15:40 Fairyhouse

Ireland

Adare Manor Opportunity Mares Maiden Hurdle

2m4f · Hurdle · Good · 10 runners · €10,500 · Monday, 5 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (10 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

An Lachin Beag

No. 2 · score 23.3 · +0.1 clear of next best · best 8/1·8.80

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way23.3/100 rating

An Lachin Beag

8.80Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

An Lachin Beag

Paddy Cleary(4) · Nigel Thomas Slevin · 6yo

Top-rated of 10

score 23.3 · +0.1 clear of next best (23.2)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
28d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
43small sample (n=6)
Nigel Thomas Slevin: 1/6 winners last 14d (17%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Form20% weight
24weak
Last 6: 3-0-F-4
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketBest price 8.80 (Smarkets) · 4th in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(1)
2An Lachin Beag
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(3)
3Bigcitydreams 4Everyday Life 10Thats It Ruby
Unknown(6)
1Born Believing 5Leading Rose 6Princess Aveen 7Shadonagh 8La Muleta 9Little Bonnie

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
2	An Lachin BeagPick J: Paddy Cleary(4) · T: Nigel Thomas Slevin · draw 0 · combo 1/6 (17%) 6yo · M · chOnly runner	30F4	10-13	—	—	—	23.3	9/1·10.48	8.8·8.80 Smarkets · -16% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Smarkets8.8·8.80Matchbook8.6·8.60Bet36515/2·8.50 BetTom15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50 Paddy Power15/2·8.50Hollywood Bets15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50SmarketsSBK15/2·8.50 Betfair Exchange8.4·8.40 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00Midnite7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 BetMGM13/2·7.50
8	La Muleta J: Mr R Sugrue(4) · T: P J Rothwell · draw 0 · combo 2/38 (5%) 4yo · F · bOnly pairing	23	10-11	—	—	—	23.2	4/1·4.93	4.7·4.70 Matchbook · -5% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook4.7·4.70Smarkets4.6·4.60SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 Betfair Exchange4.4·4.40Hollywood Bets10/3·4.33BetMGM16/5·4.20 Bet3653/1·4.00 BetTom3/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 Coral3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00 Ladbrokes3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet3/1·4.00 William Hill3/1·4.00 Paddy Power3/1·4.00 LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 Unibet3/1·4.00 Bet Victor11/4·3.75 Betano11/4·3.75 Star Sports11/4·3.75Virgin Bet11/4·3.75Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.75
5	Leading Rose J: Niall Moore(2) · T: William P Murphy · draw 0 6yo · M · bOnly rideOnly runner	32P41	10-13	—	—	—	18.4	22/1·23.43	21·21.00 Matchbook · -10% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook21·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Paddy Power20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00Smarkets21·21.00Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00Bet Victor18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00Betfair Exchange7·7.00
1	Born Believing J: James Smith · T: Ms Claire O'Connell · draw 0 · combo 0/5 (0%) 5yo · M · btOnly pairing	1155	11-07	—	—	—	17.2	11/4·3.70	3.5·3.50 Smarkets · -5% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Smarkets3.5·3.50SmarketsSBK5/2·3.50 Betfair Exchange3.45·3.45 Unibet2/1·3.00 Ladbrokes2/1·3.00 LiveScore Bet2/1·3.00 Spreadex2/1·3.00Betfair Sportsbook2/1·3.00Paddy Power2/1·3.00Virgin Bet2/1·3.00William Hill2/1·3.00 Midnite2/1·3.00 Quinn Bet2/1·3.00 SportingIndex2/1·3.00 BetTom2/1·3.00 Betfred2/1·3.00 Boyle Sports2/1·3.00 Coral2/1·3.00 Star Sports15/8·2.88 Bet36515/8·2.88 Bet Victor15/8·2.88 Betano15/8·2.88 BetMGM15/8·2.88 Dragon Bet15/8·2.87 BetWright15/8·2.87Matchbook2.86·2.86Hollywood Bets6/4·2.50
6	Princess Aveen J: Alan O'Sullivan(2) · T: W R Crawford · draw 0 5yo · M · rnOnly ride	2210	10-13	—	—	—	17.2	22/1·23.43	20/1·21.00 Paddy Power · -10% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Paddy Power20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00Matchbook21·21.00Smarkets21·21.00Bet Victor18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00Betfred16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00Star Sports16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Betfair Exchange7·7.00
3	Bigcitydreams J: Josh Williamson · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 0 · combo 2/35 (6%) 5yo · M · gpFT POnly ride	P7	10-13	—	—	—	15.0	66/1·62.88	50/1·51.00 BetWright · -19% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ BetWright50/1·51.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 BetTom50/1·51.00 Betfred50/1·51.00 Quinn Bet50/1·51.00 Unibet50/1·51.00 William Hill50/1·51.00 Boyle Sports50/1·51.00 SportingIndex50/1·51.00 Spreadex50/1·51.00Betfair Sportsbook50/1·51.00Paddy Power50/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00 Dragon Bet50/1·51.00Smarkets44·44.00Matchbook42·42.00Bet36540/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00Star Sports40/1·41.00Hollywood Bets40/1·41.00SmarketsSBK40/1·41.00 Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20
10	Thats It Ruby J: Eoghan Finegan(2) · T: Ian Patrick Donoghue · draw 0 4yo · F · bOnly pairing	7	10-11	—	—	—	13.0	12/1·13.56	11/1·12.00 Bet365 · -11% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Bet36511/1·12.00Smarkets11.5·11.50Matchbook11·11.00BetTom10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Paddy Power10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00Betano9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00Hollywood Bets9/1·10.00Unibet9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 Betfair Exchange9.4·9.40
4	Everyday Life J: Caragh Monaghan(4) · T: Ian Patrick Donoghue · draw 0 · combo 0/12 (0%) 5yo · M · bh	5296U	10-13	—	—	—	10.8	13/2·7.40	7·7.00 Smarkets · -5% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Smarkets7·7.00Matchbook7·7.00SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60 Midnite5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Paddy Power5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Star Sports9/2·5.50Hollywood Bets9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Unibet9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50
7	Shadonagh J: Kevin Healy(4) · T: Ciaran Murphy · draw 0 · combo 2/6 (33%) 5yo · M · bOnly runner	450	10-13	—	—	—	10.0	10/1·11.10	9/1·10.00 Bet365 · -10% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Bet3659/1·10.00 BetWright17/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50Hollywood Bets17/2·9.50Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 William Hill17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50 Bet Victor8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 Paddy Power8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 Betano8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00Smarkets8.8·8.80SmarketsSBK15/2·8.50 BetMGM15/2·8.50Matchbook8.2·8.20Betfair Exchange7.4·7.40
9	Little Bonnie J: Peter Smithers(2) · T: Padraig Roche · draw 0 4yo · F · gOnly pairing	60	10-11	—	—	—	5.8	33/1·32.06	25/1·26.00 BetTom · -19% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ BetTom25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 William Hill25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00Hollywood Bets25/1·26.00Bet36525/1·26.00Smarkets24·24.00Bet Victor22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00Matchbook22·22.00BetMGM20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27 bookmakers per horse with the 23% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Adare Manor Opportunity Mares Maiden Hurdle?

The Adare Manor Opportunity Mares Maiden Hurdle is off at 15:40 on 5 October 2026 at Fairyhouse (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:40 Fairyhouse?

2m4f, Hurdle, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:40 Fairyhouse?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:40 Fairyhouse?

The AI top-rated runner is An Lachin Beag (score 23.3, best price 8.80). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:40 Fairyhouse?

The market favourite is Born Believing at a best price of 3.50. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — An Lachin Beag.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org