14:45 Tramore

Ireland

Ardmore Handicap Hurdle

2m · Hurdle · Yielding · 9 runners · €6,000 · Thursday, 8 October 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (9 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Tingarran Express

No. 1 · score 60.4 · +2.0 clear of next best · best 8/1·9.00

Best value vs consensus

Tingarran Express (also top rated)

9·9.00 Matchbook · +7% vs fair (consensus 8.45)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way60.4/100 rating

Tingarran Express

9.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: GoodmanconDiffers from our pick

Goodmancon is our selection at Tramore, and he looks the right one to side with on the good to soft ground. He sits only 4 lb behind the top-rated Tingarran Express on our figures, but a fitness edge and a progressive profile tip the balance his way over the 16 furlongs. Tingarran Express is the chief danger given her superior rating, while Million Dollar Man, who is level with our pick on 97, and Ahellofaman, on 91, also have to be respected. Goodmancon's sharper condition and upward trajectory should see him prevail, and he is the one to be with.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Tingarran Express

Carl Millar(5) · Miss Denise Marie O'Shea · 9yo

Top-rated of 9

score 60.4 · +2.0 clear of next best (58.4)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
55d since last run (fresh)
Ratings50% weight
67strong
OR 100 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
50no sample
Miss Denise Marie O'Shea — no runners last 14 days — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Form20% weight
43below average
Last 6: 4-6-2-9-3

MarketBest price 9.00 (Matchbook) · 5th in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
7Polly Poppins
Prominent(1)
1Tingarran Express
Mid-division(1)
2Goodmancon
Hold-up / closers(4)
5Million Dollar Man 6Ahellofaman 8Breeze Of Tobruk 9Tasmanian Girl
Unknown(2)
3Fenian Maxios 4Lanzhou

