17:20 Thurles

Ireland

Racing Here On The 12th November Handicap

2m½f · Flat · Good To Yielding · 14 runners · €7,200 · Thursday, 8 October 2026

E/W terms4 places at 1/4 odds in a 17-runner handicap — the one field shape where standard terms have historically leaned the punter's way (place half ≈ +17% at 10/1–20/1)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Miss Australie

No. 2 · score 48.9 · +1.3 clear of next best · best 5/1·5.90

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way48.9/100 rating

Miss Australie

5.90Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Party DressDiffers from our pick

Party Dress gets the vote at Thurles, sharing the top rating in a competitive 14-runner contest over 16 furlongs on good ground. She is level on 75 with Banana Three, so there is nothing between them on our figures, but Party Dress is the one we want on side. Banana Three is the chief danger, with Pralognan and Granville Street both only two pounds behind and well capable of making it a tight finish. Party Dress is the pick of a closely matched group.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Miss Australie

Conor Cusack(7) · Adrian McGuinness · 5yo

Top-rated of 17

score 48.9 · +1.3 clear of next best (47.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
70strong
8d since last run (quick turnaround)
Form20% weight
62average
Last 6: 5-6-1-3-4-2
Ratings50% weight
46below average
OR 69
Trainer20% weight
33weak
Adrian McGuinness: 4/31 winners last 14d (13%)

MarketBest price 5.90 (Smarkets) · 2nd in the market of 17.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
10Miss Gitana
Prominent(3)
1Granville Street 6Banana Three Grann's Boy
Mid-division(4)
9Mr Rango 11Party Dress 12Blackjack Hills 14Blissful Bonita
Hold-up / closers(7)
2Miss Australie 3Pampar Lady 4Glittering Gem 7Cozone 8Alexa Next 13Mr Ballynonty Gallo Dell Cielo
Unknown(2)
5Tatum Pralognan

