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Next · 40m16:05Worcester

16:20 Sedgefield

Off in 55m

Sedgefield Racecourse For Outdoor Events Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

2m1f · NH Flat · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners · £3,921 · Wednesday, 7 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 2 · score 28.5 · +4.4 clear of next best · best 16/1·17.00
Best value vs consensus
Lady Scarphia (also top rated)
17·17.00 Matchbook · +23% vs fair (consensus 13.86)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way20.5/100 rating
Youlooklikeyourmum
7.00Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: MoyannaDiffers from our pick

Moyanna looks the right choice at Sedgefield, rated 106 on our figures and six points clear of Cumnock, who is the chief threat on 100. That gap is a meaningful one in a Class 4 over this extended 17 furlongs on good ground, and it gives her the best credentials on what we have. Youlooklikeyourmum (93) and Lady Scarphia (92) are further back but could still play a part if Moyanna fails to find her best, while the two unrated runners add some uncertainty to a competitive-looking seven-runner field. Moyanna is our selection, though only on a low-confidence basis.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Lady Scarphia

Sean Quinlan · Micky Hammond · 5yo

Top-rated of 7
score 28.5 · +4.4 clear of next best (24.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    60average
    Last 6: 3
  • Trainer20% weight
    33small sample (n=8)
    Micky Hammond: 1/8 winners last 14d (13%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 17.00 (Matchbook) · 6th in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
2
J: Sean Quinlan · T: Micky Hammond · draw 0
5yo · M · bOnly pairing
3
—28.512/1·13.8617·17.00
Matchbook · +23% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
6
J: Charlie Price · T: Robbie Llewellyn · draw 0 · combo 2/8 (25%)
4yo · F · b
2
—24.111/4·3.753.45·3.45
Betfair Exchange · -8% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
4
J: William Maggs(3) · T: Justin Landy · draw 0
5yo · M · bOnly runner
3
—20.56/1·6.937·7.00
Smarkets
Compare 29 books ▾
7
J: Joe Williamson · T: Philip Kirby · draw 0 · combo 0/22 (0%)
4yo · F · gr
43
—17.580/1·77.3880·80.00
Matchbook · +3% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
3
J: Brian Hughes · T: Tom George · draw 0
5yo · M · chOnly pairing
3
—16.52/1·3.042.8·2.80
Smarkets · -8% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
5
J: David Bass · T: Henry Daly · draw 0
4yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner
——15.012/1·12.7012·12.00
Betfair Exchange · -5% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
1
J: Tom Cannon · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 0
5yo · M · chOnly rideOnly runner
59
—12.39/1·10.3914.5·14.50
Smarkets · +40% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 16% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Sedgefield Racecourse For Outdoor Events Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)?

The Sedgefield Racecourse For Outdoor Events Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race) is off at 16:20 on 7 October 2026 at Sedgefield (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:20 Sedgefield?

2m1f, Class 4, NH Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:20 Sedgefield?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:20 Sedgefield?

The AI top-rated runner is Lady Scarphia (score 28.5, best price 17.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:20 Sedgefield?

The market favourite is Moyanna at a best price of 2.80. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Lady Scarphia.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org