17:00 Kempton (AW)

Off in 31m

Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Apprentice Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard / Slow · 8 runners · £4,187 · Wednesday, 7 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (9 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Caragio

No. 6 · score 51.0 · +0.5 clear of next best · best 7/4·2.78

Best value vs consensus

Cuban Lady

19·19.00 Matchbook · +23% vs fair (consensus 15.47)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way50.3/100 rating

Silver Trumpet

5.30Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: CaragioAgrees with our pick

Caragio is the pick of a tight Kempton contest, and while Arantes Nascimento tops our figures at 82, our selection is only three pounds behind on 79 and brings a progressive profile and a fitness edge that count for plenty over seven furlongs on the all-weather. Arantes Nascimento is the chief danger on raw ability, with Silver Trumpet (78) and Lady Manzor (77) also within a few pounds and capable of turning this into a bunch finish. Caragio looks the one to be on as the sort still improving, though this is a competitive Class 5 and confidence is limited.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Caragio

Taryn Langley · Adam Kirby · 6yo

Top-rated of 9

score 51.0 · +0.5 clear of next best (50.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
70strong
11d since last run (quick turnaround)
Form20% weight
53average
Last 6: 2-1-5-6-3-3
Trainer20% weight
53average
Adam Kirby: 4/19 winners last 14d (21%)
Ratings50% weight
46below average
OR 69

MarketBest price 2.78 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(4)
1Silver Trumpet 2Arantes Nascimento 3Receipt 7Strike
Mid-division(1)
4Cuban Lady
Hold-up / closers(3)
5Lady Manzor 8Timely Affair Nezeeh
Unknown(1)
6Caragio

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 7f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–3)

IV 1.05

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.17

High (7–9)

IV 0.80

Today: Cuban Lady (draw 5) and Strike (draw 4) get the bias; Receipt (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
6	CaragioPick J: Taryn Langley · T: Adam Kirby · draw 3 · combo 2/8 (25%) 6yo · G · b/esFT /ESOnly runner	215633	9-08	69	—	—	51.0	9/4·3.13	2.78·2.78 Matchbook · -11% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook2.78·2.78Betfair Exchange2.78·2.78Smarkets2.76·2.76Unibet7/4·2.75 7Bet13/8·2.63 Paddy Power13/8·2.63 BetTom13/8·2.63 BetWright13/8·2.63Hollywood Bets13/8·2.63Ladbrokes13/8·2.63 Midnite13/8·2.63 10 Bet13/8·2.63 Bet Victor13/8·2.63 Bet36513/8·2.63 Coral13/8·2.63 Dragon Bet13/8·2.63 SportingIndex13/8·2.63 Betano13/8·2.63 Boyle Sports13/8·2.63 BetMGM13/8·2.63 Spreadex13/8·2.63 Star Sports13/8·2.62 SmarketsSBK13/8·2.62 Quinn Bet13/8·2.62Betfair Sportsbook6/4·2.50William Hill6/4·2.50 Betfred6/4·2.50
4	Cuban Lady J: Isobelle Chalmers(5) · T: Patrick Chamings · draw 5 4yo · F · bClass dropOnly ride	84326	9-12	73	—	—	50.6	14/1·15.47	19·19.00 Matchbook · +23% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook19·19.00Betfair Exchange18.5·18.50Smarkets18·18.00SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Bet36514/1·15.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Coral17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50
1	Silver Trumpet J: Oliver Carmichael(3) · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 1 · combo 5/39 (13%) 5yo · G · grbClass dropD	615252	10-00	75	—	—	50.3	9/2·5.35	5.3·5.30 Matchbook Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook5.3·5.30Betfair Exchange5.3·5.30Smarkets5.2·5.2010 Bet7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50Hollywood Bets7/2·4.50William Hill7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 7Bet7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Paddy Power7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 Unibet10/3·4.33Betfair Sportsbook10/3·4.33
3	Receipt J: Alfie Redman(3) · T: Tom Ellis · draw 8 4yo · G · bClass dropOnly runner	283109	9-12	73	—	—	47.6	25/1·27.36	28·28.00 Matchbook · +2% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook28·28.00Betfair Exchange27·27.00Smarkets26·26.00Hollywood Bets22/1·23.00Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00Bet Victor22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 Paddy Power22/1·23.00 Bet36522/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 10 Bet22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 BetTom22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 William Hill18/1·19.00
7	Strike J: Olivia Tubb · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 4 · combo 2/26 (8%) 8yo · G · grOnly ride	324164	9-08	69	—	—	46.2	25/1·24.98	25·25.00 Matchbook Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook25·25.00Betfair Exchange24·24.00Smarkets23·23.00Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00Hollywood Bets20/1·21.0010 Bet20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00 William Hill20/1·21.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Paddy Power18/1·19.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00
8	Timely Affair J: Toby Moore(3) · T: William Knight · draw 9 4yo · G · bpDOnly ride	133118	9-07	68	—	—	45.6	11/2·6.54	6.6·6.60 Matchbook Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook6.6·6.60Smarkets6.6·6.60Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60 Bet3655/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 BetWright9/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50 10 Bet9/2·5.50Hollywood Bets9/2·5.50Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 7Bet9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Paddy Power9/2·5.50
5	Lady Manzor J: Charlie Tucker(3) · T: Amanda Perrett · draw 2 4yo · F · bpOnly ride	444435	9-10	71	—	—	42.5	17/2·9.52	9.4·9.40 Matchbook Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook9.4·9.40Betfair Exchange9.4·9.40Smarkets9.2·9.20SmarketsSBK15/2·8.50 Star Sports7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 10 Bet7/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 Bet3657/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 7Bet13/2·7.50Hollywood Bets13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50Paddy Power13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50
2	Arantes Nascimento J: James Glennon(5) · T: Michael Attwater · draw 6 · combo 1/23 (4%) 5yo · G · bClass drop	712266	9-13	74	—	—	42.5	11/1·11.90	13.5·13.50 Matchbook · +14% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook13.5·13.50Smarkets13·13.00Betfair Exchange12.5·12.50 SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 Unibet9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00 10 Bet9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00Hollywood Bets17/2·9.50Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.50Paddy Power17/2·9.50 Midnite17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 BetWright8/1·9.00 7Bet8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00
—	Nezeeh J: Owen Lewis · T: Jim & Suzi Best · draw 7 5yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner	088096	9-02	63	—	—	32.9	100/1·96.36	80/1·81.00 BetWright · -16% vs fair Compare 20 books ▾ BetWright80/1·81.00 10 Bet80/1·81.00 Ladbrokes80/1·81.00 Midnite80/1·81.00 Star Sports80/1·81.00 Paddy Power80/1·81.00Hollywood Bets80/1·81.007Bet80/1·81.00 Coral80/1·81.00 Bet36580/1·81.00 Quinn Bet80/1·81.00 Betfred80/1·81.00 Boyle Sports80/1·81.00 Dragon Bet80/1·81.00 Unibet80/1·81.00 William Hill80/1·81.00Betfair Sportsbook80/1·81.00BetMGM66/1·67.00 Betfair Exchange7·7.00Matchbook7·7.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 20–27 bookmakers per horse with the 19% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Apprentice Handicap Stakes?

The Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Apprentice Handicap Stakes is off at 17:00 on 7 October 2026 at Kempton (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:00 Kempton (AW)?

7f, Class 5, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:00 Kempton (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard / Slow on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:00 Kempton (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Caragio (score 51.0, best price 2.78). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:00 Kempton (AW)?

The market favourite is Caragio at a best price of 2.78.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org