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	Tingarran ExpressPick J: Carl Millar(5) · T: Miss Denise Marie O'Shea · draw 0 9yo · M · bOnly rideOnly runner	46293	12-00	100	—	—	60.4	15/2·8.45	9·9.00 Matchbook · +7% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook9·9.00Smarkets8.8·8.80Betfair Exchange8.6·8.60 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 BetWright13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 Bet36513/2·7.50 Coral6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 BetMGM6/1·7.00 10 Bet6/1·7.00Hollywood Bets6/1·7.00Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00William Hill6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Paddy Power6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Betano11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50
2	Goodmancon J: I. J. Power · T: P J Breen · draw 0 6yo · G · bpOnly runner	85F349	11-13	99	—	—	58.4	22/1·22.93	20/1·21.00 Bet365 · -8% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet36520/1·21.00Matchbook21·21.00Betfair Exchange19.5·19.50Smarkets19.5·19.50LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Paddy Power18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 10 Bet18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00Hollywood Bets18/1·19.00Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00Midnite16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Betano16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00
9	Tasmanian Girl J: Kevin Healy(7) · T: Declan Queally · draw 0 · combo 5/24 (21%) 6yo · M · bt	0P965	10-05	77	—	—	54.0	8/1·8.81	13/2·7.50 Hollywood Bets · -15% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Hollywood Bets13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50Paddy Power13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50Coral13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 10 Bet13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 Bet36513/2·7.50Matchbook7.4·7.40Smarkets7.2·7.20Bet Victor6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 BetMGM6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 Betfair Exchange7·7.00 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50
4	Lanzhou J: Daniel King · T: J P Flavin · draw 0 · combo 0/5 (0%) 5yo · G · bOnly pairing	09072	11-06	92	—	—	45.3	3/1·3.92	3.75·3.75 Betfair Exchange · -4% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange3.75·3.75Matchbook3.75·3.75Smarkets3.7·3.70SmarketsSBK13/5·3.60 BetWright12/5·3.40 Dragon Bet12/5·3.40 Boyle Sports9/4·3.25 LiveScore Bet9/4·3.25 Quinn Bet9/4·3.25 SportingIndex9/4·3.25 Unibet9/4·3.25 Betfred9/4·3.25 Ladbrokes9/4·3.25Hollywood Bets9/4·3.2510 Bet9/4·3.25 Star Sports9/4·3.25 Spreadex9/4·3.25Betfair Sportsbook9/4·3.25Paddy Power9/4·3.25 Coral9/4·3.25Virgin Bet9/4·3.25William Hill9/4·3.25 BetTom9/4·3.25 Midnite9/4·3.25 Bet Victor85/40·3.13 Betano85/40·3.13 BetMGM2/1·3.00 Bet36515/8·2.88
6	Ahellofaman J: Harry Sexton(7) · T: John Joseph Hanlon · draw 0 · combo 1/45 (2%) 4yo · G · bhOnly rideOnly runner	756F3	10-12	85	—	—	44.1	6/1·7.24	6.8·6.80 Smarkets · -6% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets6.8·6.80Matchbook6.8·6.80Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60 Bet36511/2·6.50 Betfred5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Paddy Power5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00Coral5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00BetTom5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 Midnite9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50BetWright9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50
3	Fenian Maxios J: Mike O'Connor · T: M Winters · draw 0 5yo · G · br	90208	11-11	97	—	—	42.7	25/1·25.34	22/1·23.00 Bet365 · -9% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet36522/1·23.00Matchbook23·23.00Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 William Hill20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00Star Sports20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 10 Bet20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange21·21.00Smarkets21·21.00Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00Hollywood Bets18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Paddy Power18/1·19.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00
5	Million Dollar Man J: Keith Donoghue · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 0 · combo 10/112 (9%) 5yo · G · b	P6000	11-02	88	—	—	40.9	9/1·10.26	13.5·13.50 Matchbook · +32% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook13.5·13.50Smarkets13.5·13.50Betfair Exchange13·13.00 SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00 Bet36517/2·9.50 Midnite8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Unibet15/2·8.50 10 Bet15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.50William Hill15/2·8.50 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00Hollywood Bets7/1·8.00Paddy Power7/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50
7	Polly Poppins J: Ethan O'Sullivan(7) · T: Bernard Martin Crowley · draw 0 6yo · M · bOnly rideOnly runner	587644	10-10	82	—	—	40.7	9/2·5.43	5·5.00 Matchbook · -8% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook5·5.00Bet3654/1·5.00 Betfair Exchange4.9·4.90Smarkets4.8·4.80LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50BetMGM7/2·4.50 10 Bet7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50Paddy Power7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 BetTom10/3·4.33 Boyle Sports10/3·4.33 Bet Victor10/3·4.33 Betano10/3·4.33Hollywood Bets10/3·4.33Midnite10/3·4.33 BetWright3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00
8	Breeze Of Tobruk J: Simon Torrens · T: M Winters · draw 0 4yo · F · bhOnly ride	90P0	10-07	80	—	—	36.8	100/1·97.74	160·160.00 Matchbook · +64% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook160·160.00Smarkets140·140.00Bet365100/1·101.00 SmarketsSBK90/1·91.00 Betfred80/1·81.00 Star Sports80/1·81.00 BetTom80/1·81.00 Midnite80/1·81.00Hollywood Bets80/1·81.00Unibet80/1·81.00 Paddy Power80/1·81.00 William Hill80/1·81.00 Ladbrokes80/1·81.00 Boyle Sports80/1·81.00 10 Bet80/1·81.00 Coral80/1·81.00 LiveScore Bet80/1·81.00 Quinn Bet80/1·81.00Virgin Bet80/1·81.00Betfair Sportsbook80/1·81.00Dragon Bet66/1·67.00 SportingIndex66/1·67.00 Spreadex66/1·67.00 BetMGM66/1·67.00 Bet Victor66/1·67.00 Betano66/1·67.00 BetWright66/1·67.00 Betfair Exchange21·21.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 21% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Ardmore Handicap Hurdle?

The Ardmore Handicap Hurdle is off at 14:45 on 8 October 2026 at Tramore (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:45 Tramore?

2m, Hurdle, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:45 Tramore?

Going is reported as Yielding on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:45 Tramore?

The AI top-rated runner is Tingarran Express (score 60.4, best price 9.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:45 Tramore?

The market favourite is Lanzhou at a best price of 3.75. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Tingarran Express.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org