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
2	Miss AustraliePick J: Conor Cusack(7) · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 10 · combo 0/6 (0%) 5yo · M · bGoing 1/2Only runner	561342	9-13	69	—	—	48.9	7/1·7.81	5.9·5.90 Smarkets · -24% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets5.9·5.90Matchbook5.9·5.90SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Betfair Exchange5.5·5.50 Bet3654/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Betano7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50 10 Bet7/2·4.50 Paddy Power7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50BetMGM7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50Hollywood Bets7/2·4.50Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50
13	Mr Ballynonty J: Jimmy Dalton(7) · T: A. Slattery · draw 7 · combo 3/33 (9%) 3yo · G · bOnly pairing	38597	9-05	69	—	—	47.6	33/1·32.99	20·20.00 Matchbook · -39% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook20·20.00Smarkets19.5·19.50Betfair Exchange19.5·19.50 Paddy Power18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00SportingIndex18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00Hollywood Bets18/1·19.00Coral18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 10 Bet18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00Star Sports16/1·17.00
—	Gallo Dell Cielo J: · T: Patrick J Flynn · draw 2 6yo · G · bD	11512	9-06	62	—	—	46.4	12/1·13.02	8/1·9.00 Midnite · -31% vs fair Compare 21 books ▾ Midnite8/1·9.00 William Hill15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 Betfred7/1·8.00 10 Bet7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 Betfair Exchange7.6·7.60 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50Hollywood Bets13/2·7.50Star Sports13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Paddy Power6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Matchbook7·7.00BetMGM11/2·6.50 Bet3655/1·6.00Smarkets5.4·5.40SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00
—	Pralognan J: · T: Mr A. J. Martin · draw 12 7yo · G · btOnly runner	10983	9-06	62	—	—	43.3	28/1·29.52	22/1·23.00 Midnite · -22% vs fair Compare 21 books ▾ Midnite22/1·23.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00Paddy Power16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.0010 Bet16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00Smarkets10·10.00Betfair Exchange7.2·7.20Matchbook7·7.00
9	Mr Rango J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: James M Barcoe · draw 4 · combo 0/5 (0%) 8yo · G · bOnly runner	458290	9-08	64	—	—	42.4	40/1·45.14	25/1·26.00 Hollywood Bets · -42% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Hollywood Bets25/1·26.00SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Paddy Power25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 10 Bet25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00William Hill25/1·26.00Matchbook25·25.00Smarkets24·24.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00Bet36522/1·23.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange18·18.00
14	Blissful Bonita J: G. F. Carroll · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 1 · combo 4/91 (4%) 3yo · F · bp	75244	9-00	64	—	—	41.9	4/1·5.21	3.35·3.35 Matchbook · -36% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook3.35·3.35LiveScore Bet9/4·3.25 Bet3659/4·3.25Virgin Bet9/4·3.25SmarketsSBK9/4·3.25Smarkets3.25·3.25Betfair Exchange3.1·3.10 Betfred2/1·3.00 10 Bet2/1·3.00 Coral2/1·3.00 Star Sports2/1·3.00Hollywood Bets2/1·3.00BetTom2/1·3.00 Boyle Sports2/1·3.00 Ladbrokes2/1·3.00 Unibet2/1·3.00 William Hill2/1·3.00 Paddy Power2/1·3.00Betfair Sportsbook2/1·3.00Midnite2/1·3.00 Quinn Bet2/1·3.00 BetMGM2/1·3.00 BetWright15/8·2.88 Spreadex15/8·2.88 Bet Victor15/8·2.88 Dragon Bet15/8·2.88 Betano15/8·2.88 SportingIndex15/8·2.88
—	Grann's Boy J: · T: H Rogers · draw 15 6yo · G · bpOnly runner	7012	9-06	62	—	—	41.7	15/2·8.68	5/1·6.00 Hollywood Bets · -31% vs fair Compare 19 books ▾ Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00William Hill9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 10 Bet9/2·5.50Smarkets5.2·5.20Midnite4/1·5.00 Paddy Power4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Betfair Exchange4.8·4.80 BetWright7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK10/3·4.33
5	Tatum J: Ben Coen · T: Noel Meade · draw 16 5yo · M · bOnly pairing	753100	9-12	68	—	—	39.9	20/1·20.84	13·13.00 Matchbook · -38% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook13·13.00Betfair Exchange12.5·12.50 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00Smarkets12·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00BetTom10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00Hollywood Bets10/1·11.00William Hill10/1·11.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00
3	Pampar Lady J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 13 · combo 1/21 (5%) 7yo · M · bOnly ride	280	9-13	69	—	—	38.8	28/1·29.52	20·20.00 Matchbook · -32% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook20·20.00Smarkets19.5·19.50SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00Betano14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Betfair Exchange4.2·4.20
4	Glittering Gem J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld · draw 17 · combo 13/112 (12%) 4yo · F · b	03240	9-12	68	—	—	38.3	28/1·29.52	19·19.00 Matchbook · -36% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook19·19.00Smarkets18.5·18.50BetMGM16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Betfair Exchange15·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Bet Victor14/1·15.00
6	Banana Three J: Shane Markey(7) · T: Ross O'Sullivan · draw 8 · combo 1/27 (4%) 6yo · G · bpOnly ride	75530	9-11	67	—	—	38.2	50/1·50.35	28/1·29.00 Spreadex · -42% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Spreadex28/1·29.00 Paddy Power28/1·29.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 Betfred28/1·29.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.00Ladbrokes28/1·29.00Betfair Sportsbook28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00SportingIndex28/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 10 Bet28/1·29.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 William Hill28/1·29.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 Bet36525/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00Matchbook25·25.00Smarkets24·24.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange4.2·4.20
8	Alexa Next J: Shay Wallace(7) · T: Martin Hassett · draw 3 · combo 0/5 (0%) 4yo · F · bOnly pairing	46467	9-09	65	—	—	36.7	18/1·18.23	13·13.00 Matchbook · -29% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook13·13.00Bet36511/1·12.00Hollywood Bets10/1·11.00SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50Smarkets10.5·10.50Betfred9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 10 Bet9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.50LiveScore Bet17/2·9.50Virgin Bet17/2·9.50Paddy Power17/2·9.50
1	Granville Street J: Reese Holohan(5) · T: Ciaran Murphy · draw 5 8yo · G · chpOnly runner	25480	10-00	70	—	—	36.0	12/1·13.02	10·10.00 Matchbook · -23% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook10·10.00Smarkets9.8·9.80SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Bet3657/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 10 Bet13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Paddy Power13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50Betano13/2·7.50 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50Hollywood Bets13/2·7.50Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 Betfair Exchange7.2·7.20Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00BetTom6/1·7.00
12	Blackjack Hills J: Robbie Colgan · T: Matthew J Smith · draw 14 · combo 2/46 (4%) 4yo · G · chOnly pairing	17288	9-06	62	—	—	35.2	20/1·20.84	13·13.00 Matchbook · -38% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook13·13.00Paddy Power11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Coral11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.0010 Bet11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Betfair Exchange12·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00Spreadex10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00Smarkets11·11.00
11	Party Dress J: Megan Telford-Kelly(7) · T: W. McCreery · draw 6 · combo 0/10 (0%) 6yo · M · gtpOnly ride	64550	9-07	63	—	—	33.8	33/1·32.99	20·20.00 Matchbook · -39% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook20·20.00Hollywood Bets18/1·19.00LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Paddy Power18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 10 Bet18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00Betfred18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange19·19.00Smarkets17.5·17.50Bet36516/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00
10	Miss Gitana J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: Joseph Anthony Murray · draw 9 · combo 2/5 (40%) 5yo · M · btOnly ride	032060	9-07	63	—	—	32.3	33/1·32.12	20/1·21.00 Bet365 · -35% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet36520/1·21.00Matchbook19.5·19.50Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 Paddy Power18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00Smarkets19·19.00SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange18·18.00 Betano16/1·17.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00Midnite16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00
7	Cozone J: Wesley Joyce · T: Matthew J Smith · draw 11 · combo 0/6 (0%) 9yo · G · bOnly pairing	08680	9-11	67	—	—	30.9	40/1·39.94	25/1·26.00 Bet365 · -35% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet36525/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00Matchbook24·24.00Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00Hollywood Bets22/1·23.00BetWright22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00Spreadex22/1·23.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00William Hill22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Paddy Power22/1·23.00 LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00Smarkets22·22.00Bet Victor20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 10 Bet20/1·21.00 Unibet18/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange18.5·18.50

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 19–28 bookmakers per horse with the 74% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Racing Here On The 12th November Handicap?

The Racing Here On The 12th November Handicap is off at 17:20 on 8 October 2026 at Thurles (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:20 Thurles?

2m½f, Flat, 14 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:20 Thurles?

Going is reported as Good To Yielding on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:20 Thurles?

The AI top-rated runner is Miss Australie (score 48.9, best price 5.90). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:20 Thurles?

The market favourite is Blissful Bonita at a best price of 3.35. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Miss Australie.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org