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RacingAlpha

17:30 Kempton (AW)

Unibet Supports Safer Gambling EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard / Slow · 8 runners · £7,020 · Wednesday, 7 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Twelve Bars (IRE)
    Oisin Murphy·Hugo Palmer
    4/5F·1.80
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Lancaster Tower (GB)
    William Buick·John & Thady Gosden·beaten .5 lengths
    9/4·3.25
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Fenaroli (GB)
    Lewis Edmunds·Harry Charlton·beaten .75 lengths
    10/1·11.00
    SP
Race time
1m 26.79s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Twelve Bars (IRE))

“Front from the outset - pushed along 2f out - kept on resolutely from over 1f out - repelled the challenger to win”

AI top-rated Byzantine (score 32.5) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way32.5/100 rating
Byzantine
11.50Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Byzantine

Billy Loughnane · George Boughey · 2yo

Top-rated of 10
score 32.5 · +2.2 clear of next best (30.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    100very strong
    Last 6: 1
  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    132d since last run (rusty)
  • Trainer20% weight
    30weak
    George Boughey: 3/26 winners last 14d (12%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 11.50 (Smarkets) · 3rd in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 7f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.05
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.17
High (8–10)
IV 0.80

Today: Work Like Hell (draw 6) and Twelve Bars (draw 5) get the bias; Lancaster Tower (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
19
Twelve Bars
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 5
2yo · C · ch
2
—25.6
4/5F·1.80
SP
24
Lancaster Tower
J: William Buick · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 9
2yo · C · bhFT H
38
—30.3
9/4·3.25
SP
32
Fenaroli
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Harry Charlton · draw 3
2yo · C · b
——20.5
10/1·11.00
SP
41
Byzantine
J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 2
2yo · C · b
1
—32.5
15/2·8.50
SP
58
Red Wizard
J: George Wood · T: Harry Charlton · draw 10
2yo · C · ch
9
—16.7
200/1·201.00
SP
66
Oldbullyoungbull
J: Cieren Fallon · T: Alan King · draw 1
2yo · C · b
4
—26.5
12/1·13.00
SP
75
Odell
J: Robert Havlin · T: David Menuisier · draw 4
2yo · C · br
6
—25.0
80/1·81.00
SP
87
Palladino
J: George Downing · T: Ed Walker · draw 7
2yo · C · b
——23.5
50/1·51.00
SP
——
Work Like Hell
J: Luke Morris · T: James Tate · draw 6
2yo · C · b
3
—28.5—
——
Kaboom
J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 8
2yo · C · ch
6
—14.5—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:30 Kempton (AW) on 7 October 2026?

Twelve Bars (IRE) won the 17:30 Kempton (AW) at SP 1.80. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Hugo Palmer.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:30 Kempton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Byzantine) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 17:30 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Twelve Bars (IRE) (1.80), 2. Lancaster Tower (GB) (3.25), 3. Fenaroli (GB) (11.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:30 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 26.79s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org