61Smarkets1.61·1.61Betfair Exchange1.58·1.58 SmarketsSBK4/7·1.57 Midnite4/7·1.57
8	Abando J: James Smith(3) · T: A. McCann · draw 0 · combo 1/17 (6%) 4yo · G · b	3	11-03	—	—	—	26.0	16/1·17.16	12/1·13.00 Virgin Bet · -24% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Virgin Bet12/1·13.00BetTom12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00Bet36512/1·13.00Matchbook12.5·12.50BetMGM11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00Smarkets12·12.00Midnite11/1·12.00 Betfair Exchange11.5·11.50
5	Geashill Poet J: Kieren Buckley · T: Adrian Murray · draw 0 5yo · G · bOnly ride	0	11-04	—	—	—	25.0	150/1·166.33	450·450.00 Matchbook · +171% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook450·450.00Smarkets300·300.00SmarketsSBK200/1·201.00Betfair Sportsbook150/1·151.00Paddy Power150/1·151.00 BetMGM125/1·126.00 Bet Victor125/1·126.00 Bet365125/1·126.00 BetTom125/1·126.00 BetWright125/1·126.00 Betano125/1·126.00 Betfred125/1·126.00 Boyle Sports125/1·126.00 Coral125/1·126.00 Dragon Bet125/1·126.00 Ladbrokes125/1·126.00 LiveScore Bet125/1·126.00 Midnite125/1·126.00 Quinn Bet125/1·126.00 Unibet125/1·126.00Virgin Bet125/1·126.00William Hill125/1·126.00Hollywood Bets125/1·126.00SportingIndex100/1·101.00 Spreadex100/1·101.00 Star Sports100/1·101.00 Betfair Exchange7·7.00
9	El Bilo J: Sean Flanagan · T: Paul Nolan · draw 0 · combo 3/9 (33%) 4yo · G · bOnly runner	—	11-03	—	—	—	21.5	16/1·17.16	34·34.00 Matchbook · +98% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook34·34.00Smarkets29·29.00SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange18·18.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00William Hill12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Bet Victor12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets10/1·11.00
7	Unfortunatecharlie J: Ms E Dunseath(7) · T: Noel C. Kelly · draw 0 · combo 0/10 (0%) 7yo · G · ch	6218	11-04	—	—	—	18.8	80/1·88.45	170·170.00 Matchbook · +92% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook170·170.00Smarkets140·140.00SmarketsSBK90/1·91.00 Bet Victor66/1·67.00 Bet36566/1·67.00 BetMGM66/1·67.00 BetTom66/1·67.00 BetWright66/1·67.00 Betano66/1·67.00 Betfred66/1·67.00 Boyle Sports66/1·67.00 Coral66/1·67.00 Dragon Bet66/1·67.00 Ladbrokes66/1·67.00 Midnite66/1·67.00 Quinn Bet66/1·67.00 SportingIndex66/1·67.00 Spreadex66/1·67.00 Unibet66/1·67.00 William Hill66/1·67.00Betfair Sportsbook66/1·67.00Paddy Power66/1·67.00Hollywood Bets66/1·67.00LiveScore Bet50/1·51.00 Star Sports50/1·51.00Virgin Bet50/1·51.00Betfair Exchange6.8·6.80
6	Midtown Manhattan J: Darragh O'Keeffe · T: Henry de Bromhead · draw 0 · combo 28/142 (20%) 5yo · G · bh	19	11-04	—	—	—	18.0	13/2·7.26	6.8·6.80 Matchbook · -6% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook6.8·6.80Smarkets6.2·6.20SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00Betfair Exchange5.9·5.90 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50Paddy Power9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 Bet3659/2·5.50 Star Sports4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00
2	Farney Bridge J: Eoin Walsh · T: John M Burke · draw 0 · combo 0/13 (0%) 6yo · G · chGoing 1/3Only rideOnly runner	0144	11-12	—	—	—	17.3	7/1·7.92	9.6·9.60 Matchbook · +21% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook9.6·9.60Smarkets9.4·9.40SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Betfair Exchange8.8·8.80 Paddy Power11/2·6.50 BetWright5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00William Hill5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Star Sports9/2·5.50Hollywood Bets9/2·5.50
12	Paidi's Pet J: Simon Torrens · T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy · draw 0 · combo 0/7 (0%) 4yo · G · bOnly ride	8	11-03	—	—	—	14.0	40/1·44.88	100·100.00 Matchbook · +123% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook100·100.00Smarkets95·95.00SmarketsSBK90/1·91.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00Hollywood Bets40/1·41.00Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60
10	Je Suis Celebre J: Daniel King · T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy · draw 0 · combo 1/12 (8%) 4yo · G · bOnly pairing	F5	11-03	—	—	—	13.0	28/1·27.72	60·60.00 Matchbook · +116% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook60·60.00Smarkets55·55.00SmarketsSBK50/1·51.00 Bet36522/1·23.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00 William Hill20/1·21.00 Paddy Power20/1·21.00Hollywood Bets20/1·21.00SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Betfred20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00BetMGM18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange7.4·7.40
11	Little An Often J: Ricky Doyle · T: Mark Fahey · draw 0 4yo · G · bOnly ride	8	11-03	—	—	—	9.0	100/1·106.93	240·240.00 Matchbook · +125% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook240·240.00Smarkets200·200.00SmarketsSBK150/1·151.00Betfair Sportsbook100/1·101.00Paddy Power100/1·101.00 Bet Victor80/1·81.00 Bet36580/1·81.00 BetTom80/1·81.00 BetWright80/1·81.00 Betano80/1·81.00 Betfred80/1·81.00 Boyle Sports80/1·81.00 Coral80/1·81.00 Dragon Bet80/1·81.00 Ladbrokes80/1·81.00 LiveScore Bet80/1·81.00 Midnite80/1·81.00 Quinn Bet80/1·81.00 SportingIndex80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00 Unibet80/1·81.00Virgin Bet80/1·81.00William Hill80/1·81.00 Star Sports66/1·67.00 BetMGM66/1·67.00Hollywood Bets66/1·67.00Betfair Exchange7·7.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27 bookmakers per horse with the 32% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com (C & G) Maiden Hurdle?

The Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com (C & G) Maiden Hurdle is off at 14:30 on 5 October 2026 at Fairyhouse (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:30 Fairyhouse?

2m, Hurdle, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:30 Fairyhouse?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:30 Fairyhouse?

The AI top-rated runner is Crystal Mariner (score 55.3, best price 46.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:30 Fairyhouse?

The market favourite is State Pension at a best price of 1.67. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Crystal Mariner.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org