16:43 Thurles

Ireland

www.thurlesraces.ie Maiden

2m½f · Flat · Good To Yielding · 9 runners · €7,200 · Thursday, 8 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (9 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Yogini

No. 9 · score 44.5 · +1.8 clear of next best · best 6/1·7.00

Best value vs consensus

Fiveonefive

13.5·13.50 Matchbook · +9% vs fair (consensus 12.43)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way44.5/100 rating

Yogini

7.00Paddy Power

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Yogini

Gavin Ryan · Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · 3yo

Top-rated of 9

score 44.5 · +1.8 clear of next best (42.7)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
34d since last run (fresh)
Ratings50% weight
49below average
OR 74
Form20% weight
42below average
Last 6: 6-2-0-3
Trainer20% weight
15weak
Donnacha Aidan O'Brien: 1/16 winners last 14d (6%)

MarketBest price 7.00 (Paddy Power) · 4th in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
5Teofil
Prominent(0)—
Mid-division(3)
6Shirzan 7Mothel Abbey 8Purple Bandit
Hold-up / closers(4)
1Ben Lomond 2Fiveonefive 4Sunny South West 9Yogini
Unknown(1)
3Nucky Johnson

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
9	YoginiPick J: Gavin Ryan · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 7 · combo 4/73 (5%) 3yo · C · btb	6203	9-08	74	—	—	44.5	15/2·8.58	6/1·7.00 Paddy Power · -18% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Paddy Power6/1·7.00 10 Bet6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 William Hill6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Bet3656/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00Matchbook6.8·6.80Smarkets6.6·6.60Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Star Sports11/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50Hollywood Bets11/2·6.50Midnite11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Betfair Exchange6.4·6.40 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50
4	Sunny South West J: Michael Kenneally(5) · T: Edward F Power · draw 1 6yo · G · brhOnly rideOnly runner	22503	10-02	82	—	—	42.7	10/3·4.35	11/4·3.75 William Hill · -14% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ William Hill11/4·3.75Hollywood Bets11/4·3.75Boyle Sports11/4·3.75 Quinn Bet11/4·3.75 Betfred11/4·3.75 Coral11/4·3.75 Ladbrokes11/4·3.75Matchbook3.6·3.60Smarkets3.55·3.55Virgin Bet5/2·3.50Unibet5/2·3.50 Midnite5/2·3.50 10 Bet5/2·3.50 LiveScore Bet5/2·3.50 Paddy Power5/2·3.50 BetTom5/2·3.50 BetMGM5/2·3.50 Dragon Bet5/2·3.50Betfair Sportsbook5/2·3.50Bet Victor5/2·3.50 Bet3655/2·3.50 Betano5/2·3.50 BetWright5/2·3.50 SmarketsSBK5/2·3.50 Betfair Exchange3.45·3.45 Star Sports9/4·3.25 SportingIndex9/4·3.25 Spreadex9/4·3.25
5	Teofil J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J S Bolger · draw 4 · combo 0/6 (0%) 4yo · G · bD	—	10-02	—	—	—	31.0	9/4·3.27	5/2·3.50 SmarketsSBK · +7% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ SmarketsSBK5/2·3.50Smarkets3.45·3.45Matchbook3.4·3.40Betfair Exchange3.35·3.35 Dragon Bet2/1·3.00 Bet3657/4·2.75 BetWright7/4·2.75Betfair Sportsbook13/8·2.63Paddy Power13/8·2.63 Ladbrokes13/8·2.63 LiveScore Bet13/8·2.63 SportingIndex13/8·2.63 Spreadex13/8·2.63 Midnite13/8·2.63Hollywood Bets13/8·2.63Virgin Bet13/8·2.63William Hill13/8·2.63 Quinn Bet13/8·2.62 Coral13/8·2.62 Betfred6/4·2.50 BetMGM6/4·2.50 Star Sports6/4·2.50 Betano6/4·2.50 BetTom6/4·2.50 Bet Victor6/4·2.50 10 Bet6/4·2.50 Unibet11/8·2.38 Boyle Sports11/8·2.38
8	Purple Bandit J: Scott McCullagh · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 8 · combo 1/32 (3%) 3yo · G · bbOnly ride	2	9-08	—	—	—	26.1	17/2·9.33	10·10.00 Matchbook · +7% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook10·10.00Smarkets9.8·9.80Betfair Exchange9.4·9.40 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Bet3657/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00 Paddy Power13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50Betano13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50Hollywood Bets13/2·7.50Midnite13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 10 Bet13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 BetWright11/2·6.50
6	Shirzan J: Jessica O'Gorman(7) · T: P G Fahey · draw 6 · combo 3/10 (30%) 4yo · F · gOnly rideOnly runner		9-11	—	—	—	20.0	6/1·6.84	6.6·6.60 Matchbook · -4% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook6.6·6.60Smarkets6.4·6.40Betfair Exchange6.4·6.40 William Hill5/1·6.00 Paddy Power5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50BetMGM9/2·5.50 10 Bet9/2·5.50Hollywood Bets9/2·5.50Midnite9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00
2	Fiveonefive J: G. F. Carroll · T: Cian Collins · draw 5 8yo · G · bDOnly runner	96	10-02	—	—	—	18.1	11/1·12.43	13.5·13.50 Matchbook · +9% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook13.5·13.50Smarkets12.5·12.50Spreadex11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Betfair Exchange12·12.00 SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 Unibet10/1·11.00Hollywood Bets10/1·11.00Midnite10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00William Hill9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 10 Bet9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 Paddy Power17/2·9.50Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.50Betano17/2·9.50 Star Sports17/2·9.50
3	Nucky Johnson J: James Ryan · T: Dermot A McLoughlin · draw 3 8yo · G · bOnly runner	3	10-02	—	—	—	14.5	150/1·156.66	150/1·151.00 Betfair Sportsbook · -4% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook150/1·151.00Paddy Power150/1·151.00 BetTom125/1·126.00 Betano125/1·126.00 Quinn Bet125/1·126.00 Unibet125/1·126.00Virgin Bet125/1·126.00Boyle Sports125/1·126.00 Bet Victor125/1·126.00 Coral125/1·126.00 LiveScore Bet125/1·126.00 William Hill125/1·126.00 Bet365125/1·126.00 10 Bet125/1·126.00 BetMGM125/1·126.00 Ladbrokes125/1·126.00 Betfred125/1·126.00Matchbook120·120.00Smarkets110·110.00Midnite100/1·101.00 Star Sports100/1·101.00Hollywood Bets100/1·101.00SmarketsSBK100/1·101.00 Betfair Exchange100·100.00 BetWright80/1·81.00 Dragon Bet80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00 SportingIndex80/1·81.00
7	Mothel Abbey J: Alan Persse(5) · T: Patrick J Flynn · draw 2 · combo 0/14 (0%) 3yo · G · chOnly ride	80	9-08	—	—	—	10.7	250/1·249.91	420·420.00 Matchbook · +68% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook420·420.00Smarkets300·300.00Bet365250/1·251.00 Quinn Bet250/1·251.00 Unibet250/1·251.00Betfair Sportsbook250/1·251.00Paddy Power250/1·251.00 LiveScore Bet250/1·251.00Virgin Bet250/1·251.00BetTom200/1·201.00 Coral200/1·201.00 BetMGM200/1·201.00 Boyle Sports200/1·201.00 Midnite200/1·201.00 Betfred200/1·201.00Hollywood Bets200/1·201.00Betano200/1·201.00 10 Bet200/1·201.00 Bet Victor200/1·201.00 Ladbrokes200/1·201.00 Dragon Bet150/1·151.00 Star Sports150/1·151.00 BetWright150/1·151.00 SportingIndex100/1·101.00 Spreadex100/1·101.00 SmarketsSBK90/1·91.00 William Hill66/1·67.00 Betfair Exchange18·18.00
1	Ben Lomond J: Leigh Roche · T: Gerard Kyne · draw 9 · combo 0/8 (0%) 6yo · G · bpOnly runner	900	10-02	—	—	—	8.7	250/1·281.00	1000·1000.00 Betfair Exchange · +256% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange1000·1000.00Matchbook1000·1000.00Smarkets1000·1000.00SmarketsSBK400/1·401.00 Quinn Bet250/1·251.00Betfair Sportsbook250/1·251.00Unibet250/1·251.00 William Hill250/1·251.00 Bet365250/1·251.00 LiveScore Bet250/1·251.00Virgin Bet250/1·251.00Paddy Power250/1·251.00 Midnite250/1·251.00 Betfred250/1·251.00 Bet Victor200/1·201.00 BetWright200/1·201.00 Dragon Bet200/1·201.00 Coral200/1·201.00Hollywood Bets200/1·201.00Boyle Sports200/1·201.00 Ladbrokes200/1·201.00 10 Bet200/1·201.00 BetMGM200/1·201.00 BetTom200/1·201.00 Betano200/1·201.00 SportingIndex150/1·151.00 Spreadex150/1·151.00 Star Sports150/1·151.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 24% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the www.thurlesraces.ie Maiden?

The www.thurlesraces.ie Maiden is off at 16:43 on 8 October 2026 at Thurles (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:43 Thurles?

2m½f, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:43 Thurles?

Going is reported as Good To Yielding on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:43 Thurles?

The AI top-rated runner is Yogini (score 44.5, best price 7.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:43 Thurles?

The market favourite is Teofil at a best price of 3.50. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Yogini.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org